We don't underestimate China.
I am truly scared of what they could become.
I also know that they have a huge population issue. With an aging one and a younger generation a lot smaller then thier aging one. With a huge issue of them not wanting to do anything.
Yes I know, they will enslave women, but it's to late as there is already too big of a gap.
And by 2030, we will have a military ready to fight then with 11 carriers if not more, carriers that arnt Chinese quality. And the fact that a war against then will happen much sooner then later.
Add in thier military is completely inexperienced in combat. Lacking so much so that they havnt fought any major engagements since...the 70s. Thier peacekeeping force ran when confronted.
The US may have decades of COIN, but that two decades worth is more then China has.
Add in the things we learn from Ukraine is insurmountable.
Add in, guess who helped train the Ukrainians....
Too late? Like they don't have have millions of rurals they can raise out of poverty to smooth any gap. The military you are talking about has a global empire to patrol while they only need to be strong in a few places. I keep hearing about how ''crappy'' Chinese stuff is but time marches on and the dirty work of r&d has already been done, take a picture of an American fleet and a Chinese fleet today and compare them, they can innovate, copy and learn same as everyone else. Let's hope globalism and it's policies have been ended by the time some theoretical war happens. As it stands now in the west, one half of the population wouldn't piss out the other half if they were on fire. Any potential conflict with them is going to be majority air and sea which they have comparable experience in. Afterall how many naval battles against a peer opponent has the west fought recently. The Chinese are watching events in Ukraine too, or can they not also learn from watching and likely seeing what the Russians see first hand.
It isn't underestimating. It is Pattern Recognition. The CCP has made too many crappy mega projects over recent history. To all of a sudden put out nothing but quality. Sometimes it just is what it is. And the CCP Military is literally shit tier. I would also like to point out the Wumaos and 10 cent army are trying to snow everyone in the west about how bad their military really is. You have to do a deep dive into smuggled footage of covered up problems to see through the disinformation.
They are a nation of 1.3 billion people so i would certainly expect failure as in every society, not enough failure however to assume a potential enemies military equipment will fortunately fail to perform
. The majority of the information my conclusions are based on came from western controlled sources so where this 10 cent army is i haven't a clue