Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

More renewed heavy fighting in the Azovstal Plant in Mariupol.





The first refugees evacuated from Mariupol by the Red Cross and UN arrived in Ukrainian held territory yesterday.



Belarus Initiated a Combat Readiness Check.



Oil Depot in the Seperatist DNR in Fire. Reportedly due to Ukranian Action.

 
First sighting of the Russian T-90M in Ukraine.



And the first T-90M Tank Documented as Reportedly Destroyed in Ukraine. Didn't take too long. Apparently occurred near Kharkov.



A Russian Mi-35 Helicopter Likely Shot Down on Day One of the Invasion fished out of the Dnipro in the Kyiv Oblast.



Russian Artillery In Grinding Down Operations Operating Whilst Under Ukrainian Fire.



Carpet Bombardment of the Azovstal Plant by Russian Forces Going On.



Defense Analyst and Covert Shores Author HI Sutton did a news article detailing the five significant Naval Losses Suffered by the Russian Navy to a Country with Almost No Naval Capability in a Land War.

 
Russian Assault on Azovstal in Mariupol continues.



Russian/Belarusian Logistical Vehicles Being Shipped by Rail in the Area.



Russification and De-Ukrainization Continues with this Example in Mariupol.



Reportedly American Volunteers Showing Off Their Captured Russian Munitions.



Reportedly First appearance of the Mistral Air Defense System in Ukraine.



A Breaking Defense Correspondent named Reuben Johnson shares his account of being ambushed, captured and held by Russian authorities for two weeks in March.

 
Has the spring thaw mud dried up yet? If it hasn't then I'd suspect the Russians to attempt one last big push if not then they are in a bit of a stalemate.
 
You mean in contrast to the people who only consume Russian propaganda? :D

Well considering only 1 Russian General is confirmed dead and buried, and the others showed up alive in official Russian releases and Oryx has been caught passing off Ukrainian Wrecks as Russian, selectively edited footage, etc, most Ukrainian releases are clear bullshit. Russia by contrast is tight lipped and not trying to win the war on Twitter, instead it is focusing on winning the ground war by destroying Ukrainian Military Forces in the field with its massive air and artillery advantage while destroying the Ukrainian Economy. As we speak, Ukraine no longer has fuel for its civilian economy and can either fuel their military trucks or fuel their tanks. And with the attacks on the electrical grid, their train system is shutting down, they have few diesel trains left. And if attacks continue, they are seriously looking at having to use draft animals to haul their heavy gear around, said draft animals are sorely needed on their farms which are already looking at a disaster this year.

The ironic thing is all the Ukrainian Supporters are actually denigrating the Ukrainians' courage by painting Russia as incompetent. The reality is this is a conflict between two industrial states with professional militaries that kindly don't sit still and let themselves get murdered. Ukrainian SAM Operators especially who know that once they radiate or open fire, they have to move out immediately because if they don't, an Iskander whacks them them in 20 to 45 minutes. And if a drone spots them and they don't see it in time, again they get whacked with an Iskander. Russia doesn't fuck around with SEAD once they spot/track you.

The only part of the Ukrainian Army I despise is its surface navy. Seriously, better to go down with the flag nailed to the mast and waving defiantly than to just turtle in port and die meekly.

That said:



Reminder that the bulk of Western Aid just winds up captured or destroyed by Russia. At this point Biden might want to call Putin first and ask if he has anymore space for all this gear.



And a reminder that Western ATGMs are of limited use and inferior to Soviet based ATGMs which are lighter, easier to use, and more versatile.



They will milk this grandma for all she is worth and more. Still a lot of Comrades who remember the old days and want it back.



A reminder that Ukraine's vehicle losses exceeds Russia's by a vast margin and unlike Russia, Ukraine can't make more or repair their vehicles as the factories and depots got destroyed. And NATO would have to strip their active units of gear to re-equip them as well as deplete the last of their oil and diesel stocks which they don't have much left of.



Reality of war. Ukrainian Forces are really scraping the bottom of the barrel for manpower.

Well limit reached, on to other things.
 
