Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

[Arch Dornan]

Russian Wins in Eastern Ukraine Spark Debate Over Course of War

Russian troops are making steady progress in Ukraine’s east on the back of more-concentrated artillery and air power, now controlling almost all of the Luhansk region and threatening to encircle thousands of Ukraine’s most experienced troops.

www.bloomberg.com

If a western media makes this report are they admitting the conclusion of the war?

The Heritage foundation is also showing reluctance towards the Ukraine aid package.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Sverodonetesk Captured. Ukrainian Troops Left so as to not be encircled. More Russian attacks occurring in the Popasna region now.



Biden White House Finally Clarified what Rocket Artillery They Will Provide Ukraine after initial statements saying they would not provide Ukraine with rockets that could hit Russia.



Slovakia Apparently Sold Eight 155mm Zuzana SPG's to Ukraine.



Footage of Ukrainian Helicopters Ferrying Supplies in and Evacuating People out of Mariupol when it was Under Siege.



Reportedly Video of Reservists who 'Volunteered' to Serve in Ukraine in Service with the Russian Naval Infantry.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Nitric Acid Tanks Struck in the Luhansk Oblast by Russian Ordinance Apparently.



First Reported Image of M109 SPGs in Service in Ukraine.



Reportedly Video of a Russian Incendiary Strike Somewhere in the Donbass Region.



Ukrainian Forces Engaging Russian Alligator Helicopter with Igla MANPAD.



Donated Polish T-72M Tanks Modified with Additional Reactive Armor by Ukrainian Military.



New Zealand forces are apparently Training Ukrainian troops in the United Kingdom on how to Operate British 105mm L118/L119 Light Guns that Britain will be donating to Ukraine.

Jacinda Ardern says NZ troops will train Ukraine soldiers in using a howitzer gun

The PM says New Zealand will send 30 troops to the United Kingdom to directly train 230 Ukrainian soldiers in using a howitzer.

i.stuff.co.nz

 

[Vaermina]

An interesting video on Ukraine artillery capability.

 

[WolfBear]

Cracks Appear in Western Front Against Russia’s War in Ukraine - WSJ

archived 31 May 2022 14:00:40 UTC

archive.ph

The problem that I see in aiming for a premature end to the war is that Russia could simply try doing this again at some future point in time. In other words, any end to the war could be a truce rather than a genuine peace, similar to the post-World War I peace settlement or the post-Gulf War peace settlement. And I suspect that it would be very politically difficult for the West to lift sanctions on Russia so long as Russia is occupying any Ukrainian territory outside of Crimea and the Donbass and so long as Russia will refuse to pay any reparations to Ukraine for its invasion.

 

[WolfBear]

Russian Wins in Eastern Ukraine Spark Debate Over Course of War

Russian troops are making steady progress in Ukraine’s east on the back of more-concentrated artillery and air power, now controlling almost all of the Luhansk region and threatening to encircle thousands of Ukraine’s most experienced troops.

www.bloomberg.com

If a western media makes this report are they admitting the conclusion of the war?

The Heritage foundation is also showing reluctance towards the Ukraine aid package.

Ukraine still has plenty of territories to defend other than the Donbass, you know? And in the Franco-Prussian War, it took France a while after Sedan to give up the fight. And I'd first like to actually see Russia succeeding in encircling huge numbers of Ukrainian troops before prematurely panicking about this. But Yeah, given just how overwhelmingly hostile Ukrainians are towards Russia, Ukraine could try doing a levee en masse and even shoot deserters just like the Soviet Union did during World War II:

Anatoly Karlin (🅉,🅉) (@powerfultakes)

Blogger or troll - opinions differ. 🔗http://akarlin.com / 🇷🇺http://t.me/powerfultakes "The weak do not deserve my takes." 🌍#geopolitics 🧠#psychometrics 🧬#transhumanism

nitter.mstdn.social

And of course Russia would totally fail in securing much of Ukraine's human capital since most Ukrainians would likely prefer to emigrate than to work for Russia. Nowadays, support for Russian integration is in the single digits even in eastern Ukraine:

Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine

www.iri.org

IRI Ukraine Poll Shows Overwhelming Support for Zelensky, Confidence in Winning the War, Desire for EU Membership

Kyiv, Ukraine – The latest public opinion survey conducted by the International Republican Institute’s (IRI) Center for Insights in Survey Research

www.iri.org

Additionally, the survey found that Ukrainians have a strong desire to join the EU. Eighty percent support joining the EU if they could enter one economic union. Only 2% would join the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan.

 

[Arch Dornan]

Ukraine still has plenty of territories to defend other than the Donbass, you know? And in the Franco-Prussian War, it took France a while after Sedan to give up the fight. And I'd first like to actually see Russia succeeding in encircling huge numbers of Ukrainian troops before prematurely panicking about this. But Yeah, given just how overwhelmingly hostile Ukrainians are towards Russia, Ukraine could try doing a levee en masse and even shoot deserters just like the Soviet Union did during World War II:

From what I understand the Russian way is to grind Ukranians by cheating with artillery as they slowly advance forward with cauldrons to encircle them. I don't see that changing when that way is to keep killing the Ukranian military until there's none left to resist.

