Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

290 Javelins have been fired according to Ukraine. Yet we only have documentation of 13 Russian AFVs taken out by Javelins to the point they are write offs as opposed to a mission kill and still returnable to combat after repairs. An indication that the cages are working in combination with the ERA and other countermeasures such as smoke dischargers that saturate infrared sensors and lasers, and dazzlers plus the Russians own Infantry Teams hunting Ukrainian AT Teams.

In fact we are seeing UkA SOF in the rear zones primarily using the ole RPG series and Soviet ATGMs which are easier for them to source as they can capture the RuA's own stock to replenish.

Western Weapons are more propaganda hype than their actual impact which is minimal at best and like the TOWs in Syria, over blown in their actual operational impact in the fighting.
Uh....
No they arnt working. Because when you say AFV it means BMPs, stuff like that. Tanks though many consider, are not AFVs. They are MBTs, or considered just...Armor.

The cope cages arnt working because if they were, we wouldn't see footage of them being destroyed or on destroyed tanks...

But what ever floats your boat.
The US has even tested the Javes against said cages. And they didn't do shit...
 
Uh....
No they arnt working. Because when you say AFV it means BMPs, stuff like that. Tanks though many consider, are not AFVs. They are MBTs, or considered just...Armor.

The cope cages arnt working because if they were, we wouldn't see footage of them being destroyed or on destroyed tanks...

But what ever floats your boat.
The US has even tested the Javes against said cages. And they didn't do shit...
My dude, seeing tanks knocked out inspite of their armor doesn't mean that armor in general doesn't work. Just that it didn't work that time in particular. You need a bigger data set then some one off tweets.

Yes, I'm going to take the US military's word that their missile one hundred percent defeats top mounted cage, in all instances. Just like the initial Bradley was a fine IFV with no issues at all.
 
My dude, seeing tanks knocked out inspite of their armor doesn't mean that armor in general doesn't work. Just that it didn't work that time in particular. You need a bigger data set then some one off tweets.

Yes, I'm going to take the US military's word that their missile one hundred percent defeats top mounted cage, in all instances. Just like the initial Bradley was a fine IFV with no issues at all.
Yea... That's not how this works...

At this point if you want to keep claiming they work, you need to actually show pictures or video of them working.
 
My dude, seeing tanks knocked out inspite of their armor doesn't mean that armor in general doesn't work. Just that it didn't work that time in particular. You need a bigger data set then some one off tweets.

Yes, I'm going to take the US military's word that their missile one hundred percent defeats top mounted cage, in all instances. Just like the initial Bradley was a fine IFV with no issues at all.
Can you shoe proof of the Javes being defeated by a pathetic excuse of SLAT armor?
Because every single instance. As well as US testing had shown it wont
 
Uh....
No they arnt working. Because when you say AFV it means BMPs, stuff like that. Tanks though many consider, are not AFVs. They are MBTs, or considered just...Armor.

The cope cages arnt working because if they were, we wouldn't see footage of them being destroyed or on destroyed tanks...

But what ever floats your boat.
The US has even tested the Javes against said cages. And they didn't do shit...

Tanks are definitely AFVs and classed as such.

As for photos, we seen destroyed Tanks that had clearly been hit in the side in ambushes at close range. We also see large numbers of Tanks with the cages showing visible marks of battle and scorching but still operating.

Frankly there is not enough data and too much survivor bias to come to any conclusions. As it stands, the UkA is still unable to take the initiative and is being destroyed at an unsustainable rate in local counter-attacks. Zelensky knows this, knows he is fucked, but is backed into a noose of his own making.

At the end of the day, the Operationally Reality is once the Chenobyl Chokepoint was breached, the UkA lost any hope of forming Corps level counter-attack formations that could prevent the pocketing of the Northeast Units and allow the extrication of the Kharkiv and Donbas Fronts to form Army level counter-attack units.

Russians were willing to accept high losses in the breach phase to pull this off, and in the long run as the pockets in the Northeast throw in the towel, fewer folks on both sides will die, and they get all their abandoned gear and more back.

But given you still confuse fighting a 3rd world militia as indicative of how mass maneuver warfare is fought between industrial states, I don't hold out hope for you.
 
You do you, it's pretty far from good but I wouldn't call it a warcrime. Though these days everything is a warcrime if Russia does it and nothing is if the Ukrainians do it. Just like when it was the middle east and everything the US did was a warcrime and nothing the insurgency did was.

Calling everyone you don't like and everything they do warcrimes vasty degrades the word. I firmly believe both sides are and will commit actual warcrimes, both should be punished for them, according to the actual rules about them. Ruleless war benefits no one, least of all civilians caught in the fighting.
And you can try to argue "both sides" and "what about" all you want, the fact is Russian troops intentionally fired on civilians and killed them, while conducting a war of aggression on the country those civilians were citizens of.
 
My dude, seeing tanks knocked out inspite of their armor doesn't mean that armor in general doesn't work. Just that it didn't work that time in particular. You need a bigger data set then some one off tweets.

Yes, I'm going to take the US military's word that their missile one hundred percent defeats top mounted cage, in all instances. Just like the initial Bradley was a fine IFV with no issues at all.

I haven't heard any US Military estimates. Only estimate I've seen is this one:

Audacy said:
However, the numbers of tanks killed by Ukrainian soldiers, with the Javelin or other anti-tank weapons, are difficult to take seriously. Mostly appearing on social media, these numbers are likely to be exaggerated by the Ukrainians and downplayed by the Russians. The usual fog of war makes it even more difficult to ascertain accurate numbers.

However, a U.S. Special Operations official monitoring the conflict in Ukraine told Connecting Vets that he had seen estimates of 280 Russian armored vehicles taken out by the Javelin as of this writing, out of 300 total missiles fired.


Just estimates on armored vehicles.

So the estimates in this thread so far are between 6% to 93%!

Of course it's being reported in some media as a 93% kill rate of Russian tanks. Who needs context? :p
 


More talk on the cages:

1. RPGs are the most common threat based on real world experience

2. 82mm mortars if they hit the top of a tank can ruin its day and this is protection from that. Ordinance from smaller drones as well can be shielded from.

3. Extra stowage

4. Camouflage including thermal masking camouflage can cause an infrared guided ATGM to go for the engine block instead of the crew compartment.

I disagree on it being useless against a tandem Javelin. If the first warhead detonates on the screen, there is a chance it can cause the impact angle to change as well and that can mean the difference between a destroyed tank or a damaged tank or the second and main warhead missing the tank entirely. The Russian have no doubt tested this theory with their own ATGMs.
 


Not to fear everyone, Kamala is going to solve the Ukraine crisis the same way she solved the crisis on the US Southern Border...by ignoring it and probably making it worse.


Now really, all she needs to do is kneel to the involved parties and prove that her services do not suck at all. In fact, I imagine she will give such a hard well deserved impression she will blow away their expectations.
 
Not to fear everyone, Kamala is going to solve the Ukraine crisis the same way she solved the crisis on the US Southern Border...by ignoring it and probably making it worse.
That's some poor reporting. Harris is dispatched to Poland to hash out plane transfer deal for Ukraine, not to resolve the crisis in general.
To be honest, I doubt there is a way for her to fail in the task, since it's basically win-win for everyone involved.
US gets rid of some older planes, bolstering Poland and Ukraine. The expense is negligible as far as US budget is concerned, and maybe US companies get some maintenance contracts.
Poland gets better planes.
Ukraine gets something to replace their bombed-out Air Force.

I suspect the only reason the deal is not sealed already is because Poles smell an opportunity and want a bigger cut.
 

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