Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

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Ukraine's military budget is currently $53 billion, or over 26% of its GDP, with over half of that money going to military salaries.



Ukrainian Intelligence States that North Korea has provided Russia with over a hundred ballistic missiles, and over a hundred artillery systems, plus some five million artillery shells.



Russian Sign Ups for Contracted Soldiers has slowed to "only" 700 new recruits a day despite doubling of contract bonuses in recent months.



And some bits of combat footage. Like this Ukrainian SPAAG intercepting a Shahed Drone.



And multiple POV's of an FPV Attack and its immediate aftermath upon a Scooby Doo Van.

Ukrainian President Zelensky has stated he's open to ending the 'hot phase' of the War if it guarantees NATO Membership and their security umbrella for currently unoccupied territory in Ukraine and the recognition of Ukrainian international Borders, even if the land isn't returned in the short term.

news.sky.com

Zelenskyy suggests 'hot phase' of Ukraine war could end in return for NATO membership if offered - even if seized land isn't returned immediately

The Ukrainian president told Sky News's chief correspondent Stuart Ramsay NATO membership would have to be offered to unoccupied parts of the country in order to end the "hot phase of the war", as long as the NATO invitation itself recognises Ukraine's internationally recognised borders.
news.sky.com news.sky.com
 
> A top aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met Wednesday with Keith Kellogg, Trump's choice as special envoy for Russia and Ukraine, and Mike Waltz, the incoming national-security adviser, according to a Trump transition official and several people familiar with the discussions.
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> Vice president-elect JD Vance joined in the discussions.
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> Kellogg has signaled support for the Biden administration's efforts to rush weapons to Ukraine, saying it will give Trump leverage with Moscow in negotiating a settlement. But the Trump team has shown little interest in offering Ukraine membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which Zelensky has said he considers a vital security guarantee against future Russian aggression.
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> Andriy Yermak, Zelensky's closest adviser, is visiting Washington to forge relationships with Trump aides, according to people familiar with the planning. He met with the incoming White House chief of staff, Susie Wiles, in Florida earlier Wednesday. Worn down by waging the nearly three-year war against Russia, Ukraine plans to communicate its readiness for peace.
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> "But that needs to be a sustainable peace," said a person familiar with Kyiv's thinking. "An unstable, temporary peace doesn't serve U.S. or Ukrainian interests."
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> Zelensky has recently signaled Ukraine could agree to a cease-fire if Ukraine were permitted to join NATO. Kyiv would seek to win back Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia through diplomatic pressure, he said, rather than force, as he has long insisted.
(backup:Ukraine to Talk With Trump Team About Ending War With Russia - WSJ)
 
Perhaps as a surprise to no one, beyond Russia admitting it, the Oreshnik attack on Dnipro using a modified IRBM, was meant to intimidate Europeans and was planned well before the US and Europe authorized limited strikes in Russian territory with ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles.

www.themoscowtimes.com

Exclusive: Kremlin Stages Oreshnik Propaganda Blitz as Nuclear Threats Lose Their Potency - The Moscow Times

Russia’s unleashing of the Oreshnik experimental ballistic missile on Ukraine was a propaganda operation designed by the Kremlin, the military, and intelligence agencies to reignite fear in Kyiv and Western capitals that had grown accustomed to Moscow’s nuclear saber-rattling.
www.themoscowtimes.com www.themoscowtimes.com

carnegieendowment.org

Russia’s Hypersonic Missile Attack on Ukraine Was an Attempt at Blackmail

The military value of Russia’s strike on Ukraine using the new Oreshnik missile was limited. The Kremlin’s real intent was to intimidate Europeans.
carnegieendowment.org carnegieendowment.org

The number of attacks on Ukrainian Civilians in Kherson by Russian "Human Safari" drone teams approaches ten thousand.



First documented loss of Polaris MRZR All Terrain Vehicles in Russian Service during their Special Military Operation.



Ukrainian vehicle modification of a 122mm Missile Launcher mounted onto a Humvee.



A Russian Tor SAM System eliminated by a Ukrainian "Night Bomber" Drone.

 
President Zelensky states that Ukraine has suffered almost a half million military casualties including 43,000 dead and 370,000 wounded and while he states roughly half returned to duty, oftentimes its in support roles. Zelensky also claimed the Russians have suffered 198,000 dead with 550,000 wounded.



www.kyivpost.com

43,000 Ukrainian Troops Dead, 370,000 Injured Since 2022 – Zelensky

The Ukrainian president’s Sunday statement marked the first official Ukrainian casualty tally released by Kyiv since Russia’s 2022 invasion started – which is lower than current speculations.
www.kyivpost.com www.kyivpost.com

www.bbc.com

Ukraine war latest: 43,000 dead, Volodymyr Zelensky says in rare update

The Ukrainian president also claimed that 198,000 Russian soldiers had been killed and 550,000 wounded.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com

In a four square mile region of Kursk, there are reportedly almost a hundred destroyed Russian vehicles disabled by drones, mines, artillery and more.

www.forbes.com

‘Catastrophic.’ With Mines, Drones, Artillery And Tanks, Ukrainian Troops Wreck 90 Russian Vehicles Across Four Square Miles Of Kursk.