I heard they're already shooting them already with Azov influenced officers thus making morale go even lower.

And of course Russia would totally fail in securing much of Ukraine's human capital since most Ukrainians would likely prefer to emigrate than to work for Russia. Nowadays, support for Russian integration is in the single digits even in eastern Ukraine:

Sucks for them. I heard otherwise for other Russians but opinion is always divisive.

 

[Husky_Khan]

US Confirms it Will Be Sending HIMARS, a light MLRS system, to Ukraine with Rockets That Have an eighty kilometer range, not the rockets with the 2-300 kilometer reported range so as to not allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russia.



Some Alleged Expert Decided to Rant about the M270 MLRS, HIMARs and their Russian Equivalents in a Long Twitter Thread Correcting the Apparently Error-Ridden Wikipedia Article about these topics and going into a fairly deep dive on each systems and their attributes and even the rockets and their colorful histories as well as their potential impact in the Conflict.





Russians making small Advances Through Sverodonetsk in the Luhansk Oblast in the East. Ukrainians Making Small Advances in the Kherson Oblast in the South Reportedly.



The 155mm M109's SPG's, or at least twenty of them, were Donated by Norway to Ukrainian Forces.

 

[WolfBear]

US Confirms it Will Be Sending HIMARS, a light MLRS system, to Ukraine with Rockets That Have an eighty kilometer range, not the rockets with the 2-300 kilometer reported range so as to not allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russia.

Probably a good idea. Helps Ukraine while reducing the risk of escalation.

 

[WolfBear]

Ukrainian forces making some progress in southern region -Zelenskiy

Ukrainian forces have had some success near the southern city of Kherson and are advancing in parts of the Kharkiv region to the east of Kyiv, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Tuesday.

www.reuters.com

 

[Husky_Khan]

A Member of the Resistance Committee, an Anarchist Battalion Serving in Defense of Ukraine, was interviewed by MilitantWire.

ILYA: What was behind the decision to engage in military resistance to the invasion? From my point of view, the main reasons are:
1) Necessity and determination to be together with the society of Ukraine in its fight against neo-totalitarian aggression;
2) Understanding that any political community with ambition to become significant social actor should get organized and actively involved in the events. War as well as the revolution is time of social transformation. Which forms this transformation will take depends also from us and our activity.

TL: Was there an original anarchist formation predating the Russian invasion at the core of the Committee? When you finally came together, how were you able to formally integrate with the Territorial Defense Forces (TDF)? What was that process like?

ILYA: There were no formation or even exact anarchist organization predating the appearance of RC. There were anarchist community, different groups and individuals willing to get organized under these emergency circumstances.

We had some personal connections within the structure of TDF which gave us opportunity “to land” there as a platoon.

TL: Does the RC have a degree of autonomy within the TDF?

ILYA: We have no specific conditions that would differ us from any other subdivision of TDF. However we have pretty free space how to organize our internal life and it is organized in pretty democratic way even though in accordance to demands of having certain military hierarchy.

"Defensive war as an act of popular resistance...": Exclusive Interview with an Anarchist Fighter of the Territorial Defense Forces of Ukraine

Militant Wire's Tom Lord Speaks with a Member of The Resistance Committee

www.militantwire.com

One estimated is that 50,000 people have died in Mariupol though confirmed deaths are counted are around 1200+. Unfortunately the Separatist Donetsk Authorities are allegeldy doing a poor job in cataloging the data of the deceased, such as taking DNA samples, so any accurate estimate of the casualties maybe hard to obtain.



The Looting Has Begun Anew in Mariupol. Ships are Already Leaving Port with Liberated Goods!



Russian Armored Column Reportedly Took Considerable Casualties from Ukrainian Artillery Fire While Advancing in the Donetsk Oblast. This apparently occurred in a spot where an earlier Russian Armored Column also suffered Tank Losses almost a Month earlier.



Ukrainians Operating a Captured Russian T-80 Tank to Tow a Captured Russian T-64 Tank that Likely was Captured from Ukraine Originally (perhaps Earlier in the Donbass War).



Ural Chekan MRAP, used quite often by Wagner PMC's in the Central African Republic and Syria, spotted Abandoned along a Ukrainian Roadside.

 

[Arch Dornan]

 

[WolfBear]

Can someone here please save this article on the Internet Archive again in its full text so that I myself could actually read all of it? :

Putin Is Going to Lose His War

The world should prepare for instability in Russia.

www.foreignaffairs.com

Here's the Internet Archive, FWIW:

archive.ph

create a copy of a webpage that will always be up

archive.ph

Right now, I can't see this entire article, unfortunately :

Putin Is Going to Lose His War | Foreign Affairs

archived 18 Jun 2022 21:53:07 UTC

archive.ph

 

[WolfBear]

Documents Reveal Hundreds of Russian Troops Broke Ranks Over Ukraine …

archived 1 Jun 2022 22:07:37 UTC

archive.ph

 

[Doomsought]

I have been wondering how much attrition Russia has been suffering from due to desertion. They have a lot of abandoned vehichles in Ukraine. There is not telling how many of those are because the crew decided to go missing as soon as they were out of the sight of officers.

