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Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

Sobek

Disgusting Scalie
Ukraine and Russia both violated those agreements. Everything was going pretty well till 2010, when Obama's State Department started doing some trolling and playing around in the region. Ukraine tried to keep itself neutral, then 2014 happened and that Euromaiden fiasco happened with one of the trademark CIA Color Revolutions and it shot the entire thing to pieces.
 

LordsFire

Internet Wizard
NATO walked up to Russia's border years before any aggression from Russia on anything. Latvia joined NATO in 2004, what the fuck did Russia do to justify that?

No, the US has violated the Budapest Memorandum as well. Economic coercion is included, so the shenanigans with making foreign aid contingent on closing investigations are in fact an instance of breaking the terms of the deal.

You can bitch about 'NATO expansionism' all you want, but the bottom line is simple:

NATO has not tried to invade Russia.
NATO has not tried to annex parts of other sovereign nations.

Russia has broken its treaty with Ukraine, invading it.
Russia has tried to annex parts of another sovereign nation.

If we go past that?

Prior to the invasion of Ukraine, most of NATO was in a long, slow, military decline. Russia, by contrast has been modernizing and working on rebuilding its military over the last decade or so. We can now see corruption has crippled that, but while most of NATO was gradually disarming, Russia was engaged in military build-up.

Russia invaded Ukraine already in 2014, and also hit Georgia. NATO invaded zero nations in that time.

If you want to bitch about Iraq and Afghanistan, there's a very small degree of relevance, but three key differences:
1. Neither nation was invaded with intent of territorial gain.
2. Both nations were voluntarily withdrawn from, arguably too quickly, after serious attempts were made to set up local autonomous and non-awful local governments.
3. Neither nation directly borders Russia nor presents a threat to its self defense.


In all measures, in all ways, Russia is the instigator in this, Russia is responsible for the bloodshed, and Russia can stop it the instant it's willing to pull out.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Ukraine and Russia both violated those agreements. Everything was going pretty well till 2010, when Obama's State Department started doing some trolling and playing around in the region. Ukraine tried to keep itself neutral, then 2014 happened and that Euromaiden fiasco happened with one of the trademark CIA Color Revolutions and it shot the entire thing to pieces.
In what treaty did Ukraine promise to be neutral and what was it given in return?
Those two don't seem to be important to the "core" interests. The "essential" Russian allies in terms of raw geography, to my understanding, would actually be Latvia and Lithuania. Because that gives a land route to Kaliningrad, thus securing officially-recognized borders.
I think i have a solution to that problem, but Russia won't like it.
Hint: Russia has never owned Kaliningrad until 1940's, and somehow Russia could deal with it.
Other than that, i'd suggest for Russia to stop treating it's neighbors like shit, but i know that it's too much to ask, they have more practical experience with not owning Kaliningrad.
I don't have all the reference material on hand, but it basically comes down to "let Russia be in a position to keep its shit". Don't force it to have to guard the largest possible open plains border by walking NATO to direct contact. NATO has a whole other fucking continent to be untouchable industrial base, Russia's being casually denied its diect neighbors as even neutral.
"Neutral" is code in Russian diplomatic speak. It means subordinate to Russia. It's funny how they never, ever complain about any of their much loved properly "neutral" countries having too close deals with Russia itself. Neutral like my ass.
For the record, neither does NATO threaten them for this lack of neutrality at first with hybrid warfare, and if that fails, all out warfare.
Russia needs to learn that it's not entitled to rule its neighbors, and if it pisses them off for centuries, the neighbors may not like it in return.
 

Cherico

Well-known member
You can bitch about 'NATO expansionism' all you want, but the bottom line is simple:

NATO has not tried to invade Russia.
NATO has not tried to annex parts of other sovereign nations.

Russia has broken its treaty with Ukraine, invading it.
Russia has tried to annex parts of another sovereign nation.

If we go past that?

Prior to the invasion of Ukraine, most of NATO was in a long, slow, military decline. Russia, by contrast has been modernizing and working on rebuilding its military over the last decade or so. We can now see corruption has crippled that, but while most of NATO was gradually disarming, Russia was engaged in military build-up.

