Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

WolfBear

Well-known member
Anime Putin vs. Lego Zelensky lol :D:

248452-ukr-2.jpg
 

VictortheMonarch

Victor the Crusader
That's the point.
Russia is inflating numbers of things to try and save face
I mean, if you trust the Russian numbers you are a fool in the first place. And if you trust the Ukrainian numbers, your an even bigger one. We won't have a total tally till the end of this clusterfuck, and that won't be for a few more years. I can't see Ukraine pushing Russia out any time soon and I can't see Russia conquering Ukraine, at least fully. They'll be spending the next decade or two putting down revolts.
 
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Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
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I mean, if you trust the Russian numbers you are a fool in the first place. And if you trust the Ukrainian numbers, your an even bigger one. We won't have a total tally till the end of this clusterfuck, and that won't be for a few more years. I can't see Ukraine pushing Russia out any time soon and I can't see Russia conquering Ukraine, at least fully. They'll be spending the next decade or two putting down revolts.
Russia won't claim any land for awhile.
Kherson is under threat of counter attack already
 

VictortheMonarch

Victor the Crusader
...So then why are the Russians smashing their heads into a wall, rather than pushing on non-militarized fronts?
The Russian Military isn't exactly filled with the brightest leaders. Very few have actually seen war. Those that have have been assassinated by the Ukrainians when the opportunity arises, as a few Russian Generals have been killed already. Eight suspectedly, and four confirmed, though one was a retired General that was for some reason flying an aircraft? Besides that this war is seemingly a testing ground by Russia on tactics. I don't actually think they care about winning, as they could have won the war within a month with modern equipment. Make no mistake, this war is a testing ground for how Russia can do against an even(ish) opponent, and I feel that Russia will see a sharp militarization in the coming months, not seen since the wehrmacht.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
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The Russian Military isn't exactly filled with the brightest leaders. Very few have actually seen war. Those that have have been assassinated by the Ukrainians when the opportunity arises, as a few Russian Generals have been killed already. Eight suspectedly, and four confirmed, though one was a retired General that was for some reason flying an aircraft? Besides that this war is seemingly a testing ground by Russia on tactics. I don't actually think they care about winning, as they could have won the war within a month with modern equipment. Make no mistake, this war is a testing ground for how Russia can do against an even(ish) opponent, and I feel that Russia will see a sharp militarization in the coming months, not seen since the wehrmacht.
Good luck with that under the sanctions they have.
 

AnimalNoodles

Well-known member
...So then why are the Russians smashing their heads into a wall, rather than pushing on non-militarized fronts?

Because the goal is the destruction of the Ukrainian army itself. Why havent the Russians dropped the Dniepr river bridges that are helping to supply Donbass? The Russians want the Ukrainians to pour men and equipment into a killing zone to be turned into street pizza by artillery.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Because the goal is the destruction of the Ukrainian army itself. Why havent the Russians dropped the Dniepr river bridges that are helping to supply Donbass? The Russians want the Ukrainians to pour men and equipment into a killing zone to be turned into street pizza by artillery.
That's a lot of bridges.
And contrary to popular opinion it's not easy to destroy a bridge for good without taking it over and having sappers mine it. Not without very accurate weapons :D
Long story short, they didn't because the VKS doesn't feel suicidal enough, and cruise missiles don't have appropriate warheads, so damage would be fixed within a day or few, even if they would have enough accuracy, which currently is also in doubt.
 
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Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
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News in the UK media, reported by Kiev, about Russia... not properly the most reliable source.
They sure aren't getting the thermals they were putting on the new tanks.
Their other major source of chips is also out.
With that in mind, they probably can restart tank production sometime in the future, but in different, inferior version equipped with whatever replacement sensors and electronics they can scrounge up. I suggest calling this new variant of tank the T-91 Crisis, in honor of 1991 Soviet Union's fall and the resulting economic hardship.
 

Megadeath

Well-known member
The Russian Military isn't exactly filled with the brightest leaders. Very few have actually seen war. Those that have have been assassinated by the Ukrainians when the opportunity arises, as a few Russian Generals have been killed already. Eight suspectedly, and four confirmed, though one was a retired General that was for some reason flying an aircraft? Besides that this war is seemingly a testing ground by Russia on tactics. I don't actually think they care about winning, as they could have won the war within a month with modern equipment. Make no mistake, this war is a testing ground for how Russia can do against an even(ish) opponent, and I feel that Russia will see a sharp militarization in the coming months, not seen since the wehrmacht.
That's... A take. I actually barked out loud with laughter to read that. So, Russia is fighting with one hand tied behind their back, sending tens of thousands to die, losing unconted billions of dollars in military equipment, severing themselves from the most lucrative global financial markets, expending huge stores of ammunition, throwing away trained and experienced officers from the bottom to the top, and making themselves an international pariah and laughing stock... And they're doing it just to see what it would be like?

They arent using large amounts of truly "modern" equipment because they don't have it. Things like the armata, their hypersonic cruise missiles and the su-57 are paper tigers. They built just enough to say they had them, and to spawn endless "Who would win?" and "Which is better?" internet think pieces. They aren't refusing to achieve total air control for the sake of fairness, but because they can't. They arent using shitty 60 year old missiles for the wrong role, and missing targets by a mile, because they're curious how they'd have faired if they were teleported back in time.

They're fighting like shit because their forces are shit. They couldn't afford to modernise, so they lost the Moskva. They couldn't fight internal corruption, so their logistics got too fucked to maintain the hight tempo/momentum operations to take Kyiv. They don't have the money or technical capacity to build the fighters needed to control the skies, so they can't operate proper CAS. They were too corrupt and close minded to war game properly, so they didn't realise how their strategy and doctrine left them open to losing huge amounts of armour to man portable launchers.
 

The Whispering Monk

Well-known member
Osaul
Good luck with that under the sanctions they have.
"The news, however, appears so far only to have been relayed by Ukrainian forces so cannot be wholly substantiated." From the article you posted. Sooooo....we'll see how much truth there it to this later on.
 

Megadeath

Well-known member
"The news, however, appears so far only to have been relayed by Ukrainian forces so cannot be wholly substantiated." From the article you posted. Sooooo....we'll see how much truth there it to this later on.
One way or another, it's kinda just a matter of time. Look at microchip production. Russian companies are heavily reliant on imports, and estimate costs of something like fifteen billion US to start the modernisation process which will not be quick. It's also highly likely to run into cost and time overruns given the Russian kleptocracy.
 

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