United States Biden administration policies and actions - megathread

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Look's like a schism in the Biden admin over Ukraine, with Anthony Blinken clashing with Jake Sullivan, who is holding up the aid to Ukraine that Blinken wants to send, because Sullivan and parts of the White House seem to think more aid going to Ukraine from the US may result in Russia launching a tac-nuke on US forces.

This comes from the Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman.
 
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You know, it's wild how much positive foreign policy leverage countries can get out of nuclear--or just WMD capacity--not based on those weapons themselves, but based on leader personality.

So much of the benefit is utterly reliant on international poor perception and belief one might be so maniacal and crazy as to be willing to press the big red button--the hard-to-not-note parallal here being how Putin didn't invade Ukraine whilst Trump was President...
Putin is perceived by many as wild and crazy as to be also willing to go nuclear, and that analysis seems very shallow (credit to Putin, not being clear how rational he is is a great negotiating strategy--see below).

But beyond that whole hairball...That's a pretty negative incentive to encourage countries to select for. And it's what we do? Because if you go too maniacal and crazy the US/NATO is very clear they might Ghaddafi/Hussein your hind-end, but if you have the deterrent you're free to go maniacal and crazy, even encouraged, because...the deterrent is made actively more effective by that perception.
Not a great incentive for nonproliferation.
 
prinCZess said:
You know, it's wild how much positive foreign policy leverage countries can get out of nuclear--or just WMD capacity--not based on those weapons themselves, but based on leader personality.

So much of the benefit is utterly reliant on international poor perception and belief one might be so maniacal and crazy as to be willing to press the big red button--the hard-to-not-note parallal here being how Putin didn't invade Ukraine whilst Trump was President...
Putin is perceived by many as wild and crazy as to be also willing to go nuclear, and that analysis seems very shallow (credit to Putin, not being clear how rational he is is a great negotiating strategy--see below).

But beyond that whole hairball...That's a pretty negative incentive to encourage countries to select for. And it's what we do? Because if you go too maniacal and crazy the US/NATO is very clear they might Ghaddafi/Hussein your hind-end, but if you have the deterrent you're free to go maniacal and crazy, even encouraged, because...the deterrent is made actively more effective by that perception.
Not a great incentive for nonproliferation.
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Nonproliferation died with Ghaddafi, after what happened to him, and to South Africa before that, and was buried by what happened to Ukraine.

Every state that can is going to have a nuke on the shelf with components and 'waste/research/ fissile materials just needing to be mated in the correct order, and it's just a matter of if the nukes are homegrown, or part of a nuclear-sharing program from one great power or another.

I also think French 'warning shot' doctrine will see more play than US nuke doctrine in many future nuclear paradigms, with the way things are developing.

This does however explain the weird and mixed messages from the White House over Ukraine, if people like Blinken and Sullivan are openly schisming over this.

Edit: And just in time, Blinken is on camera saying Ukraine will enter NATO, which is rather expected, but different messaging from Sullivan.
 
prinCZess said:
You know, it's wild how much positive foreign policy leverage countries can get out of nuclear--or just WMD capacity--not based on those weapons themselves, but based on leader personality.

So much of the benefit is utterly reliant on international poor perception and belief one might be so maniacal and crazy as to be willing to press the big red button--the hard-to-not-note parallal here being how Putin didn't invade Ukraine whilst Trump was President...
Putin is perceived by many as wild and crazy as to be also willing to go nuclear, and that analysis seems very shallow (credit to Putin, not being clear how rational he is is a great negotiating strategy--see below).

But beyond that whole hairball...That's a pretty negative incentive to encourage countries to select for. And it's what we do? Because if you go too maniacal and crazy the US/NATO is very clear they might Ghaddafi/Hussein your hind-end, but if you have the deterrent you're free to go maniacal and crazy, even encouraged, because...the deterrent is made actively more effective by that perception.
Not a great incentive for nonproliferation.
Click to expand...
> This is a bad incentive

no shit. but it is also reality.
we don't set that bad incentive for the lulz. we set it because of reality facts that we cannot avoid. which is that nuclear deterrent is real.
 
Zachowon said:
Plenty of ways.
But...what can you do?
Invade to take thier nukes?
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No I mean like fancy Sci fi technology. Some of the UFO stories floating around were about them shutting off nukes. I have often wondered if that story was real, if it was just us showing off or testing our fancy new technology.
 
Rocinante said:
No I mean like fancy Sci fi technology. Some of the UFO stories floating around were about them shutting off nukes. I have often wondered if that story was real, if it was just us showing off or testing our fancy new technology.
Click to expand...
Maybe.
Honestly don't know.
 
Behind Today's Stellar Jobs Print: It Was Literally ALL Part-Time Jobs (And Illegals)

ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com www.zerohedge.com

This is how CBO Director Phill Swagel summarized it: "as a result of those changes in the labor force, we estimate that from 2023 to 2034, GDP will be greater by about $7 trillion and revenue will be greater by about $1 trillion than they would have been otherwise."

And there you have it: yes, the US hasn't added any jobs to native-born Americans in six years, as instead all jobs have gone to immigrants, mostly the illegal variety, but that's good news you see, because if it wasn't for these lovely creatures flooding into the US, wages would be higher (that's a bad thing according to the Fed), and the US economy would not grow by $9 trillion. Just please ignore that that $9 trillion in "growth" will come only thanks to $20 trillion in debt, almost all of it soaked up by these same illegals, and of course, a handful of corrupt, embezzling politicians.
Click to expand...


A few days old now. I highly recommend reading the whole article.
 
DarthOne said:
Behind Today's Stellar Jobs Print: It Was Literally ALL Part-Time Jobs (And Illegals)

ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com www.zerohedge.com




A few days old now. I highly recommend reading the whole article.
Click to expand...

Its stuff I already knew.

And its the case throughout the entire west and my money is that its all going to end very badly for all involved.
 
Not Biden per se,but NY - but,i could not found better place.

1.Italian writer Federico Rampini sescribed what is happening on Columbia University - one italian chick must ask for forgivenss,becouse she as white could be racist.
All white students must meet every two week to learn about white racism.
After Gaza war started,jew students hide their heritage to not be persecuted.

Madness.

2.Good news - princess of darkness,Victoria Nuland,was removed from power.She was powerfull neokon,responsible for interventions on entire world,and worked for all presidents except Trump.
And now,she is gone.Good for USA and rest of world.
 
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