Conflict Watch: Venezuela/Guyana Editions.

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
Hehehe. Desert, Steppe, now Jungle.
Now we just need island
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
So, did stinky/balls invade, and will the UK be doing the same for these guys as it did for the Falklands?

They are a former British colony, after all.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Emperor Tigerstar did a nice short video on the history of the territorial disputes regarding Guyana's Essequibo Region.



It left out a lot of the recent and more politically motivated Venezuelan efforts in the 1960's-70's as well as under the Chavez and Maduro regimes but still a pretty good overview, especially of the colonial era stretching way back to the Treaty of Tordesillas in 1494.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Naval Analyst HI Sutton of Covert Shores did a video on the current status of Venezuela's Navy in light of the possibility of that Navy being used in any hypothetical attack or attempt to acquire the disputed Essequibo River region from Guyana. A maritime operation is being theorized as being comparatively more preferable to the other options because the only real road system goes through Brazilian territory and most of the terrain on the Venezuelan-Guyanese border is heavy jungle.

He also covers, in brief, the Guyanese Coast Guard. It's very brief because the Guyanese Coast Guard is very small.



The Venezuelan Navy has suffered a fair bit in the past decade or so, in part due to sanctions but still possesses some significant capability.

Overview of the Venezuelan Navy 2023.
 
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49ersfootball

Well-known member
Chavez earlier said the issue was settled but reversed himself towards the end of his reign (and life).



The Guyanese Military is pretty small, like three thousand troops while Venezuela's military is 130,000 strong plus reserves and the militias/cartels. This is why Guyana is now courting foreign intervention, including hosting military bases on their territory.

Brazil supports Guyana and is critical of Venezuela for many reasons, but this includes the fact that Brazil not only doesn't want Venezuela starting invasions and Wars, but also because such hostilities might result in America and Britain then being permitted to operate in what Brazil feels is its sphere of influence.
Chavez was always the flip-flopper.

Not really.
Colombian President Gustavo Petro is a leftist idiot & an uppity jackass! Thank God he'll be term limited in 2026 from running again.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Perun released a video on the current border crisis.



Some brief takeaways are that Maduro could be motivated just as much by domestic concerns as international ones and that this is most likely just symbolic posturing. However he could perceive Guyana's economic growth as something to inhibit. Options beyond symbolic posturing include piracy and harassment, show the flag type of operations off of the coast, and/or maintaining small footprints in the Amazonian jungle etc.

The risk of a special military operation would be the utter lack of backing of Maduro in this regard by any world powers with the exception of maybe Russia. Brazil and the United States would be against it. And the Venezuelan military would be really pushing its limits by trying to seize Essequibo by advancing through the Amazonian jungle or engaging in largescale maritime landings against Georgetown or that area in general. Sanctions and corruption etc have also impacted Venezuelan military readiness.

More sanctions and divestment and economic isolation, risks of foreign intervention and the costs of invasion and occupation are all also serious risks but in light of all of that, you also can't rule out Stupid.
 

Sailor.X

Cold War Veteran
Founder
One US Navy Carrier Battlegroup is all it would take to destroy the Venezuelan Military. Maduro's forces are that much. Of a joke in South America.
 

TheRomanSlayer

Kayabangan, Dugo, at Dangal
One US Navy Carrier Battlegroup is all it would take to destroy the Venezuelan Military. Maduro's forces are that much. Of a joke in South America.
Does the US Navy have any kind of thermobaric weapons that they can use against any Venezuelan military defensive positions?
 

ATP

Well-known member
One US Navy Carrier Battlegroup is all it would take to destroy the Venezuelan Military. Maduro's forces are that much. Of a joke in South America.
Maybe it would be better for Venezuella,if he tried and die.That poor country is slowly dying under him.Quick war would kill many,but rest could start again.
 

IndyFront

Well-known member
Since it's officially looking like Venezuela isn't gonna invade Guyana (which I doubt was ever gonna happen), it's gonna be funny to watch all those who spent recent weeks trying to justify it by labelling Guyana a fake country just never talk about the border dispute ever again.
 

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