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Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

Hlaalu Agent

Nerevar going to let you down
Founder
Your sources have the same validity and credibility as your pro Covid-vaccine posts.

That is still better than negative credibility. And I am pretty sure you haven't addressed Vaermina's point and their opinion on vaccines has no bearing here. It is just a clear attempt to poison the well, because you can't actually attack the argument being made, you need to attack the person.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
USA does a coup.
USA wants to get Ukraine into NATO, despite Russian protests.
Yeah, we all remember me explaining to you about Russian red lines.
You still need to take your anti-selective amnesia pills, maybe get some anti-hypocrisy pills, too.
I remember considering your propaganda lines bullshit too. Its not amnesia, its defiance, FYI.
And stop acting like aiding friendly parties in foreign governments is something only USA does and Russia would never, ever do anything like this because its a nice country that respects "our democracy (tm)"?
Pipes and Russian gas are cheaper than LNG.
A plebian assumption. Its a very complicated subject even on the face of it, and even then its apples to oranges because pipes force you into effectively dealing with a monopolist as no one else can send you gas through the pipe while you need gas now not in 5 years it takes to arrange alternatives, while LNG port will take gas from whatever supplier in the world will offer you the best price at the moment, free market wooo.
Also, we are talking about the current reality, not coulda, woulda, shouldas.
Stop whining and changing the subject.
Lol, its not changing the subject, its still a question of the future of the pipes to Russia, and whether they have any.

We'd get the good parts of Ukraine and make Europe self-sufficient in food and could be on our way to becoming a top agricultural exporter in a growing, hungry world.Putin gets the old Kolkhoz buildings and the pro-communist grannies and we get the fertile land.
Win-Win.
They became vastly less pro-Russian since 2014.
Coal, possible gas, and a nice chunk of Black Sea coast are nothing to scoff at.
Western part's population not having a grievance about a partition losing them the east is also a stability bonus.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
I remember considering your propaganda lines bullshit too. Its not amnesia, its defiance, FYI.
And stop acting like aiding friendly parties in foreign governments is something only USA does and Russia would never, ever do anything like this because its a nice country that respects "our democracy (tm)"?

A plebian assumption. Its a very complicated subject even on the face of it, and even then its apples to oranges because pipes force you into effectively dealing with a monopolist as no one else can send you gas through the pipe while you need gas now not in 5 years it takes to arrange alternatives, while LNG port will take gas from whatever supplier in the world will offer you the best price at the moment, free market wooo.

Lol, its not changing the subject, its still a question of the future of the pipes to Russia, and whether they have any.

Oh, so you are an energy industry expert now in addition to being an aircraft maintenance expert?
I dub thee the Polymath of Kiev!
They became vastly less pro-Russian since 2014.
Coal, possible gas, and a nice chunk of Black Sea coast are nothing to scoff at.
Western part's population not having a grievance about a partition losing them the east is also a stability bonus.
Coal the EU hates.
The black sea is very polluted and if the Russians and Ukrainians had any decent beaches they'd vacation there, not shill out money for our shitty hotels or go to Turkey(Better experience all round, great food, lower prices, personal recommendation.)
You are grasping at straws, here.
I remember the legends about Ukrainian shale being the key to EU energy independence.Remind me, how much of that has materialized after Brandon's dumb kid got his overpaid job?
Yeah, right, zero.

Also, we get back to my thesis that Ukraine, as a recently invented entity has much of its identity bound up in arbitrary Soviet geography, thanks for finally acknowledging that.

Frankly, I think more ethnically and/or culturally homogeneous countries do better, so if the country was smaller but only populated by "Ukrainians" that would have been better.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
I was mentally debating with myself when I saw your previous use of "mod text" as to whether I should PM you or say it publically: "You are valliantly fighting a lost cause and I want to give you a hug."

I decided to say it in public.

Haha, never get between slavs and their autism, especially if one is trying keto and hasn't had a drop to drink in over half a year.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Oh, so you are an energy industry expert now in addition to being an aircraft maintenance expert?
I dub thee the Polymath of Kiev!
Apparently much more of an energy industry expert than you.

Coal the EU hates.
For stupid and politically reversible reasons. Stupidity however can be reversed in time, and the coal will sit in the ground waiting.

The black sea is very polluted and if the Russians and Ukrainians had any decent beaches they'd vacation there, not shill out money for our shitty hotels or go to Turkey(Better experience all round, great food, lower prices, personal recommendation.)
You are grasping at straws, here.
Screw tourism, EU has Greece, Spain and Italy for that.
I'm talking serious, wannabe superpower shit, not Tropico larping.
Undersea gas and sea trade lanes, that's what it offers.

