Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

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Comrades, don't share shit over Social Media till after the deed is done.



A Taliban Nasheed? Comrades, is there no Nasheed you won't steal now?



Where the capture took place.



Well not unexpected.



Comrade Mayor outlines the demilitarization deal with Russia to his Comrade Citizens.
 
Chiron said:
All sources are biased and have their own slant. There is no such thing as a non-biased source. What matters is that the information is verifiable.



The Comrades have been busy and took more Javelins, NLAWs, and other war booty.



Chernobyl... "Checks radiation patch"



More comrades join the hunt.



Less Oil for UkA. And there is reports of more strikes in Lviv.



The captured UkA Pidpolkovnyk speaks.
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Telegram is a pro Russian source.
At least Husky provides more unbiased and both sides.
While you are here pushing out only Russian
 
Bacle said:


Russian MoD lying their ass's off again. Ukraine only had 18 Bayaktar's to begin with, so the rest of the numbers have been similarly inflated.
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Assuming this is a real Russian Estimate (no real idea who's good vs bad twitter accounts for this situation) I vaguely recall some rule of thumb that initial kill estimates are something like 3x higher than actual? Tendency for soldiers to count everything they shot at as a kill, or multiple people reporting the same engaging as separate events.

If that's the case, and its more like 10,000 Ukrainian losses vs 5,000 Russians, that is more understandable. Or its 5,000 vs 5,000. Peer combat generally gets somewhat equivalent losses for war. For comparison, the Battle of the Bulge, the first battle I could think of with vaguely equivalent forces, was about 90,000 casualties (20,000 killed) vs about 90,000 ish on the German side (estimate seems to be 12,000 killed, though with a lot missing since the German command seems to have been greatly limited in their ability to actually keep track of what remained of their armies).

Battle of Kursk seems to be about 9,000 German dead vs 15,000 USSR, though there seems to be large error bars there as well, including how expansive ones definition of the Battle of Kursk is.
 
Today's map update, looks like Russia's being pushed back around Kyiv and Mykolaiv while working towards bisecting the blasted remains of Mariupol.



Honestly at this point Mariupol feels like the very definition of a sunk cost fallacy for Russia, because even if they take it, that won't be the end of things so much as the start of the insurgency phase of holding the blasted ruins of the city.
 
Vaermina said:
Today's map update, looks like Russia's being pushed back around Kyiv and Mykolaiv while working towards bisecting the blasted remains of Mariupol.



Honestly at this point Mariupol feels like the very definition of a sunk cost fallacy for Russia, because even if they take it, that won't be the end of things so much as the start of the insurgency phase of holding the blasted ruins of the city.
Click to expand...

You do know the ISW's only source their info from the Ukrainian military reports for foreign consumption, right? This is propaganda, not actual military reporting.
 
Battlefields shift. I doubt the Ukrainians can pull an insurgency Iraqi style. Maybe the Nazis can, but not even sure about them.

Anyway, Binkov's channel posted his ideas on the matter.



The Russians did blunder on intel and expectations of reactions of the NATO members. But the fact that very few in the EU are partecipating (to my knowledge) with Biden in the war, with notably exception Italy, I have some "doubts" on European unity to last. Not to mention if mouths go hungry a bit too much I doubt they are going to be bellicose in the same manner.

Shoigu likely isn't victim of an heart attack, he is probably glad his head hasn't rolled...yet.

The guys who "did" the "intelligence" works and reports and "assumptions" are at best getting sacked if not

BUT...

The Russians still have other troops in the border... they were likely cautious on that, probably thinking IF THINGS GO SOUTH ...The only thing I disagree with Binkov is that the Russians don't have much time, they have all the time in the world now that they are cut off from everything, punishing everyday commonfolk and working classes with permitted racism on Facebook , Twitter, Instagram and more, being banned from SWIFT and MUCH MORE.

Also it doesn't spell good news when the official Ukranian Army Twitter account displays videogame footage claiming to have shot down helicopters.

And probably intentionally made it low quality and definition hoping nobody would notice.





Just to be clear the Russians did the same mistake a month ago or slightly less.

 
Another look at the situation:

One month into the Russian special operation in the Ukraine | The Vineyard of the Saker

A bird's eye view of the vineyard
thesaker.is thesaker.is
The standout map predicting coming Russian operations:
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The fact that Reddit actually had a part in something like this happening...it should be a farce cook up on 4chan 10 years ago, not a reality now.

When Shitposters Go To War, their friendly K/D ratio is higher than the enemy K/D ratio it seems.
 
The Belarussian Commander of Ukraine's Bratstvo Battalion, which has several foreign members among its number, released a video presumably featuring several captured Russian military vehicles in Lukyanivka, a suburb Northwest of Kyiv.



Russian MoD featured drone footage of the apparent and impressive destruction of a Ukrainian Buk Air Defense TELAR (Transporter Erector Launcher).



A supposedly successful Ukrainian counterattack in the Sumy Oblast which is reportedly still surrounded in Northeastern Ukraine.



The Drobytsky Yar Holocaust Memorial was apparently damaged during the ongoing DeNazification efforts in Kharkov, allegedly by Russian fire.



Three part video showing Ukrainian footage of fighting/operations around Kharkov. Last bit of footage apparently showed them taking Russian POW's but that was snipped out.



EDIT:

Switched out the last media bit, Chiron already posted about it. Put in some Ukrainian War Porn instead.
 
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