Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

Captain X

Well-known member
Osaul
I may be playing a bit of the "blame the victim" game, but what was she doing in Russia to begin with? Has she been there since before they invaded Ukraine?
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Which is why, as usual, you need to actually learn to read before posting. I've told you many times and it continues to be obvious it's intentional on your end:



Does the word Ukrainians indicate a cumulative total? Sure, but nowhere in there does it lead to the exact opposite, which you have taken, as it meaning all are civilians. As I said before, the second paragraph explicitly states the opposite of what you're projecting. Furthermore, we have plenty of additional evidence to show large numbers of military casualties to buttress this position.
The position that the 100k estimate has practically no bearing on military casualties?

What an odd thing to say, given the Ukrainian official position on June 10th was 10,000 KIA and 30,000 WIA so can safely conclude another area of you having no idea what you're talking about:



A a few days later David Arakhamia said the number was now 200 to 500 killed on average and many more wounded. Either way you stack it, your claim here is absolutely bunk.

What, that the 100k estimate is mostly civilians?
Does the word Ukrainians indicate a cumulative total? Sure, but nowhere in there does it lead to the exact opposite, which you have taken, as it meaning all are civilians.

If you did some math instead of juggling rhetoric like a clown you would spare yourself a lot of typing.

You literally just said Ukraine cannot get any proper data from Russian controlled areas....and then just cited a Ukrainian official making claims about casualties in a Russian controlled area. Really might need to exercise some self awareness about who is twisting themselves into a pretzel here, because it's not I.
That's why the 100k you quoted is an estimate too, not data, poindexter.
 

Megadeath

Well-known member
Well you kinda hit the nail on the head immediately, by citing Russian withdrawal from areas as to why the 100,000 figure is mostly military; how exactly can the Russians be killing Ukrainian civilians in large numbers if they're not occupying Ukrainian civilians in large numbers in the first place?
"not occupying Ukrainian civilians"? ...? Anyway... Moving past the fact that particular statement wouldn't pass the Turing test, the actual argument goes beyond idiotic. I mean, I guess their were no UK civilian casualties in WW2, since the Germans never occupied British civilians? Large scale bombing and artillery strikes are famous for the fact that they're physically incapable of hitting the wrong target. :rolleyes:

Further, I'm glad Marduk brought up Bucha; if the Russians are actually out here mass executing Ukrainian civilians by the tens of thousands, where is the supporting evidence? The U.S. produced satellite imagery for Bucha, where are the killing fields that would contain bodies equal to Babi Yar? Maybe your take then is Russian airpower and missiles are just that horrific, but I thought the party line was the Russians were running out of them and they were very badly inaccurate?
There's just too much wildly blatant misrepresentation here for it to be taken seriously. They're running out of half decent modern missiles, so they're forced to use older and role inappropriate weapons to make up the shortfall. Because they're forced to use shitty weapons, their accuracy sucks. Because their accuracy sucks, they have to fire more to have a decent chance of hitting their target. Because they're firing larger amounts of less accurate fire, they're more likely to cause collateral damage, including civilian casualties. Because the Russian leadership are 10 pounds of shit stuffed into a 5 pound bag, they don't care. Ergo, greater civilian casualties tha and necessary, even if they weren't practising scorched earth policies and indiscriminate targeting on the attack.

Seriously, it's called critical thinking and far too many of you aren't using it in the least in this conflict. The narratives you have all bought into are directly contradictory and require you to get into so many logical contradictions it's not funny.
No, it's confirmation bias, and the degree to which you've decided to support an extraordinary partisan view is as confusing as it is sad.

The amount of projection in this post is honestly hilarious. If it's no use in loophole debating, then why make this paragraph? Or, even better, this post given you were not the subject of the conversation to begin with? For someone who sees no "impact on the real world situation" or that I'm not "convincing anyone here", it's odd you've never stopped to consider that's exactly what you're achieving here with me? As I said, it's all projection,
I mean... That's not what projection is? As for what I personally am hoping to achieve, I'd like for idiots spouting bullshit to shut up, so I can use the thread as a source for details I might otherwise miss, and in a secondary role of showing a different political POV on that info. I don't come here to see a surprisingly clever, trained Russian dancing bear.

but since you brought up the subject of prophets:

Truly, we live in an age of prophets with people like you around, Russia’s Oil Revenue Soars Despite Sanctions, Study Finds:

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine triggered global condemnation and tough sanctions aimed at denting Moscow’s war chest. Yet Russia’s revenues from fossil fuels, by far its biggest export, soared to records in the first 100 days of its war on Ukraine, driven by a windfall from oil sales amid surging prices, a new analysis shows.​
Russia earned what is very likely a record 93 billion euros in revenue from exports of oil, gas and coal in the first 100 days of the country’s invasion of Ukraine, according to data analyzed by the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a research organization based in Helsinki, Finland. About two-thirds of those earnings, the equivalent of about $97 billion, came from oil, and most of the remainder from natural gas.​
“The current rate of revenue is unprecedented, because prices are unprecedented, and export volumes are close to their highest levels on record,” said Lauri Myllyvirta, an analyst who led the center’s research.​
And, as we have all learned from your previous proclamations, all trends, no matter how short or what the surrounding context is, can be extended arbitrarily into the future for however long you'd like to give you the inescapable gospel truth.