Russia’s long offensive is faltering.
www.forbes.com www.forbes.com

Combat footage of a Shahed Drone being intercepted by an Mi-8 Military Utility Helicopter.



US announced a near one billion dollar military package for Ukraine, as part of the rush to deliver the remaining five billion in military aid before the transition of power. Just a few days ago it announced a $725 million dollar military package covering different capabilites.

kyivindependent.com

US announces $988 million military aid package for Ukraine

The latest aid package will be pulled through the remaining $2 billion in funding from the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) — a Pentagon-led program for supplying arms to Ukraine through contracts with U.S. defense companies.
kyivindependent.com kyivindependent.com

Russia announces their new conventional IRBM MIRV missiles converted from nuclear IRBM missiles, the Oreshniks, will be deployed to Belarus.

euromaidanpress.com

ISW: Deployment of Oreshnik in Belarus does not increase the risk of strikes on Ukraine or NATO countries - Euromaidan Press

Putin's missile showcase represents a continuation of psychological warfare tactics, not a significant military escalation.
euromaidanpress.com euromaidanpress.com
 
Perun video is analyzing Russian Equipment Losses, Reserves and Production. It first examines Russian IFV's, pointing out the large loss of IFV's especially in comparison to Ukrainian IFV losses. This is creating a weird gap where IFV roles are increasingly being fulfilled by newly built BMP-3's, and Soviet era legacy APC's and wheeled vehicles as well as the increasingly more common sight of things like the modern BTR-82 being used in tracked IFV roles. He roughly hypothesizes that Russian BMP losses have to be reduced by at least two thirds or else the BMP stockpile will continue dwindling away.

He then moves onto MT-LB's and BTR's and states that out of almost five thousand MT-LB's in storage... there might be around three hundred left since they were basically used for everything. Modern BTR-82's have made up upwards of seventy percent of losses of Russian BTR's and over a thousand have been lost since the War started while an estimate of 300-400 new BTR-82's are being produced by Russia but of them, its possible three quarters are rebuilds of older BTR-80's and currently there are very few BTR-80's visibly left in storage in decent condition. Most of the almost 600 BTR's left in storage tend to be BTR-60's and 70's.

With Self Propelled Guns, it has the lowest loss rate of those in storage and aren't the main artillery systems being reactivated. What's interesting is that Russia has withdrawn an estimated 6,700 howitzers out of storage despite the documented losses of towed howitzers only being a bare fraction of that number. There are some explanations such as that towed artillery is usually destroyed by counter-battery fire, loitering munitions, or rocket artillery and thus not documented but it seems far more likely that the barrels of these towed howitzers are being used to replace worn down and expired artillery barrels due to Russia's heavy use of artillery rounds in this war.

Meanwhile Russia's "Heavy Towed Mortars" (not infantry mortars) were in widespread use in the first years of the War. Pre-Invasion heavy towed mortars made up 20% of Russia's Artillery Reserves, were easier to reactivate and they had around three thousand in storage. Now... apparently there are no visibly Heavy Towed Mortars left in storage.

Finally he discusses rocket artillery pointing out almost all of Russia's BM-21 Grad MLRS systems have been pulled from storage, while only a majority of the BM-27 MLRS systems have been withdrawn from storage. Russia has been documented as having lost almost four hundred BM-21's but have estimatedly pulled 200 or so out of storage. Yet the main chokepoint here is rocket production. RUSI estimates that Russian rocket production per annum is 17,000 122mm rockets or... 85 rockets per year for 200 BM-21 Grads. Russia has already pulled out much of its MRLS Launcher reserves and will be depending on the far smaller production of the 122mm Tornado-G MRL System going forward.



Next week Perun will be reportedly covering Ukrainian Equipment Losses, Reserves and Production.

Ukraine was able to launch another Unmanned Surface Vessel Attack upon the Kerch Bay Area, with Ukrainian Sea Baby drones engaging Russian Navy and Coast Guard vessels as well as being engaged by Russian helicopters and jet aircraft. Russia states they destroyed two Ukrainian USV's and shot down one aerial drone.

Ukraine states that several Russian helicopters suffered casualties and serious damage from the USV's automated mounted machine guns and that a barge carrying military equipment was sunk. The Kerch Bridge was reportedly temporarily closed in response.

