Appalachia cares first and foremost about their freedoms. Of all the nations, they are the least organized in their view. During the Revolutionary War, they fought more as stat-local groups concerned with their freedom within the immediate vicinity. The people within Appalachia targeted either the nearby nation as their enemy during the war or they targeted the British Crown. In fact, the southern portion of Appalachia fought against the Deep South during the Revolution until the British's established a foothold and slaughtered an unruly Appalachia group.
Civil War was much the same, but lots of Appalachians fought against the Deep South. At that time, the Southerners had been deeply offended by the idea that they could not own slaves and insisted that not only should they have negro slaves, but they should enslave all lesser people below their station, as was God's will in their mind. The Appalachians really had no illusions as to who they meant. Of course, the Southerners also persuaded some that secession was a matter of state rights, which won over some of the Appalachians, for obvious reasons.
Most of the US's history has actually been a struggle between the Yankees in the north and the Deep South along the Gulf of Mexico.
Oddly enough though, I think the conflict has taken on a new dimension. The SJW Progressive movement was basically birthed in New York City and has spread the ideology through colleges and created small enclaves across Yankee and Left Coast territories, which was somewhat welcomed by the descended puritans, who have always tried to lecture others about morality and force social improvements upon the country, but with the SJW flavor.
So now the old Yankee coalition is being led by New Netherlands and the Left Coast (which added a Green and Hispanic flavor). But if you look at the 2016 voter turnout and with this filter, Trump's victory is very interesting. Now, there is also a rural vs urban dimension to this, as well as a racial dimension, but I think this is important to look at.
Remember, the nations within these areas tend to move within lockstep of each other, generally ignoring state lines. Trump's victory coalition is the Deep South, New France, Greater Appalachia, the Midlands, Western Yankeedom, and the Far West. His opposing nations are El Norte, the Left Coast, Eastern Yankeedom, New Netherlands, and Tidewater. Spanish Caribbean was actually split between them.
That's actually notable and it matches his politics.
- Deep South -- Trump has supported a border in hopes of preventing El Norte from reclaiming more of its land. The old racial tensions, even if it isn't any sort of overt racism, matters a great deal the Deep South. They don't want a bunch of "foreigners" overrunning the lands they obtained. In addition to that, Trump supports anti-abortion measures, which the strong religious groups of the South appreciated.
- Greater Appalachia -- Similar reasons exist for Appalachia as it does for the Deep South, but in addition to that, Trump is a strong supporter of the military and specifically of "our troops". Since Appalachia is where the US draws most of its soldiers from, you can guess who appreciated that the most.
- Western Yankeedom -- There was a great deal of pre-vote polling suggesting Trump would lose. The shy Trump supporter was a rumor that had flown around the internet for months before the election. I think this is where you'd find most of them and why it was such a shock. It was simply assumed that the tone-policing Puritans would embrace Clinton over a brash Trump. And it was a close race, but I think the promise of jobs help swung them. These states have suffered heavily from globalism. Not exactly a good look when companies are making record profits off third world countries and letting their people starve back home.
- Midlanders -- Again, I think the job promises is what swung it. That and the constant attempts by New Netherlands and the Left Coast to impose morality upon them, which the Midlanders always hated.
- Far West -- Trump made lots of speeches about military production. The Far West is basically where companies run the government and the people there generally don't complain because they get paid well. The Far West has always tried to obtain government funding without government interference. Trump promising to build new fighters, new warships, and other goodies drew them over.
In contrast...
- New Netherlands -- Ironically, this is where Trump is from. New Netherlands is the birthplace of the SJWs and have exported it across the nation. I suspect that their strongest influences are in Eastern Yankeedom, Tidewater, and the Left Coast. Ever since its inception, New Netherlands was about tolerance. In its early days, it had something like thirty ethnic grous, and a dozen different spoken languages. It was the least reliable ally of the Yankees in America. It supported slave trading Deep South in its early days because of "tolerance" (and profit), supported the British Crown during the Revolutionary War, and were the least willing to go to war over slaves until the South attacked first. It was also a shocking place in the 20th century for not having curbed atheism, open homosexuality, and many other practices. New Netherlands has always been a place of tolerance, not necessarily morality. Which I think explains the movements we see now. I think New Netherlands exported its ideology via universities and colleges--infecting the rest of the nation with its nonsense.
- Left Coast -- Had always been heavily influenced by the Yankees and hence, the long-time alliance. It also however, took on a Green political flavor. What is most interesting is that the Left Coast has come to resemble New Netherlands. I think this is for two-fold reasons. The first is that the immigration of many ethnic groups created the same situation in the Left Coast as it did in New Netherlands. From the Asians from the West to El Norte moving up north again, it's the same formula. Second, I think New Netherlands was happy to exchange intellectual groups to encourage that mindset. I predict that New Netherlands and the Left Coast will move in lockstep with each other now.
- Eastern Yankeedom -- In my mind, has lost grave amounts of territory to New Netherlands. I think between migration and proximity to the smaller state, Eastern Yankeedom has taken on the same beliefs, to some extent, but I admit I have no data to back this up. It may also not be a deep enough change; it may snap back in the future.
- El Norte -- Really is not going to like the idea of a President who has bashed so many of their countrymen and wants to build a wall that will essentially cut off the top portion of their nation. And you can see across the board they resisted Trump. Trump has tried to make some inroads on the religious allure and by generally targeting only criminals for deportation, but I don't think it will be enough. I don't think El Norte likes the coalition it's in; far too secular. But then again, the other nations are either actively trying to either expel it or break it in two, so it has little choice in the matter.
- Tidewater -- Tidewater enjoys its low labor. Even now, there are lots of "guest workers" from other countries brought over to Tidewater. All so they can avoid paying proper wages. Right now though, I think Tidewater has allied itself with New Netherlands not because it particularly cares for their social beliefs (although many here do espouse them), but I think generally for economic reasons. Trump's policies of protectionism means Tidewater's elites have to pay more.
I think 2020 will break down along these lines, but there are some special notes. Specifically that the Deep South is also run by oligarchs who want to keep their money, who aren't happy with Trump's attempts at protectionism. That's the whole "Never Trumper" group right there. They disguise it under other things, but I think it's going to be interesting to see what they do. On the one hand, they can still expand into Mexico, but then they might not think it worthwhile. And they may also resent Trump for cutting off their attempt to obtain El Norte for their side. Still, I think their sense of honor and concern for a growing El Norte will keep them in line. The base basically rejected the elite in 2016 and will probably do so in 2020.
I also don't think it's any coincidence that the front runners for the DNC are all from either the Midlands or Yankeedom. Warren (Michigan), and Biden (Pennsylvania). I think it's the more moderate aspects of the DNC alliance trying to put forth a compromise candidate that the Midlands and Western Yankeedom can accept. Problem is, I think they've been spoiled.
Booker and Sanders come to mind. Sanders is so far left that Warren, his direct competitor, has had to match him, if not exceed him. She's basically a Yankee trying to win over the Left Coast and New Netherlands to her side. Booker I think, is even worse, because he's a hardcore Dutch Douche who desperately wants to push Yankees over and Dutch in the light. And to do that, he's trying to focus on the angle of New Netherlands, Left Coast, and El Norte. If he can swing them on his side, Yankees within the DNC have to capitulate. Problem is that's an uphill battle, because half the Yankee nation left in 2016. Biden looks both so old and feeble that I don't think he'll poll as well as some might hope he will based on policy. Especially given Trump's aggressive posture on trade was what drove a split to begin with.