United States Biden administration policies and actions - megathread

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In a sign of seeing the Red Wave coming, US Rep. Anthony Brown (D-MD) announced he's running for MD State Attorney General in 2022.

That tells me the Dems are likely losing control of the US House of Representatives in November 2022.
 
www.reuters.com

With corporate tax off table, U.S. Democrats turn to billionaires to fund spending bill

U.S. Democrats are expected to unveil a tax plan this week that would seek to raise hundreds of billions of dollars from the country's roughly 700 billionaires to help pay for expanding the social safety net and tackling climate change.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com

Again conflicted. On one hand thats dumb would result in most of the seized assets value being lost, crushing the economy and setting hyperinflation into a speed run. On the other it would be kinda funny to see their faces. Meh, go for it. Watching the world burn has been fun so far.
 
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Sobek said:
Unless they fortify the election again. Which they no doubt will. Because once you cross that line once it's super easy to do it again.
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They would try.But in Poland leftist made the same mistake - faked local elections in 2014,and in 2015 lost election to Sejm,becouse they were wathed too much.I hope,that USA manage the same.
 
49ersfootball said:
In a sign of seeing the Red Wave coming, US Rep. Anthony Brown (D-MD) announced he's running for MD State Attorney General in 2022.

That tells me the Dems are likely losing control of the US House of Representatives in November 2022.
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I'm fully on board with speculating about House futures based on whether incumbents are bailing. But Maryland is a heavily Democratic state with Democratic gerrymandering and its 4th congressional district is like D+30 or something, so I have to ask why you think Anthony Brown specifically is afraid of losing his seat.
 
strunkenwhite said:
I'm fully on board with speculating about House futures based on whether incumbents are bailing. But Maryland is a heavily Democratic state with Democratic gerrymandering and its 4th congressional district is like D+30 or something, so I have to ask why you think Anthony Brown specifically is afraid of losing his seat.
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I was NOT implying that at all. I figured Brown was likely to seek statewide office again.
 
49ersfootball said:
I was NOT implying that at all. I figured Brown was likely to seek statewide office again.
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Fair enough; I stand corrected; I do not understand the connection between his running for statewide office leaving an open (very D-leaning) seat and why you think it means Dems will lose the House.
 
The Whispering Monk said:
@strunkenwhite
IT's the common tactic for the party expecting to lose the House to have a bunch of senior people decide to retire b/c they are likely to loose all those nice chairmenships the Majority part controls. You saw Republican House members do this in droves during the Trump candidacy in 18.
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Oh, I would agree that history is on the GOP's side; the trend of the President's party taking a beating in midterms is one of the strongest in American politics, despite some historically recent exceptions. What has me confused is not the conclusion itself but why 49ers thinks that what Anthony Brown is doing is evidence in support of it. And Brown isn't exactly a grizzled veteran of the House, having been first elected in 2016—and like I said, his district specifically is unlikely to be at risk. It's the swing districts and the ones where a longtime incumbent has been fighting against a longtime current that are at risk. (For example, Collin Peterson of MN-07, Democratic incumbent since like 1990, held on year after year despite things like Trump taking the district by 30 points in 2016. The district hasn't gone for a Democratic presidential candidate this century. He finally got swamped in 2020 and whoever Democrats put up to run in 2022 isn't going to be anywhere close to his performance, I'll bet. If Clinton had won in 2016, I very much doubt that he would have hung on in 2018.)

Having said that, I don't know much about the Maryland district specifically, only that it's gone way lopsidedly for Democrats and that the Democratic state legislature isn't likely to cut their own throat while redistricting.
 
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Biden’s poll numbers are even worse than they seem (msn.com)

Seems the Dems may be in even more trouble than they appear to be.

A quote.

"An intensity problem happens when a politician’s “hard” negative ratings rise much higher than his or her “hard” positive ratings. Voters who hold strongly negative views are less likely to shift to the positive side than are voters who hold only somewhat negative views — and that spells trouble in the next election.

Put another way, Biden’s supporters tend to be only so-so in their esteem, while opponents are more passionate in their enmity.
In the recent Quinnipiac University poll, for example, Biden’s overall job approval rating is 40%, with 53% disapproving. That’s not good. But when you look at internal numbers that didn’t make it into the headlines, it gets worse: The number of voters who strongly disapprove of the job the president is doing is more than twice that of those who strongly approve, 45% to 20%.

The same is true for Biden’s personal popularity. Among voters, he’s 46% favorable and 51% unfavorable in an Economist poll. However, the very unfavorable is bigger than the very favorable, 40% to 26%."
 