I mostly just find you a joke to be honest, especially with this fake sympathy here. You've spent this entire thread and every interaction with me in particular doing nothing but personal attacks because that's all you can do. You've never been able to bring any citation with me, and in our last tangle you promptly fucked off when I was able to cite seven different sources to prove my case. You're not fooling anybody with these fake crocodile tears, because I realize exactly what you are.
Mate... If all you've seen in everything I've said is personal attacks, you've probably got a problem with egocentrisim too, or even narcissistic personality disorder making it hard to separate someone pointing out the things you say are stupid, as opposed to saying you are stupid.

If you think I left because you posted a bunch of links that you were prepared to argue yourself blue in the face to say they supported whatever bs you were on about at the time, well good for you. I hope you pat yourself on the back and treat yourself to a special cookie for your victory. The reality is that the shit you say is so disconnected from reality, and the arguments you make so entirely predicated on that confirmation biased view, I truly CBF to argue you any more.

You're right that I'm not going to change your mind. I can only hope that eventually reality will. In the meantime, despite some deeply unpleasant interactions, and huge amounts of hostility I've been met with elsewhere on the board, congratulations on being the first person I truly felt I had no point talking to, and nothing to gain from such, and thus making the one and only spot on my ignore list!
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
I may be playing a bit of the "blame the victim" game, but what was she doing in Russia to begin with? Has she been there since before they invaded Ukraine?
She was there because she plays basketball there during the off season, and she was detained for having cannabis oil.
And yes she has.
The cite is from a Non Russian tweet?
They were quoting what a Russian source said...
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
That was it?! I heard she had pounds of weed...'course, now that I think on it, I've not looked closely at any of this. It's not important to me so I haven't invested any time verifying said reportage.
From what I remember yeah, it was just cannabis oil or the cannabis vape juice.
 

Scottty

Well-known member
Founder
They raised the Soviet Flag. 👌
muajaja-the-simpsons.gif
 

WolfBear

Well-known member

Simpsons reference strikes again!

They raised the Soviet Flag. 👌

On the one hand, we have the existing Russian regime saying that Lenin's national self-determination policy was a mistake:


On the other hand, though, Russia still loves the Soviet Union enough to raise the Soviet flag in Russian-occupied Ukraine.

A split mentality?
 

LordsFire

Internet Wizard

I only really bothered to read the start of that, but it's some high-order alternate-reality Russia apologism combined with TDS.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
I only really bothered to read the start of that, but it's some high-order alternate-reality Russia apologism combined with TDS.
It's a perfect Rorschach test article.
The guy basically argues that contrary to the common democrat theories that Trump was a Russian puppet, Trump has destroyed all hopes and dreams of the Russia appeasement lobby so throughly that they couldn't even pull Biden to their side because of it. He obviously sounds like he aspired to membership in it, and from that perspective it first the TDS club. But if you think that's a good thing....
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Good idea, to be honest. FWIW, support for federalization in the Donbass was in the 40% range in early 2014. However, even 40% support overall could theoretically translate into local majorities in parts of the Donbass, as evidenced by the results of the 1921 Upper Silesia plebiscite. In this plebiscite, only 41% of the total voters supported Polish rule over Upper Silesia but Poland nevertheless managed to win local majorities in certain areas:



Red = Pro-Poland, Blue = Pro-German. Again, the overall result was 59% pro-German and 41% pro-Polish.


FWIW, in May 2014, a majority of the people in the Donbass supported either a federal Ukraine or outright secession from Ukraine:


So, the separatist movement there actually was genuine, even if it was led by some (often Russian) bad apples. :(
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Off-topic, but which countries have ideal borders from a geographical perspective? I'm trying this into the concept of natural borders here:




I can think of:

-Small island countries such as Britain and Japan
-The Byzantine Empire before the 1071 Battle of Manzkiert. Back then, it had the Danube River as its northern border in Europe and the Taurus borders as its eastern border in Asia (well, OK, it went a little bit beyond the Taurus, but this was even more beneficial for the Byzantines)
-France during the Napoleonic Wars, when it expanded up to the Rhine River in the north and northeast. France was also bordered by mountain ranges on its other borders.
-Interwar Italy: Surrounded by the Alps on all sides where it is not surrounded by seas.
-Austria-Hungary: Defended by the Sudeten Mountains in the northwest and by the Carpathian Mountains in the northeast and east. Would have been even better had it not included Galicia, though, since Galicia is harder to defend.

Who else would qualify for this?
 

LordsFire

Internet Wizard

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