Well considering only 1 Russian General is confirmed dead and buried, and the others showed up alive in official Russian releases and Oryx has been caught passing off Ukrainian Wrecks as Russian, selectively edited footage, etc, most Ukrainian releases are clear bullshit. Russia by contrast is tight lipped and not trying to win the war on Twitter, instead it is focusing on winning the ground war by destroying Ukrainian Military Forces in the field with its massive air and artillery advantage while destroying the Ukrainian Economy. As we speak, Ukraine no longer has fuel for its civilian economy and can either fuel their military trucks or fuel their tanks. And with the attacks on the electrical grid, their train system is shutting down, they have few diesel trains left. And if attacks continue, they are seriously looking at having to use draft animals to haul their heavy gear around, said draft animals are sorely needed on their farms which are already looking at a disaster this year.

The ironic thing is all the Ukrainian Supporters are actually denigrating the Ukrainians' courage by painting Russia as incompetent. The reality is this is a conflict between two industrial states with professional militaries that kindly don't sit still and let themselves get murdered. Ukrainian SAM Operators especially who know that once they radiate or open fire, they have to move out immediately because if they don't, an Iskander whacks them them in 20 to 45 minutes. And if a drone spots them and they don't see it in time, again they get whacked with an Iskander. Russia doesn't fuck around with SEAD once they spot/track you.

The only part of the Ukrainian Army I despise is its surface navy. Seriously, better to go down with the flag nailed to the mast and waving defiantly than to just turtle in port and die meekly.

That said:



Reminder that the bulk of Western Aid just winds up captured or destroyed by Russia. At this point Biden might want to call Putin first and ask if he has anymore space for all this gear.



And a reminder that Western ATGMs are of limited use and inferior to Soviet based ATGMs which are lighter, easier to use, and more versatile.



They will milk this grandma for all she is worth and more. Still a lot of Comrades who remember the old days and want it back.



A reminder that Ukraine's vehicle losses exceeds Russia's by a vast margin and unlike Russia, Ukraine can't make more or repair their vehicles as the factories and depots got destroyed. And NATO would have to strip their active units of gear to re-equip them as well as deplete the last of their oil and diesel stocks which they don't have much left of.



Reality of war. Ukrainian Forces are really scraping the bottom of the barrel for manpower.

Well limit reached, on to other things.

Russia has actually confirmed two of their generals were killed as of now.
 
Well considering only 1 Russian General is confirmed dead and buried, and the others showed up alive in official Russian releases and Oryx has been caught passing off Ukrainian Wrecks as Russian, selectively edited footage, etc, most Ukrainian releases are clear bullshit. Russia by contrast is tight lipped and not trying to win the war on Twitter, instead it is focusing on winning the ground war by destroying Ukrainian Military Forces in the field with its massive air and artillery advantage while destroying the Ukrainian Economy. As we speak, Ukraine no longer has fuel for its civilian economy and can either fuel their military trucks or fuel their tanks. And with the attacks on the electrical grid, their train system is shutting down, they have few diesel trains left. And if attacks continue, they are seriously looking at having to use draft animals to haul their heavy gear around, said draft animals are sorely needed on their farms which are already looking at a disaster this year.

The ironic thing is all the Ukrainian Supporters are actually denigrating the Ukrainians' courage by painting Russia as incompetent. The reality is this is a conflict between two industrial states with professional militaries that kindly don't sit still and let themselves get murdered. Ukrainian SAM Operators especially who know that once they radiate or open fire, they have to move out immediately because if they don't, an Iskander whacks them them in 20 to 45 minutes. And if a drone spots them and they don't see it in time, again they get whacked with an Iskander. Russia doesn't fuck around with SEAD once they spot/track you.

The only part of the Ukrainian Army I despise is its surface navy. Seriously, better to go down with the flag nailed to the mast and waving defiantly than to just turtle in port and die meekly.

That said:



Reminder that the bulk of Western Aid just winds up captured or destroyed by Russia. At this point Biden might want to call Putin first and ask if he has anymore space for all this gear.



And a reminder that Western ATGMs are of limited use and inferior to Soviet based ATGMs which are lighter, easier to use, and more versatile.



They will milk this grandma for all she is worth and more. Still a lot of Comrades who remember the old days and want it back.



A reminder that Ukraine's vehicle losses exceeds Russia's by a vast margin and unlike Russia, Ukraine can't make more or repair their vehicles as the factories and depots got destroyed. And NATO would have to strip their active units of gear to re-equip them as well as deplete the last of their oil and diesel stocks which they don't have much left of.



Reality of war. Ukrainian Forces are really scraping the bottom of the barrel for manpower.

Well limit reached, on to other things.