The Whispering Monk said:
What amazes me is that MSN is actually printing it.
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I think it's one of those things that manipulating the numbers and lieing by omission can only go so far before credibility takes a hit. The media burnt up so much credibility and trust during Trumps turn, that i think a lot of media is hoping to use the biden presidency to try and regain some of that respect back. Afterall, donald ''drumph'' is gone and we have to ''build back better'' and forget the past 5 years of the media being insane lunatics. It will be a frigid day in hell for this man🤬
 
Sobek said:
Unless they fortify the election again. Which they no doubt will. Because once you cross that line once it's super easy to do it again.
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"Fortifying" House district races on such a scale would be next to impossible to pull off. You're giving them WAY to much credit, if all the theories surrounding vote fraud in the 2020 election are true, the way they pulled it off is that they basically added huge numbers of Biden ballots in safe Democrat areas where the entire process was under their friendly control and you'd only need a handful of people in each State to actually take fraudulent actions and cover them up.

To steal the US House would require basically a tenfold number of people in districts that are much less safely in their hands, greatly increasing the chance of discovery.

This is one of those advantages to the highly distributed nature of US elections, corruption can only really regularly impact State-wide races, but to organize a conspiracy wide enough to ensure they continue to control the House simply requires to large of a footprint, to many people, and to many moving parts to be reliable and for the risk to outweigh the reward. If they try and "fortify" any races in the 2022 midterms, don't look at the House, look to the Senate. They're much more concerned with maintaining and enlarging their control of the Senate rather than the House.

Why? From a strategic perspective for the last two years of the Biden presidency the Senate is going to be much more important than the House. The House as it stands now, is already a complete mess and dysfunctional, they can barely get the Dem coalition to pass anything. In fact, losing the House and burning the Progressive Caucus as much as possible in the loss would actually be in the longer term interests of the Dems, as it would allow them to rebuild with greater unity for the next time they control the House (seriously, this has been the most dysfunctional House majority in my lifetime, even Trump had managed to get some major legislation passed by this point). The Senate; however, is where they will need a stronger majority so they can try and push as many new judges into positions, ratify the host of internationalist treaties they are probably secretly negotiating right now, etc. Meanwhile, if the House goes to the Republicans it just means no legislation really gets passed... which is pretty much the same as now, but right now they can't get all the appointments they want or the treaties, especially the Globalist Watermelon ones, they want passed due to how narrowly they control the Senate and the power it gives the Blue Dog Dems.

Thus, if they try and cheat it's not going to be to keep the House, it's really not worth it and the present Dem coalition in the House is just a mess. No, if they cheat it's going to be to take real control of the Senate to enable as much Presidential rule by fiat as they can.
 
S'task said:
"Fortifying" House district races on such a scale would be next to impossible to pull off. You're giving them WAY to much credit, if all the theories surrounding vote fraud in the 2020 election are true, the way they pulled it off is that they basically added huge numbers of Biden ballots in safe Democrat areas where the entire process was under their friendly control and you'd only need a handful of people in each State to actually take fraudulent actions and cover them up.

To steal the US House would require basically a tenfold number of people in districts that are much less safely in their hands, greatly increasing the chance of discovery.

This is one of those advantages to the highly distributed nature of US elections, corruption can only really regularly impact State-wide races, but to organize a conspiracy wide enough to ensure they continue to control the House simply requires to large of a footprint, to many people, and to many moving parts to be reliable and for the risk to outweigh the reward. If they try and "fortify" any races in the 2022 midterms, don't look at the House, look to the Senate. They're much more concerned with maintaining and enlarging their control of the Senate rather than the House.

Why? From a strategic perspective for the last two years of the Biden presidency the Senate is going to be much more important than the House. The House as it stands now, is already a complete mess and dysfunctional, they can barely get the Dem coalition to pass anything. In fact, losing the House and burning the Progressive Caucus as much as possible in the loss would actually be in the longer term interests of the Dems, as it would allow them to rebuild with greater unity for the next time they control the House (seriously, this has been the most dysfunctional House majority in my lifetime, even Trump had managed to get some major legislation passed by this point). The Senate; however, is where they will need a stronger majority so they can try and push as many new judges into positions, ratify the host of internationalist treaties they are probably secretly negotiating right now, etc. Meanwhile, if the House goes to the Republicans it just means no legislation really gets passed... which is pretty much the same as now, but right now they can't get all the appointments they want or the treaties, especially the Globalist Watermelon ones, they want passed due to how narrowly they control the Senate and the power it gives the Blue Dog Dems.

Thus, if they try and cheat it's not going to be to keep the House, it's really not worth it and the present Dem coalition in the House is just a mess. No, if they cheat it's going to be to take real control of the Senate to enable as much Presidential rule by fiat as they can.
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What Senate seats are in play in 2022?

Knowing which districts to watch like hawks would not hurt.
 
Bacle said:
What Senate seats are in play in 2022?

Knowing which districts to watch like hawks would not hurt.
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I believe Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina are considered the likeliest places for Democrats to pick up seats, with Ohio another state to watch. Missouri has an open seat but their chances there are probably in the "not completely impossible" zone. Alabama also has an open seat, but :ROFLMAO:. Democrats also have to worry about defending seats in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and maybe New Hampshire if the sitting Republican governor decides to go for it.

All the Democratic seats except California are defended by elected incumbents (as opposed to appointed incumbents Loeffler and McSally in 2020).
 
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