Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

[Husky_Khan]

Either military buildings are on fire in Simferopol, Crimea for some reason...



Or it's a common household fire, like the one Biden talked about harrowingly when he visited Lahaina after it burned down.

 

[lloyd007]

Russians get pushed out of one trench line, Russians build new trench line a few km south... boy this counteroffensive is totally picking up steam rather than resembling WW1 western front but with 1/10th or less troops!

 

[AnimalNoodles]

Russians get pushed out of one trench line, Russians build new trench line a few km south... boy this counteroffensive is totally picking up steam rather than resembling WW1 western front but with 1/10th or less troops!

Defense in depth.

 

[Zachowon]

Yes and no.
Defense in depth is more you minimize casualties by pulling back before the enemy overruns your position.
They are only doing it here because they break through and they route in fear

 

[AnimalNoodles]

Yes and no.
Defense in depth is more you minimize casualties by pulling back before the enemy overruns your position.
They are only doing it here because they break through and they route in fear

Yeah, I mean Russia built line after line of defenses, but only withdraw out of fear, not because Russian defensive doctrine is to avoid CQB and withdraw if possible to the next set of defenses.

 

[Zachowon]

Yeah, I mean Russia built line after line of defenses, but only withdraw out of fear, not because Russian defensive doctrine is to avoid CQB and withdraw if possible to the next set of defenses.

Except, we have seen them route in fear not in a way a preoper defense in deoth should be done.
You should move back with massive amounts of suppressing fire, and your trenches should nit be breached before you withdraw.
Which is what we are seeing, they withdraw after being breached. They don't have artillery cover or machine gun fire supporting thier pull out. Allowing for the Ukrainians to gain the trenches at a decent pace compared to what should be actually happening.

Knowing doctrine is my job

 

[Husky_Khan]

ABC News Reports United States Will Deliver ATACMS Missiles to Ukraine in the Near Future. No official confirmation yet.

Thread by @michaeldweiss on Thread Reader App

@michaeldweiss: Assuming ABC News reporting is accurate re ATACMS, a very wise move by the administration. Here’s a short thread as to why: 🧵 It eliminates the last big item on Ukraine’s 16 month-long shopping list...…

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Thick Analysis (With Animated Graphics) of the Iranian Shahed (Geran in Russia) in Russian Service one year on and how its become a main part of their offensive arsenal.

A year of the Shahed

How Iranian drones became a key tool in Russia's arsenal

airwars.org

Clarification on the Musk-Starlink-Ukraine-Crimea Issue from the Elon Musk Biographer himself.



South Korea pledging over two billion in aid for Ukraine in the near future for non-military purposes.



Iranian 120mm Mortar Shells manufactured in 2022 seen in Ukrainian service, likely purchased through third party intermediaries.



Ukrainian T-64 Tanks Engaging Russian Forces and Come Under ATGM and Lancet fire.



Alleged Russian Artillery Friendly Fire Incident from a couple months ago.

 

[lloyd007]

Alleged Russian Artillery Friendly Fire Incident from a couple months ago.

According to Ukraine Report (so grain of salt here), when Russian troops started retreating from Robotyne this last time their artillery stopped shelling the Ukrainians and instead their own troops to block the withdrawal. Straight out of WW2 IF true...

 

[Buba]

their artillery stopped shelling the Ukrainians and instead their own troops to block the withdrawal.

Could be "blue on blue".

 

[Zachowon]

Could be an accident yes.
Thinking it was Ukrainians advancing or something
Could also be artillery barrier troops

 

[Buba]

What I meant to say was "human error, not malice".

 

[Husky_Khan]

Multiple missile strikes reported in Sevastopol, reportedly near one of the occupied drydocks.

Thread by @WhereisRussia on Thread Reader App

@WhereisRussia: BREAKING: Multiple explosions in Sevastopol, Crimea. Local sources report explosions near the dockyards of Sevastopol. This is a major naval base for Russian forces. Footage from Sevastopol. Multiple...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[Bacle]

Multiple missile strikes reported in Sevastopol, reportedly near one of the occupied drydocks.

Thread by @WhereisRussia on Thread Reader App

@WhereisRussia: BREAKING: Multiple explosions in Sevastopol, Crimea. Local sources report explosions near the dockyards of Sevastopol. This is a major naval base for Russian forces. Footage from Sevastopol. Multiple...…

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If they actually managed to hit the dock while both a landing ship and Kilo were in it...hot damn.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Even the Russian MoD is stating two ships were damaged (but also vowing they will be restored).

Thread by @RALee85 on Thread Reader App

@RALee85: A # of Russian Telegram channels posted videos of explosions and a fire reportedly at the 13th Ship Repair Plant in Sevastopol, possibly from a missile strike. t.me/breakingmash/4… t.me/vchkogpu/41750 t.me/...…

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A frigate may have also been damaged in addition to the Kilo Submarine and Ropucha-class landing ship.

 

[Rukatin]

Hot damn. They've probably not destroyed them beyond repair, but having one possibly two ships out out action for however long in drydock is big news.

 

[The Whispering Monk]

Hot damn. They've probably not destroyed them beyond repair, but having one possibly two ships out out action for however long in drydock is big news.

Also, fixing heavy equipment that was damage in the dry-docks themselves is a pretty massive endeavor as well.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Also, fixing heavy equipment that was damage in the dry-docks themselves is a pretty massive endeavor as well.

If this Ropucha-class was significantly damaged in this latest strike it might just be damaged beyond repair now. Two other Ropucha-class landing ships were struck way back in March of 2022 in the Port of Berdyansk (by an old Ukrainian Tochka Ballistic missile no less) and were damaged and remain out of service due to a lack of spare parts allegedly.

 

[lloyd007]

Hot damn. They've probably not destroyed them beyond repair, but having one possibly two ships out out action for however long in drydock is big news.

At this point it's likely any major damage to the units of the Black Sea Fleet is beyond Russia's ability to repair until the end of the war

 

[Bacle]

Yep, the Kilo is fucked; that much fire around it will have weakened the hull to unacceptable level due to thermal shock.

 

[Husky_Khan]

More strikes in Crimea last night. Apparently this time it was drones and Ukrainian Neptune anti-ship missiles used against Russian military positions located near the coast.

Thread by @Osinttechnical on Thread Reader App

@Osinttechnical: Update to the previous geolocation, here is the Russian (S-400) SAM battery that was likely targeted by Ukrainian drones early this morning outside of Yevpatoriya. Imagery is from 2 weeks ago. And t...…

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Thread by @kromark on Thread Reader App

@kromark: 🧵/ link in the last tweet. It looks like Ukraine has finally hit the S-400 positions, which were revealed earlier last year by tourists taking photos near the beach close to the city of Yevpatoria. Images...…

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But not just any position, ones housing multiple S-400 Air Defense Systems which were reportedly struck and destroyed.

One of the S-400 locations was revealed by a beach going tourist over a year ago in August 2022 and apparently didn't move but in fact was expanded on.