Interestingly of thirty four barrier barges positioned to protect the southern side of the Kerch Bridge, only sixteen remain.





kyivindependent.com

Crimean Bridge closed after reported Ukrainian drone strikes on Kerch

"Vehicular traffic on the Crimean Bridge has been temporarily suspended," the Crimean Bridge: Operational Information Telegram channel said.
kyivindependent.com kyivindependent.com

Russia will reportedly be transferring MiG-29 and Su-27 Jets to North Korea.

theaviationist.com

Russia Will Send Su-27 and MiG-29 Fighters to North Korea, According to U.S. Navy Admiral

While North Korean soldiers join Russia’s war against Ukraine, an apparent reciprocal deal to supply the reclusive regime with more fighter aircraft has
theaviationist.com theaviationist.com

Russia is also sending North Korea one hundred 'elite' Russian Dairy Goats as well. It is the first of a planned transfer of 447 Goats (432 of which are pregnant) to North Korea. Over two thousand farm animals, including horses and Holstein Cows, have been dispatched to North Korea, presumably in exchange for North Korean military assistance.

www.newsweek.com

Russia sends 100 'elite goats' to North Korea

The dairy goats are Vladimir Putin's latest gift to Kim Jong Un as political, military and economic ties between their nations grow stronger.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com
 
Russian MIC happy - with most of the materiel reserve gone, it will have contracts for decades.
The "heavy towed morrtars" - are these the 160 or 240mm jobbies? Or both?

Russia trading airplanes for infantry? As if any more arguments were needed in the "who wins wars" debate.

The goats killed me :D
 
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Russia launched its largest missile and drone raid in months, reportedly almost exclusively targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure in the depths of winter and stating it was retaliation for the ATACMS strikes into Russian territory. Over ninety missiles and twice that in mostly Shahed drones reportedly used.







The ATACMS Strike by Ukraine that supposedly caused this reprisal occurred two days ago, struck the Taganrog Aviation Scientific and Technical Complex of G. M. Beriev which had been targeted by Ukrainian Drones before. The facility, among other things, handles and manufactures Russian Electronic Warfare aircraft such as the A-50 and A-100.



Ukraine has a new Ground Forces Commander, Mykhailo Drapatyi.

 
North Korean troops reportedly engaged in their first offfensive actions in the Ukrainian Conflict, conducting what was supposedly an infantry based assault on Ukrainian positions, suffering significant casualties.



There are also reports of North Korean troops engaging in offensive actions in the Kursk region as well.



There are reports the North Koreans also engaged in a friendly fire incident, killing eight "Kadyrovites" or Chechen Akhmat troops in Kursk.



Partisan activity or Ukrainian Saboteurs reportedly destroyed a Russian Su-30 Jet at Russia's Krymsk Airbase. Three Russian locomotives reportedly carrying military equipment were also destroyed in a fire.



 
Russian general assassinated in Moscow by scooter bomb.
kz.kursiv.media

Bomb hidden in scooter kills Russian high-ranking general in Moscow

A massive explosion occurred on the ground floor of an apartment block in Moscow, resulting in the deaths of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov (equivalent to a Major General in the U.S. Army) and his aide. According to Mash.ru, an explosive device hidden in a scooter’s handlebar was detonated at...
kz.kursiv.media kz.kursiv.media
 
Marked increase in North Korean support of Russia with troops and munitions. A reported twelve thousand North Korean troops are operating against Ukraine. Also North Korea has engaged in a massive expansion of weapons and munitions production fueled by over a million barrels of Russian oil sent to North Korea. It's being theorized that arms deals with Russia have netted North Korea an estimated $5.5 billion so far.

Russia is also investing in improving North Korean munitions manufacturing so their decades old technology can at least be brought up to Russian standards so that higher quality North Korean ammunition can be sent to Russia in turn. Russia is also helping North Korea develop a new 600mm rocket with the reported intended firepower of a ballistic missile in the form of the still under development KN-25.

According to Ukraine North Korea might be providing Russia upwards of sixty percent of the artillery shells and mortar bombs Russia uses in Ukraine as well as a third of its rockets along with dozens of Hwasong-11/KN-23 class ballistic missiles. It's believed North Korea has sent Russia over five million artillery shells up to this point.



euromaidanpress.com

WSJ: North Korea boosts weapons supply to Russia amid deepening alliance - Euromaidan Press

Satellite imagery reveals North Korea's massive expansion of weapons production facilities and increased shipments to Russia.
euromaidanpress.com euromaidanpress.com

A few days ago the Russians struck an Oncology Clinic in Kherson, claiming the rooftop was being used to launch UAV's. It was apparently struck with multiple Glide Bombs.