Russia invaded Ukraine already in 2014, and also hit Georgia. NATO invaded zero nations in that time.

If you want to bitch about Iraq and Afghanistan, there's a very small degree of relevance, but three key differences:
1. Neither nation was invaded with intent of territorial gain.
2. Both nations were voluntarily withdrawn from, arguably too quickly, after serious attempts were made to set up local autonomous and non-awful local governments.
3. Neither nation directly borders Russia nor presents a threat to its self defense.


In all measures, in all ways, Russia is the instigator in this, Russia is responsible for the bloodshed, and Russia can stop it the instant it's willing to pull out.

Russias like a drunk frat boy its not pulling out until it creates a horrific mess.
 

Morphic Tide

Well-known member
NATO has not tried to invade Russia.
You're delusional if you think no soul is going to look at "military organization made for exclusive purpose of "containing" the government we stopped being a decade ago takes in countries with a direct land border to us" as a serious threat.

Russia has broken its treaty with Ukraine, invading it.
After the US already broke that treaty by piling on conditional foreign aid. There's more to the terms than naked force, and the Western elite's ego-stroking bullshit revolves incredibly much around doing all manner of things just short of it.

NATO invaded zero nations in that time.
It did, however, get up to an incredible amount of economic shenanigans with all sorts of places to try and bludgeon them in line. EU demanding rejection of US food aid for being GMOs as a condition for its own, for example.

In what treaty did Ukraine promise to be neutral and what was it given in return?
Budapest Memorandum is the main one, and in return was a bunch of security promises that neither side respected by 2014. The US casually shat all over any notion of sovereignty by playing games with foreign aid, Russia went after the threat to its energy monopoly in Crimea shortly after it became visible.

Russia has never owned Kaliningrad until 1940's, and somehow Russia could deal with it.
Because Russia historically had formal subjects or larger direct borders to give it year-round access to waters in the region, which the collapse of the USSR ended. Declaring Kaliningrad part of Russia proper locked in this rather major strategic consideration. Otherwise the Baltic fleet is stuck in ice for months.

For the record, neither does NATO threaten them for this lack of neutrality at first with hybrid warfare, and if that fails, all out warfare.
Because Russia's soft power is incredibly limited and specific, whereas NATO has "will force African countries to starve over abstract intellectual property rights" level bullshit going on.

Russia needs to learn that it's not entitled to rule its neighbors, and if it pisses them off for centuries, the neighbors may not like it in return.
And the Western elite need to learn that soft power is not magically more righteous than hard, and countries being forced into a corner with it are liable to get out the bag of hammers to demonstrate the point.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Any mobilization highlights... lets see.

Why are thousands of Russian troops deploying to Belarus? Are they going to Invade Ukraine? Or just going to train?



Mass Mobik Marriage taking place in the St. Petersburg Area. :confused:



A Refugee Camp Near the Ukrainian Border. Oh wait no, it's a Russian Mobilization Base.



High Intensity Military Training is Being Offered for Some Russian Troops... Are those really live rounds? 😬



Rest in Peace Vadim Bulatov, a Lieutenant who went from mobilized to buried in just over two weeks...

 
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ATP

Well-known member
NATO walked up to Russia's border years before any aggression from Russia on anything. Latvia joined NATO in 2004, what the fuck did Russia do to justify that?


No, the US has violated the Budapest Memorandum as well. Economic coercion is included, so the shenanigans with making foreign aid contingent on closing investigations are in fact an instance of breaking the terms of the deal.

When Moscov arleady have their theory about non existence of Ukrainian nation.How do you think they would act,if NATO do not Latvia joining them?
And,they arleady started war in Czeczenya - by blowing up 4 homes full of fake russians.