So,:
1.Moscov do not win war on Twitter.
2.Becouse of that,they show captured western weapons.
3.Western weapons do not work,and they say so becouse they do not win on Twitter.
4.Some old lady still love soviets,and Moscov built her monument for that.I thought,that they consider themselves russians,not soviets.

You claim,that they paint kgbstan as incopetent.They really do not need that - kgbstan is doing that for themselves.
Here:


See,how competent they are ?

Russia has actually confirmed two of their generals were killed as of now.

Do not blame him.He was ordered to say,that one was killed.Or - he is magnificiant troll,not poor agent.
 
Russia has Nukes and Ukraine is winning and won't accept anything short of a return of it's territory.

Meaning either this ends with Russia nuking Ukraine, or this ends after the long slog of Ukraine taking back it's territory.
The reasons Ukraine is winning now is that for the most part they outnumber the Russians being fully mobilized for the war and are being flooded with equipment to maintain it. If the Russians fully mobilize however I cant say for certain if they can maintain that momentum or won't be pushed back.

Mark my words I feel that at this stage Putin is hoping to get to the Dnieper over conquering the whole country. That's not to say he's bound to succeed just that its likely.
 
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The reasons Ukraine is winning now is that for the most part they outnumber the Russians being fully mobilized for the war and are being flooded with equipment to maintain it. If Russians fully mobilize however I cant say for certain if they can maintain that momentum or won't be pushed back.

Mark my words I feel that at this stage Putin is hoping to get to the Dnieper over conquering the whole country. That's not to say he's bound to succeed just that ita likely.
The real question is if Russia declares war and goes into total mobilization and if they are willing to pay the price for victory
 
Rob Lee had a Twitter thread on it recently that was a good read.



Mobilizing the Conscripts and the Reserves Ain't a Quick Solution in the Least and a Messy One at Best. Some of the things touched on are how Conscripts only serve for a year, they serve and train with their units, most of those units are already partially deployed to Ukraine including most of their NCO's and many officers, and in regards to Reserves, its a system they haven't exercised in a long time and will require even more training to bring back and a lack of skeleton units ready to take in large numbers of mobilized troops.

Related, despite the perennial "reports" otherwise, A lot of Russia's best troops including the Airborne, Naval Infantry and Guards Army that protects Moscow for example have already been deployed there anyhow and supposedly 80% of their BTG's have been deployed to Russia which means most of them can't be rotated out like the United States did in Iraq and Afghanistan for years.
 
If you think the direct involvement of the US in killing russian generals isnt going to bite the USA in the ass hard some day, you are deluded.
How?

Russia's conventional forces in Ukraine have been shown to be a joke that NATO could wipe out in a day or two, if we wanted, and now Russia is cut off from most of the materials they needed to keep producing high-end weapons of equipment.

And if Russia decides to go nuclear, well...I kinda doubt they will, given they aren't sure more than a 1/3 of their warheads are even reliable due to grift, corruption, and budget cuts. I mean shit, Russia stopped using ballistic missile trains because they were so prone to corruption and graft.
 
The real question is if Russia declares war and goes into total mobilization and if they are willing to pay the price for victory
That.And if they have even semi-competent commanders,becouse without them even much stronger army would still fail.
Another thing - putin is not tsar,but most impotant kgb oligarch.Which mean,that he could be killed and replaced by somebody who take USA offer for alliance against China.
Which mean end of war,becouse Biden would gave not only Ukraine,but entire Europe for that.

So - long live utin,only his stupidity is saving Ukraine,Poland and other countries from being denazified/genocided/ by Moscov.Which Moscov certainly do,if USA sell us again.
 
The reasons Ukraine is winning now is that for the most part they outnumber the Russians being fully mobilized for the war and are being flooded with equipment to maintain it. If Russians fully mobilize however I cant say for certain if they can maintain that momentum or won't be pushed back.

Mark my words I feel that at this stage Putin is hoping to get to the Dnieper over conquering the whole country. That's not to say he's bound to succeed just that ita likely.
Even if Russia goes full mobilization today, those troops wouldn't really hit the front in any meaningful numbers till the start of August.

Comparatively, Ukraine went full mobilization the day Russia invaded, so their troops will be hitting the front lines in the next few weeks.

And this isn't an RTS where troops do the same amount of damage no matter their HP. Which I bring up, because those Russian troops in the field? Their effectiveness is only getting lower. And that is important because all evidence points to Russia loosing troops and equipment at something like a 5 to 1 ratio.
 
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