Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

King Arts

Well-known member
Jesus Christ. NATO does not operate this way.

And let this forum not forget your celebration of this war.
NATO would not get involved but if Romania, Hungary, and Poland did move to occupy those areas and had an under the table understanding with Russia to not contest those areas and they publicly say they are providing a cordon of security to refugees trying to escape Russia. NATO would not kick them out, there might be harsh words reminding them that Poland made similar mistakes in the Czech crisis with Germany and to be careful.
 

Eparkhos

Well-known member

Lot to go through:
- The Ukrainians claim to hold Shchastya and have repulsed Russian/LPR offensive, meaning that the LPR can't even secure 27km north of its own capital (yet)
- Russo-Belarussian offensive through Vystupovychi, west of Chernobyl, has allegedly been halted with R-Br armor losses
- U inflicting heavy R armor and personnel losses around Kharkiv
- Russians have landed on Zmiyinyi Island, near Romanian territorial waters. I don't see why they're sending forces here on the 1st day, it's more mop-up material. Might explain Turkish ship incident.
 

Arlos

Sad Monarchist

Lot to go through:
- The Ukrainians claim to hold Shchastya and have repulsed Russian/LPR offensive, meaning that the LPR can't even secure 27km north of its own capital (yet)
- Russo-Belarussian offensive through Vystupovychi, west of Chernobyl, has allegedly been halted with R-Br armor losses
- U inflicting heavy R armor and personnel losses around Kharkiv
- Russians have landed on Zmiyinyi Island, near Romanian territorial waters. I don't see why they're sending forces here on the 1st day, it's more mop-up material. Might explain Turkish ship incident.
I am actually doubtful the Russian are trying to push through Donbass; the established frontline actually keep a lot of Ukrainian troops stuck here, where they are easy to cut off, the fact that Russian are pushing hard towards Marioupole rather than North comfort me in this idea, afterall, who want to attack a place that has been fortified for 8 years if they can avoid it?
 
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WolfBear

Well-known member
NATO would not get involved but if Romania, Hungary, and Poland did move to occupy those areas and had an under the table understanding with Russia to not contest those areas and they publicly say they are providing a cordon of security to refugees trying to escape Russia. NATO would not kick them out, there might be harsh words reminding them that Poland made similar mistakes in the Czech crisis with Germany and to be careful.

You mean back in 1938?

Ten-minute old report from DPA, Russians in complete control of Henichesk and Kherson Raions, implying they've crossed the Dnieper at at least one point.

FMJJJbrXMAEgt0O
 

Floridaman

Well-known member
I am actually doubtful there Russian are trying to push through Donbass; the established frontline actually keep a lot of Ukrainian troops stuck here, where they are easy to cut off, the fact that Russian are pushing hard towards Marioupole rather than North comfort me in this idea, afterall, who want to attack a place that has been fortified for 8 years if they can avoid it?
Go around the fortifications, how very German of them. But yeah my guess is the goal is a pincer maneuver from Belarus and crimea to split east and west Ukraine at which point Russia can either starve them or squeeze the pocket.
 

Floridaman

Well-known member
Anybody got a good summary of why Putin is doing this?
What is he gaining domestically?
If this not the right thread - should I ask about the political side of the conflict in the "Politics" forum?
Domestically Russia has a few problems, namely an aging populace. By doing this he gets more defensible borders, more people and keeps NATO off his door step since his new demand is Ukraine completely demilitarize. And beyond that why wouldn’t he, the west is weak so if this is the best chance to take something, why not do it?
 

Floridaman

Well-known member
I think the real question now is how long before Ukrainian soldiers start throwing off their uniforms and blending in with the civilian population for an insurgency.
They probably won’t, the Russians are unfortunately very good at that style of fighting compare their experienice in Chechnya With us in Iraq, we try to find the specific insurgent, they flatten the village the insurgent is hiding in so the next town refuses to hide them.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Anybody got a good summary of why Putin is doing this?
What is he gaining domestically?
If this not the right thread - should I ask about the political side of the conflict in the "Politics" forum?
Google "Why is Ukraine the west's fault" a video by Realist political scientist John Mearsheimer.

Coach Redpill had a good summary why the war started, I summarized them earlier in the thread.
 

Carrot of Truth

War is Peace
They probably won’t, the Russians are unfortunately very good at that style of fighting compare their experienice in Chechnya With us in Iraq, we try to find the specific insurgent, they flatten the village the insurgent is hiding in so the next town refuses to hide them.

Well I don't think the Ukrainian military is going to last longer than by the end the week realistically, Like even if their morale is 110% they are going to start running out of shells bullets and fuel soon.
 

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