Russo-Turkish War of 2020

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While this war is notional at the moment because Erdogan hasn't miscalculated or escalated yet, the risk is now quite real. This thread is meant to provide a location for sharing info on blogs, videos, GIS data, and reports from the course of the fighting around Idlib which is seeing increasing full involvement of Turkish regulars, opening a new phase in the Great Near Eastern War which started with the so-called "Arab Spring" and continues with major fighting in Syria, Yemen, and Libya ten years later, with only a strictly notional peace having been brought to the fourth major conflict zone, Iraq.
 
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I suspect things won't escalate too much. Erdogan is too smart a politician, Ottoman dreams aside to go to war with Russia.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Erdogan has been playing speed chess it seems these past few years. Unless things get truly cereal, like Russian bombers blasting Turkish cities or something, I think he'd read the room and not invoke Article V.

Turkey seems pretty well placed to engage in a proxy war with the Syrians, Russians and whoever backs them if this escalates I feel, if only for the time being. Plus NATO interference doesn't have to be in unison, some countries might choose to support Ukraine more to spite Russia, others might wanna sell Turkey weapons at lucrative prices for "border security" promises and Greece will just close its borders and munch popcorn.

More then a few in the West will simply just watch and hope the conflict just doesn't ramp up to the intensity of an actual shooting war between the two sides as much as simply an intensifying proxy war between Turkish soldiers and "not" Russian soldiers and their respective allies.
 

Harlock

I should have expected that really
Come on then Poland, you know what to do

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Deleted member 88

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I saw on Twitter apparently Menagh airbase has been targeted, the rebels have recaptured the M5 highway and that both Turkish and Russian planes are being scrambled.
 
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One thing hasn't gotten the attention it deserves is Turkey's use of drones. While the US has used drones to kill alleged terrorists, Turkey's use shows the viability of drones in conventional warfare.

Apparently dozens to hundreds of soldiers and vehicles of the SAA have been neutralized.
 

PsihoKekec

Swashbuckling Accountant
However they could only do it due to the fact that Syrian AA defenses in that area are next to nonexistant. Their use in Lybia was greatly cutailed after UAE supplied Haftar's forces with SAMs.
 
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The 4th Battle of Saraqeb has concluded with Assadist dismount forces having reoccupied most of the town. The Turks are quite unlikely to tolerate this position being held by the Assadists long-term, so there is likely to be a 5th Battle as a counterattack attempts to dislodge them in the near future.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
I can't wait for the 12th Battle of the M5 Motorway!

I do like how Turkey refers to the casualties incurred by its strikes as "neutralizing" SAA forces. Such delightful passive aggressive newspeak. Makes them sound like they're Terminators.
 

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