I remember the legends about Ukrainian shale being the key to EU energy independence.Remind me, how much of that has materialized after Brandon's dumb kid got his overpaid job?
Yeah, right, zero.
Just like the Iraqi oil that the left was screaming the whole war was about. Democrats being incompetent in the background are a given, it has little bearing on the important matters though.

Also, we get back to my thesis that Ukraine, as a recently invented entity has much of its identity bound up in arbitrary Soviet geography, thanks for finally acknowledging that.
How many countries have an identity completely not bound up in arbitrary geography, other than fucking nomadic peoples?

Frankly, I think more ethnically and/or culturally homogeneous countries do better, so if the country was smaller but only populated by "Ukrainians" that would have been better.
The problem with making most of these by fiat is that there rarely is a specific line on one side of which nation A lives and nation B is on the other. Ukraine is a bad case of that, with there being a soft gradient rather than hard line. And now, with Russia spazzing out at Ukraine for last 8 years and the splashback mostly hitting the former Russia simp population in the face due to being in the east, close to separatists and now to the battle lines, the gradient is between slightly anti-Russia to very anti-Russia, so that problem got solved very much in the west's favor at least, to a degree that would be impossible without the help of Russian mistakes.
 

bintananth

behind a desk
Haha, never get between slavs and their autism, especially if one is trying keto and hasn't had a drop to drink in over half a year.
I'll expand on this: never get between a woman and her children. If you think an angry Grisly Bear is more dangerous than an irritated woman you are very, very, wrong.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Apparently much more of an energy industry expert than you.


For stupid and politically reversible reasons. Stupidity however can be reversed in time, and the coal will sit in the ground waiting.
Don't hold your breath, I think we will have working fusion before the Westerners change their opinion on that stuff.

Screw tourism, EU has Greece, Spain and Italy for that.
I'm talking serious, wannabe superpower shit, not Tropico larping.
Undersea gas and sea trade lanes, that's what it offers.
Trade lanes to where?
Only other places we can get to from there are Turkey and Georgia(Georgia is Russia's bitch) and Russia, and we can do that via Bulgarian and Romanian black sea ports, stuff coming from central Europe can take the Danube, then get transferred through Constanza into the black sea.
To get out of the black sea you still need to go through the Bosporus.
What do you want to ship and where exactly?
We are on the fucking black sea, we haven't found any worthwhile gas or oil reserves, you are dreaming again, oh Muttley of Kiev!

Just like the Iraqi oil that the left was screaming the whole war was about. Democrats being incompetent in the background are a given, it has little bearing on the important matters though.
What is it about, Muh Commonwealth and muh Russia Bad, perhaps?


How many countries have an identity completely not bound up in arbitrary geography, other than fucking nomadic peoples?
How much has Poland's geography changed since there was a Poland?

Also, the place that founded modern Germany is now in Poland!

Pursuing some idyllic geographic idea will inevitably fuck you over, like your obsession with your once much larger domains and ours with "Bulgaria on three seas"

Also, the Dneper river is a pretty clear dividing line, with the majority of Russians being east of it.
The problem with making most of these by fiat is that there rarely is a specific line on one side of which nation A lives and nation B is on the other. Ukraine is a bad case of that, with there being a soft gradient rather than hard line. And now, with Russia spazzing out at Ukraine for last 8 years and the splashback mostly hitting the former Russia simp population in the face due to being in the east, close to separatists and now to the battle lines, the gradient is between slightly anti-Russia to very anti-Russia, so that problem got solved very much in the west's favor at least, to a degree that would be impossible without the help of Russian mistakes.
Dneper!

Also, this discussion is sounding disturbingly like the Molotov-Ribentropp meeting.
 

ATP

Well-known member
More surrenders



A UkA Major.



Misled Comrades who laid down their arms and defected to Russia (More standard lines here)



Azov Battalion doing it wrong. They no longer are a concern.



Another UkA unit pasted.

It should be clear to all now that UkA has lost the war and is only martyring themselves.



Comrade KGB,let assume that KGB propaganda is real.
Entire ukrainian army is surrendering now...so why KGBstan do not win war yet?
They fight with enemy who do not want fight,and could not move.What it say about your KGB friends ?

