Asia-Pacific Military Coup in Myanmar

Floridaman

Well-known member
Apparently Myanmar Brought Back Capital Punishment with four anti-regime Activists executed the first official executions to take place in the country since 1988.



So two were known allies of the pro-democracy movement pertaining to activism though all four are described as pro-democracy activists. All were charged under Burma's Anti-Terror Laws. Though back in 1988 the preferred manner of execution was hanging, it is as of yet unknown the methods employed presently.

democracy activists or “democracy activist” there is a big difference.
 

ATP

Well-known member
Apparently Myanmar Brought Back Capital Punishment with four anti-regime Activists executed the first official executions to take place in the country since 1988.



So two were known allies of the pro-democracy movement pertaining to activism though all four are described as pro-democracy activists. All were charged under Burma's Anti-Terror Laws. Though back in 1988 the preferred manner of execution was hanging, it is as of yet unknown the methods employed presently.


Why bother? they murdered many more without capital punishment till now.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Long Ongoing Twitter Thread I found about the Civil Conflict in Myanmar.



Goes back Weeks with an update at least every few days. Just another silent conflict going on I guess, at least compared to whatever is happening in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Interesting reading on the scroll up though.
 

Yinko

Well-known member
Long Ongoing Twitter Thread I found about the Civil Conflict in Myanmar.



Goes back Weeks with an update at least every few days. Just another silent conflict going on I guess, at least compared to whatever is happening in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Interesting reading on the scroll up though.

Could be wrong, but doesn't sound like Burmese, probably the language of the Chin or Kachin.

The issue that the anti-government forces in Myanmar have always had is that they are kind of like the Rebel Alliance in Star Wars, the only thing that unites them is their hatred for the Bamar majority. You look at the list of belligerent groups in the fight, and the anti-government forces have a half-dozen pro-democracy groups, some communists, what look like monarchists (weird) and a huge number of ethnic rebels. A lot of these people don't speak the same language and were actively killing each other just a few years ago.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Myanmar Government Confirms an Apparent Air Strike on what was described as a "Community Hall" occupied that killed over fifty people, including reportedly women and children who were participating in some sort of ceremony. The Myanmar government stated it was a strike on an anti-government militia group but admitted there may have been people wearing civilian clothes in the area.


Could be wrong, but doesn't sound like Burmese, probably the language of the Chin or Kachin.

The issue that the anti-government forces in Myanmar have always had is that they are kind of like the Rebel Alliance in Star Wars, the only thing that unites them is their hatred for the Bamar majority. You look at the list of belligerent groups in the fight, and the anti-government forces have a half-dozen pro-democracy groups, some communists, what look like monarchists (weird) and a huge number of ethnic rebels. A lot of these people don't speak the same language and were actively killing each other just a few years ago.

Thanks for the insight. It's important to note all of the particulars regarding Burma's ongoing civil strife and just how complicated it was, and how its become even more complicated now since the actual coup seemed to inflame tension even more.
 

Jormungandr

The Midgard Wyrm
Founder
Jesus Christ, this civil war is a clusterfuck even by Asian, African, and South American standards, and that's saying something.

Each faction are like blind monkeys with AK-47's, firing them at full auto in the middle of a shopping mall. People are gonna get shot, and there's a chance those hit would be their respective enemies alongside the scores of innocents around them.
 

Yinko

Well-known member
Jesus Christ, this civil war is a clusterfuck even by Asian, African, and South American standards, and that's saying something.

Each faction are like blind monkeys with AK-47's, firing them at full auto in the middle of a shopping mall. People are gonna get shot, and there's a chance those hit would be their respective enemies alongside the scores of innocents around them.
There is no innocence in Myanmar, only degrees of guilt. Not even a joke really. SE Asian cultures believe in collective guilt, guilt by association, so that being from the same ethnic group as the rebels is justification.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Apparently the Chinese brokered peace talks the Military Junta was having with three of the largest Ethnic Rebel Groups broke down last month and that was combined with the previously rare defection of entire military units to various anti-coup opposition groups. Defections have happened in the past, especially in the immediate wake of the coup itself, but usually not on such an organizational level.

The peace talks were between the Junta and the so-called Brotherhood Alliance consisting of the anti-Junta forces known as the Arakan Army, the Ta'ang National Liberation Army, and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army and took place near the Chinese border. They started up after being suspended in the wake of the 2021 coup and prior to that the Chinese had been trying to mediate the conflicts several years prior as well with the success largely eroding these past few years.

Also last month, there was a coordinated offensive between various anti-Junta forces who aren't apparently in a negotiating mood at presenting with the Karen National Liberation Army (of Rambo fame), and their new allies, the Peoples Defense Force which was found by pro-democracy activists in the wake of the 2021 coup and reportedly has upwards of 60,000 fighters and openly allied to several ethnic based rebel groups. Numerous raids were launched, resulting in the death or capture of dozens of government troops, the overrunning of several military outposts, roads being cut and bridges blown, as well as what have been described as "advanced drone strikes."