A video from Preston Stewart on the ongoing series of videos and documentation of Russians executing Ukrainian prisoners, now reaching into the possibility of hundreds of known executed Ukrainian prisoners.



A Russian Su-25 survived impacting one of their own Zala Recon UAV's, the latter of which was tragically lost.



Binkov's Battlegrounds did a video on comparing Russian and Ukrainian Manpower Issues. Talks about not just losses during the conflict, but what each side is doing in regards to getting more soldiers of course and even the rising age of the average soldier in both the Russian and Ukrainian Armies as well as things like desertion rates as well as possible force increases for both sides under various scenarios.

 
A Russian Pantsir Air Defesne System Reportedly Shotdown an Azerbaijan Airliner whilst Ukrainian Drones were targeting the Chechen City of Grozny.





The Azerbaijan Embraer 190 Jet had 62 people on board for its flight from Azerbaijan to Russia. Thirty two of the sixty two on board have been rescued, with twenty nine of those requiring hospital treatment.

www.foxnews.com

Azerbaijan Airlines plane headed to Russia crashes hundreds of miles off course, dozens dead

An Azerbaijan Airlines flight from the Azerbaijani capital of Baku to Russia crashed, hospitalizing survivors while dozens are feared dead.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com

In the wake of the large Russian missile and drone offensive that took place on Christmas that involved over a hundred missiles and drones, the Sloyansk Thermal Power Plant was set on fire.





At least one Russian cruise missile reported crossed 140 kilometers of Moldovan and Romanian Airspace en route to its target. Romanian MoD states it got no readings that such a violation of their airspace occurred.



euromaidanpress.com

Russian missile flew 140 kilometers over Moldova and Romania before reaching Ukraine - media - Euromaidan Press

A Russian cruise missile violated NATO member Romania's airspace during a massive strike on Ukrainian energy facilities this morning.
euromaidanpress.com euromaidanpress.com
 
Apparently after being shot at by Russian Air Defense, the Azeri Passenger Airliner was refused the permission to land in Russian airports and was forced to fly across the Caspian Sea towards the next closest available airport they could find which was in Kazakhstan hundreds of kilometers away. It is there that the plane crashed, killing everyone that was in the front section of the plane.



 
Buba said:
Russian general assassinated in Moscow by scooter bomb.
kz.kursiv.media

Bomb hidden in scooter kills Russian high-ranking general in Moscow

A massive explosion occurred on the ground floor of an apartment block in Moscow, resulting in the deaths of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov (equivalent to a Major General in the U.S. Army) and his aide. According to Mash.ru, an explosive device hidden in a scooter’s handlebar was detonated at...
kz.kursiv.media kz.kursiv.media
Click to expand...

PeaceMaker 03 said:
New Signs of Russia having issues.

Murphy's Law: Russian Ball Bearing Blues

Russia’s ability to continue the Ukraine war is being compromised due to catastrophic mismanagement of its railway system This emerging situation is so dire that cutoffs of service to vast areas, starting with Siberia east of Irkutsk to the Bering
www.strategypage.com www.strategypage.com
Click to expand...
Russia is Larry in this scene btw:

EDIT: Idk who John Goodman is though. Maybe God? The Geometric Momentum of Russian Collective Stupidity? I dunno. I'd have to think about it for awhile tbh
 
A Ukrainian Magura USV reportedly shot down a Russian Navy Mi-8 Helicopter... which was on anti-USV patrol. According to some Russian bloggers, two Mi-8 Helicopters were actually lost to Magura USV's armed with modified R-27 missiles for a surface to air role.





Not long afterwards the Russian military suffered its first helicopter loss in 2025, of a Mi-28 Attack Helicopter.



On December 30th the White House announced another $2.5 billion military aid package for Ukraine.

www.whitehouse.gov

Statement from President Joe Biden on U.S. Support for Ukraine’s Defense | The White House

Today, I am proud to announce nearly $2.5 billion in security assistance for Ukraine, as the Ukrainian people continue to defend their independence and
www.whitehouse.gov www.whitehouse.gov

www.aljazeera.com

US President Biden announces $2.5bn military aid package for Ukraine

Administration of US President Joe Biden has committed more than $65bn in support since Russia’s full-scale invasion.
www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com

Russia has suspended gas exports to its vassal state of Transnistria. Many private businesses are now closed or limited, unemployment rising and public facilities having no heating this winter. It's a bold strategy meant to destabilize Moldova which recently elected a government unfavorable to Muscovy.



One province of Russia is offering five times the annual salary of the region for volunteers to sign a contract of service for the Special Military Operation in Ukraine.

 
1 - Is Samara in Tatarstan, or am I confusing it with Kazan?

2 - How does Transnistria freezing destabilise Moldavia? It is as much a part of Moldavia as Kosovo is of Serbia, or Taiwan of China?
 
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