Ukrainian mayor surrender.Good for KGB,but how many russian colonels and generals died so far?
If you are taking about major,that mean that no higher rank surrender.

Azow battalion used tractor to fight KGB ? really? and let assume,that they are nazis.Who is wawing red banners of soviet genociders ? nazis and soviet was allies,you knew.

Let assume,that ukrainian army arleady lost.And they martyring themselves.Why that concern your KGB friends? they are schelling ukrainian cities and murder cyvilians,so why you care about ukrainian soldiers ?

Oh, lol, the Pole has called me a leftist, a Russian bot and now he is trying to imply that I am a criminal.
Gonna call me an agent of Belzeboob next?
Stay classy, you strawpeople dunker!


I am sure Putin will be able to stage an invasion of Poland through that exclave they have in Kaliningrad(sarcasm)
Funny thing is, before you and the Balts and the US state department tried to Maidan/color revolution him, Lukashenko was trying to be neutral and play both sides, so that one going back into the Russia camp you can blame yourtself and your buddies.

Let us see now, 200k tourists per year, close cultural relations, mutual good will between our people.We also used to sell them all sorts of stuff, ranging from pharmaceuticals to construction and other services.
And what we got from Russia was a pittance in comparison to what the whole EU block got.

So, to sum up, you Poles are making all of us poorer, since everything from SAP and Volkswagen to Carrefeur and Metro will be losing revenue while all our input and food and energy costs will go up.
These effects will echo across the economy over and over.


About Belarus - you are right.
About everything else - you are wrong.Poland do not started war,KGBstan did.Blame them ,not us.
Becouse it is not Russia who saved Bulgary from Turkey,but KGBstan,people who murdered Russia.Only think they have common with russians is that they killed that poor nation.
 

Whitestrake Pelinal

Like a dream without a dreamer
That is still better than negative credibility. And I am pretty sure you haven't addressed Vaermina's point and their opinion on vaccines has no bearing here. It is just a clear attempt to poison the well, because you can't actually attack the argument being made, you need to attack the person.
The well poisoning was already done, by @Vaermina. He gave an opinion (russian media baaaaaad), backed it up with more of his opinions, and... that was it. About as as much quality and value as some redditor shouting "already debooonked!".

We have lived through literally two years of western media lying about every aspect of the covid panic, and vaermina repeated their BS many times. People like that can't expect to be given a pass when they start claiming disinformation, their character has already been proven weak. They have to put some skin in the game, actually show that a particular RT or BBC claim is false.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!


Patrick is on the scenes for it. A drunk dude with an RPK is even arrested at the local's request.

Seeling all those charred and bombed plattenbau apartment buildings makes me feel physically sick and fucking despise the Zelenski Regime and the human detritus staffing NATO and the US state department even more.
I hope that one day I shall have the chance to go to Nuland's and Brandon's and Stoltenberg's graves and piss on them.
Fuck NATO, and sorry for the "edgelordery"!
 

ATP

Well-known member
Seeling all those charred and bombed plattenbau apartment buildings makes me feel physically sick and fucking despise the Zelenski Regime and the human detritus staffing NATO and the US state department even more.
I hope that one day I shall have the chance to go to Nuland's and Brandon's and Stoltenberg's graves and piss on them.
Fuck NATO, and sorry for the "edgelordery"!

NATO do not burned that city,KGBstan did.Which you admire,becouse...well,you have your reasons.
So,piss on Putin grave if you must.
Personally,i belive that we,european,should not piss on graves,even genociders from KGB.
 

BlackDragon98

Freikorps Kommandant
Banned - Politics

Why does one body in the last picture have a blue armband?!?

And there is a odd lack of "Z", "V", or "X" in these pictures.

All Russian trucks have at least one Z on the each side. The intact truck had no Z on the side.

Sounds like the Ukrops stole some pictures of a failed Ukrainian attack and then tried to color in the armbands.

But they were in such a hurry that they forgot to add the white letters and color in the one armband.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Why does one body in the last picture have a blue armband?!?

And there is a odd lack of "Z", "V", or "X" in these pictures.

All Russian trucks have at least one Z on the each side. The intact truck had no Z on the side.

Sounds like the Ukrops stole some pictures of a failed Ukrainian attack and then tried to color in the armbands.

But they were in such a hurry that they forgot to add the white letters and color in the one armband.

Well according to the comments under AI Enhancement it was a blue rag. Others state it was a shirt.