 

[Tiamat]

I have been wondering how much attrition Russia has been suffering from due to desertion. They have a lot of abandoned vehichles in Ukraine. There is not telling how many of those are because the crew decided to go missing as soon as they were out of the sight of officers.

Hard to say without more data. The number of vehicles that were abandoned says something though. If I recall correctly, if they went and raised the age of enlistment to over 40 after 4 months or so of this mess, that means something's gone wrong.

 

[Doomsought]

Hard to say without more data. The number of vehicles that were abandoned says something though. If I recall correctly, if they went and raised the age of enlistment to over 40 after 4 months or so of this mess, that means something's gone wrong.

I think it will be impossible to get good numbers until after the war.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Latest Package of US Aid to Be Sent to Ukraine. It mentions the HIMARS apparently as well as more artillery radars, ammunition and tactical vehicles for the artillery I'm assuming as well as more anti-tank weapons.



Poland may Sell Ukraine three squadrons of the new AHS 155mm Krab SPG's with South Korea Supporting The Endeavour. This would mean about 54 SPG's of this type.



According to Reuters, the United States is Planning On Selling Ukraine Four or so MQ-1C Gray Eagle Drones Which Can Deploy Hellfire Missiles. The Plan has Been Under Review by the Pentagon for Weeks However and also Would Require Congressional Approval.



President Zelensky estimates 60 or so Ukrainian soldiers killed a day and hundreds wounded. Rob Lee then delivers a very rough estimate of Ukrainian Casualties based off of those and prior released figures from the Ukrainian Government. So not quite double the casualties from the first five or so weeks of the conflict if the Numbers are Remotely Accurate.



Ukrainian Soldiers Life is Likely Saved when his German Helmet and American Vest helped Protect him from Russian Shrapnel.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Ukrainian Territorial Forces Reportedly Stopped a Russian Attack Meant to Break out of Donetsk and Link up with Russian Forces in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast further West.



Germany Says They'll Send IRIS-T SAM Systems to Ukraine and will be training Ukrainian forces on Operation of the previously promised Gepards/Cheetah SPAAG's.



Bulgaria Pledging Support to Ukraine. Bulgaria has industry capable of churning out Soviet era munitions still.



US Cybercommand has Reportedly Conducted Operations against Russia in Support of Ukraine.



Lithuania apparently Successfully Crowdfunded a Bayraktar Drone for Ukraine.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Rob Lee and Michael Kofman, two of the Russia-focused Commentators on this Conflict and fairly active in Twitter in Reporting on the Special Military Operation, released a column Talking about the 'deeply flawed' Russian Invasion of Ukraine.

The topic of the article being as follows:

Some of the most significant problems being experienced by the Russian armed forces are the result of conscious choices and tradeoffs. These decisions help explain many of the observed struggles the Russian armed forces have had in combined arms operations, fighting in urban environments, and attempts to hold terrain. The full extent of Russia’s personnel weaknesses has become clear during this war. As it stands, the Russian military has a shortage of manpower — especially infantry. The Russian military also compromised by establishing a partial mobilization force. Consequently, the Russian army was optimized for a short and sharp war while lacking the capacity to sustain a major conventional conflict at “peace time” manning levels. The Russian armed forces are now pressed to sustain operations in Ukraine and attempting what amounts to a partial mobilization to stem the prospect of significant reversals on the battlefield.

Not Built for Purpose: The Russian Military’s Ill-Fated Force Design - War on the Rocks

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was a deeply flawed military operation, from Moscow’s assumptions about an easy victory, to a lack of preparation, poor

warontherocks.com

Another Update on the Conflict with Russian Forces Reportedly Making Incremental Advances in the Donbass Region and Ukrainian Forces Making Small Advances both in Kherson in Southern Ukraine and near the City of Kharkiv in the North.



Russian Missiles Struck at the Beskidy Railroad Tunnel in the Carpathian Mountains, a Major Shipment Point for NATO Supplies into Ukraine.



Dutch and German Personnel are Reportedly Training the Ukrainian Military on the Operation of the PzH2000 Self Propelled Guns that the two countries pledged to Ukraine Weeks Ago.



Sweden Reportedly to Provide Ukraine with Robot 17 Missiles, which are a modification of the Hellfire Missile with a ten kilometer range that can supposedly be used in an anti-shipping role. Due to the short range and smaller warhead, its likely that it won't be terribly effective against larger Russian vessels, unless they coincidentally suffer some sort of munitions accident in poor weather.



As previously posted, Lithuania Successfully CrowdFunded a Bayraktar Drone to Purchase for Ukraine. Turkish officials apparently responded by offering the Bayraktar Drone up Free of Charge.