And,Moscov is invading Ukraine,not USA.USA tried sell them to Moscov,Putin agreed,and then attacked.
Good for us - it was less bad possibility.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Budapest Memorandum is the main one, and in return was a bunch of security promises that neither side respected by 2014. The US casually shat all over any notion of sovereignty by playing games with foreign aid, Russia went after the threat to its energy monopoly in Crimea shortly after it became visible.
Where the hell does Budapest Memorandum contain that promise?
Also if you want to complain about games with foreign aid, see: Russia, gas prices, all around its both de facto and ambitious "sphere of influence".
Russia has no right to an energy monopoly, and attempts to hold it by force in violation of international law could be considered a cassus belli by the countries it's meant to be held over if they were in a particularly fighting mood.
Because Russia historically had formal subjects or larger direct borders to give it year-round access to waters in the region, which the collapse of the USSR ended. Declaring Kaliningrad part of Russia proper locked in this rather major strategic consideration. Otherwise the Baltic fleet is stuck in ice for months.
Screw Baltic Fleet. It didn't always have that. Landlocked countries somehow exist and live.
As such, no country is entitled to sea access, nevermind sea access with nice climate on top.
Because Russia's soft power is incredibly limited and specific, whereas NATO has "will force African countries to starve over abstract intellectual property rights" level bullshit going on.
Their problem that they have invested resources the way they did, and neglected investing in the lower levels of the escalation ladder.
And the Western elite need to learn that soft power is not magically more righteous than hard, and countries being forced into a corner with it are liable to get out the bag of hammers to demonstrate the point.
Some forms of it have to be unless you want to get rid of the whole idea of westphalian sovereignty in favor of something else (hint: Russia does, sovereignty for wannabe empires only, the rest can be divided into "spheres of influence").
Aaand the DebilZov is once again flowing out of its banks.
Shut up, you're the debil, butting into other people's conversations without anything to add except insults. I've seen drunken hobos behaving in a more cultured manner than you.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Shut up, you're the debil, butting into other people's conversations without anything to add except insults. I've seen drunken hobos behaving in a more cultured manner than you.
Translation, you are obsessed with spewing your heavily biased talking points and you will spam a meme thread like mad if somebody disagrees with you.
What is the matter, feeling uneasy outside of the echo chamber?

I would not call you a debil though, but if we are to insult each other then you are a spiteful autist.A lazy one, since most of your copy pasting is just whatever crap you find on Google, I doubt you even read or comprehend most of the "arguments" you use.
I am pretty sure you suffer from dilusions of grandeur, megalomania and your IQ is probably below average.

You are losing, the fact that you are throwing a hissy fit about a joke I made in a meme thread proves that. :ROFLMAO:
 
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Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Translation, you are obsessed with spewing your heavily biased talking points and you will spam a meme thread like mad if somebody disagrees with you.
Mirror...
I would not call you a debil though
Should have thought about that before you did.
, but if we are to insult each other then you are a spiteful autist.
Again, mirror is calling.
A lazy one, since most of your copy pasting is just whatever crap you find on Google, I doubt you even read or comprehend most of the "arguments" you use.
I am pretty sure you suffer from dilusions of grandeur, and your IQ is probably below average.
Lol, and you call me the autist.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Mirror...

Should have thought about that before you did.

Again, mirror is calling.

Lol, and you call me the autist.
You are the one throwing a hissy fit about memes and about a joke I made, in a meme thread, you are also reeing up a storm in that same meme thread.
You need a reality check, dude.
Maybe meds, too, the type a shrink would proscribe. We really need Russia Derangement Syndrome to be added to the list of dangerous psychotic conditions by the WHO. :)
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
You are the one throwing a hissy fit about memes and about a joke I made,
That:
Aaand the DebilZov is once again flowing out of its banks.
Qualifies as a joke now? In what world? That's just you whining, it's not funny, it's pathetic.
Are you expecting some kind of affirmative action for your "jokes" here?
in a meme thread, you are also reeing up a storm in that same meme thread.
You need a reality check, dude.
Maybe meds, too, the type a shrink would proscribe. We really need Russia Derangement Syndrome to be added to the list of dangerous psychotic conditions by the WHO. :)
Then why do you show up here to whine? No one mentioned, tagged or quoted you. I see nothing here except more projecting from you.
 

Morphic Tide

Well-known member
Where the hell does Budapest Memorandum contain that promise?
Point 3, "The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to Ukraine, in accordance with the principals of the CSCE Final Act, to refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind"

Also if you want to complain about games with foreign aid, see: Russia, gas prices, all around its both de facto and ambitious "sphere of influence".
The price set for the goods one produces is rather different from "Hey, you know that law we passed saying we'd give you money for nothing in return? Do this or we're cutting that money off". The latter is the shittery that the West's soft power runs on.