As for the rest, it's pretty clear they dressed up one of their own tanks as a T-72 2016 variant and blew it up and put Russian uniforms on the corpses but forgot the blue armband. We've been over this before after all again and again.
 
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Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Don't hold your breath, I think we will have working fusion before the Westerners change their opinion on that stuff.

Trade lanes to where?
Only other places we can get to from there are Turkey and Georgia(Georgia is Russia's bitch) and Russia, and we can do that via Bulgarian and Romanian black sea ports, stuff coming from central Europe can take the Danube, then get transferred through Constanza into the black sea.
To get out of the black sea you still need to go through the Bosporus.
What do you want to ship and where exactly?
We are on the fucking black sea, we haven't found any worthwhile gas or oil reserves, you are dreaming again, oh Muttley of Kiev!
Ignorance of topics that you go out of your way to argue aboit is not something to brag about like this.
For one, trade wise, Black Sea is a way to put cargo from Central\Northern Europe onto ships and to the Mediterranean Sea without sailing it around whole Europe or moving it by land across mountains.

Line wise, it has a criss-cross of existing and planned oil and gas pipelines since a long time.

And then there are internet cables:

And last but not least, *unexplored* high potential gas and oil fields.

The Black Sea contains oil and natural gas resources but exploration in the sea is incomplete. As of 2017, 20 wells are in place. Throughout much of its existence, the Black Sea has had significant oil and gas-forming potential because of significant inflows of sediment and nutrient-rich waters. However, this varies geographically. For example, prospects are poorer off the coast of Bulgaria because of the large influx of sediment from the Danube which obscured sunlight and diluted organic-rich sediments. Many of the discoveries to date have taken place offshore of Romania in the Western Black Sea and only a few discoveries have been made in the Eastern Black Sea.
>nothing worthwhile
>20 wells, its nowhere near fully explored yet, and the science folk say it has good potential

How much has Poland's geography changed since there was a Poland?

Also, the place that founded modern Germany is now in Poland!
And how much it changed through wars?
Oh, yeah, all of that.

Also, the Dneper river is a pretty clear dividing line, with the majority of Russians being east of it.
So? Its a very odd qualifier, can be true even without Russians being a majority on these lands. Which on most they aren't.
UaFirstNationality2001-English.png

That's 2001, a most optimistic assessment that was ever going to be there, long before muh coup, long before the wars redpilling people on Russia simping.
Going by that, the only places where Russia can use the national majority argument are *most* of Crimea, still not all of it, and a small piece of Luhansk.
There is no newer census, but even if we use election results as a proxy, Russia simp party (not necessarily Russians) can barely claim Donetsk and Luhansk with most popular but still sub 50% candidate, and hardly anything outside of them, so claiming that majority of people east of Dnieper want to be Russian or simp for Russia is downright ludicrous.
%D0%A0%D0%B5%D0%B7%D1%83%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B8_%D0%92%D0%B8%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%96%D0%B2_%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0_%D0%A3%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D0%B8_2019_%D0%B7%D0%B0_%D0%BE%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B8_%28%D0%BF%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%88%D0%B8%D0%B9_%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%29.svg

More detailed breakdown:
Mass redpilling shown by election year:
Ironically, this mistaken impression is one of major reasons why Putin launched the invasion and why it was a mistake, as the impression has crashed against quite harsh, very russophobic reality.
If the impression was at least mostly correct, Russia would be facing much less resistance than it is.

There is another perfectly reasonable line on the map for a land for Russians to live in. Its called the border of Russia. They are free to go there, you know. In fact its richer than Ukraine to boot, at least for now. If we're not going to obsess about geography, why won't these Russians who supposedly absolutely want to be ruled by Putin just go there? Its not like the place is overcrowded or something, it has terrible sub-replacement demographics and lots of spare clay.

Also, this discussion is sounding disturbingly like the Molotov-Ribentropp meeting.
Which is yet another reason why officially Ukrainians don't want to make territorial concessions at all,
 
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Hlaalu Agent

Nerevar going to let you down
Founder
The well poisoning was already done, by @Vaermina. He gave an opinion (russian media baaaaaad), backed it up with more of his opinions, and... that was it. About as as much quality and value as some redditor shouting "already debooonked!".

We have lived through literally two years of western media lying about every aspect of the covid panic, and vaermina repeated their BS many times. People like that can't expect to be given a pass when they start claiming disinformation, their character has already been proven weak. They have to put some skin in the game, actually show that a particular RT or BBC claim is false.

