History Learner
Well-known member
Ah yes, just like that time the US invaded Canada in the late 1930s.
Unlike then, however, Germany has announced forward deployments into the Baltics and NATO just announced a 90,000 personnel exercise to deter the scenario. War Plan Red was a contingency plan, this leaked plan is what NATO has started to actively prepare for.
What exactly are you considering a "high possibility"? Given that you're basing this on "IF the US pulls all aid, it's NOT IMPOSSIBLE for Russia to conquer Ukraine".
That Ukrainians announced they were cutting operational tempo in early December because of supply shortages, and this has grown worse since then since the U.S. has yet to pass a new major aid package with ammo:
Uh, doesn't that source you cite explicitly say Poland claims that the loan falling through won't stop it from completing the arms deal? You have the right to be skeptical about that, but it's not right to say Poland is canceling its military expansion plans based on that. If I missed something in there I'm happy to be corrected.
It quotes Tusk as saying he hopes they can maintain the deals, but their actual means of paying for it no longer exist and his own parliament speaker has indicated cancelling the deals. I don't have the source handy, but Polish media also reported their plans to increase the military's size in manpower have also been cancelled.
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