So far this seems to be going just as i predicted.> A top aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met Wednesday with Keith Kellogg, Trump's choice as special envoy for Russia and Ukraine, and Mike Waltz, the incoming national-security adviser, according to a Trump transition official and several people familiar with the discussions.
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> Vice president-elect JD Vance joined in the discussions.
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> Kellogg has signaled support for the Biden administration's efforts to rush weapons to Ukraine, saying it will give Trump leverage with Moscow in negotiating a settlement. But the Trump team has shown little interest in offering Ukraine membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which Zelensky has said he considers a vital security guarantee against future Russian aggression.
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> Andriy Yermak, Zelensky's closest adviser, is visiting Washington to forge relationships with Trump aides, according to people familiar with the planning. He met with the incoming White House chief of staff, Susie Wiles, in Florida earlier Wednesday. Worn down by waging the nearly three-year war against Russia, Ukraine plans to communicate its readiness for peace.
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> "But that needs to be a sustainable peace," said a person familiar with Kyiv's thinking. "An unstable, temporary peace doesn't serve U.S. or Ukrainian interests."
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> Zelensky has recently signaled Ukraine could agree to a cease-fire if Ukraine were permitted to join NATO. Kyiv would seek to win back Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia through diplomatic pressure, he said, rather than force, as he has long insisted.
(backup:Ukraine to Talk With Trump Team About Ending War With Russia - WSJ)
Trump gets a bunch of more hawkish GOP people into administration and they try to "end the war" their way because Trump is not a fan of surrender monkeying and doesn't want to be known for that for the rest of his life.
Doubly so after Democrats got shat on for poorly handling Afghanistan withdrawal.
So he tries to offer a basic bitch "peace plan" that doesn't look like that, and Putin most likely goes hell no, because that's not the victory he needs to excuse having the war in the first place.
What follows is a dog and pony show (and it might be an impressive one with both Trump and Zelensky being professional showmen) with the intended result of pulling GOP dissenters in the direction of doubling down on military support to Ukraine on the basis of "we really tried, but the man in Kremlin said no, so continuing war it is".