Russia has no right to an energy monopoly, and attempts to hold it by force in violation of international law could be considered a cassus belli by the countries it's meant to be held over if they were in a particularly fighting mood.
You seem to be assuming I'm 100% in favor of everything Russia is doing, rather than criticizing NATO for doing seemingly every single thing other than outright military actions to force Russia into as small a corner as possible, including constantly expanding the threat of such if Russia ever dares to try using military action to maintain its previous positions.

As such, no country is entitled to sea access, nevermind sea access with nice climate on top.
Demanding it be removed when previously present for centuries, however, is a quite strong attempt at crippling them that demands some rather major impetus.

Their problem that they have invested resources the way they did, and neglected investing in the lower levels of the escalation ladder.
They shuffled things around the entire USSR such that they literally do not have the resources on their own to furnish the full ladder. The last step or two are the most important because it's also the steps that keep China from barging into Siberia.

Some forms of it have to be unless you want to get rid of the whole idea of westphalian sovereignty in favor of something else
Given how much of it is entirely about doing away with Westphalian Sovereignty in favor of unrestricted economic homogenization by a wide array of back-room deals and sanctions and international bodies vetoing the decisions of individual states, across literally the entire world, I don't see how NATO countries have the high ground.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
That:

Qualifies as a joke now? In what world? That's just you whining, it's not funny, it's pathetic.
Are you expecting some kind of affirmative action for your "jokes" here?
DebilZov is an obvious play on the name of one of the neonazi battalions you guys route for, Azov, which was surprise surprise, also named after the sea of Azov, which is a woter body that can overflow.

Oh, yeah, I totally should have added something about the containment thread, too.
The Dum is flowing out of the Bass. :ROFLMAO:

Then why do you show up here to whine? No one mentioned, tagged or quoted you. I see nothing here except more projecting from you.
Maybe because I like memes and I came here to see some, not go through 50 pages of your tirades, although it looks like WolfieBoi started the flame war.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Can't help but feel for troops whose value to the Kremlin is basically 'zergling.'

Yep. :(


Why exactly must Russia's fate as a Western appendage (in the event of a loss and a subsequent color revolution) be that of chronic corruption and impoverishment? Why exactly can't it become a giant Israel instead, with a space program, a lot of elite science production, and a high TFR? Or at least with a space program and a high TFR? I don't know about the lots of elite science production part since Intermarium doesn't appear to produce much elite science either in spite of it being a part of the West:

 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Yep. :(


Why exactly must Russia's fate as a Western appendage (in the event of a loss and a subsequent color revolution) be that of chronic corruption and impoverishment?
Impoverishment and corruption? That's exactly what they have now, and getting out of it, as the case studies of post communist countries demonstrate, is a very slow process without guaranteed success date?
Why exactly can't it become a giant Israel instead, with a space program, a lot of elite science production, and a high TFR?
Small, highly cohesive country, with unusually religious subgroups contributing to that TFR disporportionally, while still being culturally related to the other part of the country that produces said elite science.
Most of the West doesn't have such subgroups (Amish?), while Russia is the opposite of small and highly cohesive.
Or at least with a space program and a high TFR?
Well if they insist, they can have North Korea/Iran style "prestige\military piece" outdated space program, and a bunch of Chechens and company bumping up the TFR.

\ I don't know about the lots of elite science production part since Intermarium doesn't appear to produce much elite science either in spite of it being a part of the West:

Elite science requires either elite prestige (which takes time, politics and money) or top shelf high tech toys in more "material" elite science even if you have smart people (Intermarium doesn't have this kind of money to spare and won't have for a hundred years after dealing with all the mess communism left). We can check how much money it takes to prototype things like next generation nuclear reactors, SSTO spacecraft or top quality computer chips, those are truly eye watering sums, even if you have the right business environment and expert workforce, without the funding, womp womp. It's notable that quite a few countries get into that territory or expand their presence there through some direct or indirect fallout of high military spending.
 

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