That is not a poisoning of the well and you know it. He is literally calling a spade for what it is, a spade. The Russian Media is an even more blatant propaganda mill than the Western one, and anyone with functioning senses can perceive this. It is literally state propaganda for a foreign power. At least the Western media can claim to have some level of independence and there is a level of actual dissent in it.

And the Russian media has been doing that for how long now? Nearly a century?
 

BlackDragon98

Freikorps Kommandant
Banned - Politics
You know if you love Russia so much why don't you move to Russia. Oh yeah you won't because you want to be able to speak your mind unlike in Putinstan.
I've actually considered dropping everything and going to the Donetsk People's Republic to become an independent journalist like Patrick Lancaster.

No one in the DPR government has stopped him or harassed him in any way.

And he's a completely independent journalist.

Actually I do.

Russia and Russian sources have been lying about this war since it began to the point it's now actually illegal to NOT lie in Russia about how things are going.

This means that anything Russian now has negative credibility. Meaning if you want to use it, you need to first prove it's accuracy.
Pot calling kettle black.

Says the shill screeching about the "Ghost of Kiev" and "the 13 of Snake Island".

Which means all Ukrainian claims have negative OVER 9000 credibility.

If you want to use a Ukrainian/Western source, please prove it's accuracy.

Oh, and ARMA 3 doesn't count! :LOL: :LOL: :LOL:
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
I've actually considered dropping everything and going to the Donetsk People's Republic to become an independent journalist like Patrick Lancaster.

No one in the DPR government has stopped him or harassed him in any way.

And he's a completely independent journalist.
Life or death question - did he say anything that DPR government would take offense at?
After all, there are even independent journalists who go to North Korea and return safely.
 

Captain X

Well-known member
Osaul
How is that evidence of Russia deliberately targeting women and children? They could have very well hit that building by mistake; after all, that's something America has done on more than one occasion.
And I can never recall a time when you have ever made excuses for the US military when this has happened. The last time this happened was post-withdrawal from Afghanistan, and as I recall, both of us gave @Zachowon a pretty hard time for basically shrugging that incident off as a "mistakes happen" while we thought the person(s) responsible should at least face some kind of consequences over it. Yet here you have completely the opposite attitude toward it. Why?
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Ignorance of topics that you go out of your way to argue aboit is not something to brag about like this.
For one, trade wise, Black Sea is a way to put cargo from Central\Northern Europe onto ships and to the Mediterranean Sea without sailing it around whole Europe or moving it by land across mountains.
Sure, sure, please enlighten me, oh self-proclaimed expert in everything.

Line wise, it has a criss-cross of existing and planned oil and gas pipelines since a long time.
Sure, sure, pipelines leading to nowhere, since the Russians would not let you drill for oil in their back yard after you try and take so much of what they see as their and with good reason.
The other major players probably being Turkey and China, with them having more interest in getting the oil flowing through their territory, e.g. something akin to Nabucco, or the other way towards China.

And then there are internet cables:

And last but not least, *unexplored* high potential gas and oil fields.
Now the pole thinks it is an expert in network cables, too.
Tell me, what is the difference between packet and circuit switching and between a hub and a switch?

Oh, and also, here is a world cable map as of a few years ago:
Pan-European-fiber-optic-networks-planned-or-in-place-Source-Rutherford-et-al-2004.png

eo6248sth0pz.png

A cable to Odessa will not improve my latency or throughput all that much, and it will probably only benefit torrents and CS:GO somewhat.
>nothing worthwhile
>20 wells, its nowhere near fully explored yet, and the science folk say it has good potential
The End Of The Century-Old Black Sea Drilling Dream.
Turkey tried for over 50 years.
Russia tried, Romania tried, we tried, Exxon and a bunch of other western companies tried.
If there was a major oil field under there,don't you think that we would have found it already?
Keep dreaming and digging for random crap to justify your nonsense.

And how much it changed through wars?
Oh, yeah, all of that.
Somebody still butthurt because their short-lived expansions did not become something more tangible, I see.

So? Its a very odd qualifier, can be true even without Russians being a majority on these lands. Which on most they aren't.


Ironically, this mistaken impression is one of major reasons why Putin launched the invasion and why it was a mistake, as the impression has crashed against quite harsh, very russophobic reality.
This map probably shows the pro and anti-Russia sentiments best.
The fact that the neo-nazis and western media have been suppressing them and manufacturing bullshit polls is irrelevant.
political-ukraine-2010-election.jpg
 
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