The current strategy of creating bottlenecks across Burma's road and rail system has crippled transportation in many parts of Eastern Burma due to ambushes, roadblocks and the use of IED's. Engagements with the PDF and KNLA guerrillas often isn't guaranteed as the junta sometimes finds itself under-equipped compared to their opponents. Convoys both on land and water often require significant armored vehicles and helicopter gunship escort as a result.

Also Myanmar is facing guerrilla activity across much of its territory, with a still ongoing Chin based insurgency in the West of the country.

Asia Times said:
In protracted conflicts that fail to provide sufficient daily drama easily measured in lives lost or kilometers gained, the international news industry is inclined to declare a "stalemate" and move on. Over the past year, Myanmar has been no exception to this tendency sometimes wrapped in the reassuring conclusion that the war is one that "neither side can win."

How or even if Myanmar's popular opposition can "win" remains to be decided but it would be folly to discount the remarkable mobilization, sustainability and access to armaments it has achieved in two short years – advances that, as indicated in June, continue to evolve in ways that are not immediately obvious but undoubtedly significant.

In the context of a civil war that is in many ways unprecedented, speculation into the future is of dubious value. But if current trajectories are any guide, it might focus more usefully less on who will win and more on how and when the nation's floundering military will lose.

 
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Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Nathan Ruser, an analyst out of Australia compiled a thread of recent successes the anti-Junta forces have had against the regime since the military leadership overthrew the burgeoning Burmese democracy (again) two years ago.


Obviously slanted against the Junta but a nice snapshot of military actions that have occurred.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Random article I found on the current fighting in Myanmar.


A forty vehicle military convoy took three months to advance fifty miles down a road in contested territory due to Rebel insurgent activity. A fifty mile journey on the same road prior to the Coup would've only taken a day.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Another military tracker team has decided to engage in the noble pursuit of tracking heavy equipment losses in the ongoing Myanmar Civil War that has been going on for over two years now.

 

49ersfootball

Well-known member
Nathan Ruser, an analyst out of Australia compiled a thread of recent successes the anti-Junta forces have had against the regime since the military leadership overthrew the burgeoning Burmese democracy (again) two years ago.


Obviously slanted against the Junta but a nice snapshot of military actions that have occurred.
Burma is basically cursed with military coups aren't they ?
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Map of reported control of Burma/Myanmar.



Supposedly various Rebel groups control almost 45% of the countryside and about 6.5% of the townships. The amount of control of the country by Non-Junta forces has mostly been on the steady increase since the Coup reportedly.
 

ATP

Well-known member
Map of reported control of Burma/Myanmar.



Supposedly various Rebel groups control almost 45% of the countryside and about 6.5% of the townships. The amount of control of the country by Non-Junta forces has mostly been on the steady increase since the Coup reportedly.

I hope,that they win.Pity,that brits do not agree to smaller states in 1945 - becouse Karens and other minorities fought japaneese,when birma people supported japaneese.
 

49ersfootball

Well-known member
Map of reported control of Burma/Myanmar.



Supposedly various Rebel groups control almost 45% of the countryside and about 6.5% of the townships. The amount of control of the country by Non-Junta forces has mostly been on the steady increase since the Coup reportedly.

Uh-oh. Feels like a juicy TL of Five Decades of Fear & Loathing again.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Rebel Forces in Myanmar Captured a Significant Amount of Heavy Weapons from the Junta including Machine Guns, RPG;s, mortars and even two 155mm Howitzers originally imported from Israel apparently.



Perhaps not coincidentally Armada Rotta updated their blog of heavy equipment losses in the Myanmar Civil War.

 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
The Rebel Alliance Captured Several Imperial Warships along the Rakhine Coast of Myanmar.



Quite the fleet heh.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Other ASEAN nations in the region are apparently establishing protocol and practices to send Humanitarian Aid to Myanmar in its ongoing Civil War with like... all of the dozens of ethnic, religious and political minorities its currently in said Civil War with that has only intensified since the Coup.

Reuters said:
The first batch of 4,000 relief bags carrying rice, dried food, and other essentials for 20,000 people was delivered in a convoy by the Thai Red Cross to its Myanmar counterpart at the Mae Sot-Myawaddy border crossing, Thailand's foreign ministry said in a statement.

The project is part of a wider peace initiative by Thailand to establish a humanitarian corridor, backed by the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as a civil war intensifies between Myanmar's military on one side and ethnic minority armies and a resistance movement on the other.

The United Nations has said at least 2.6 million people have been displaced by fighting and more than 18 million people are in need of assistance.

Like China, ASEAN nations have also tried to promote a peace plan but in this case the Burmese Junta have rejected the proposals out of hand and modifications thereof since they were first proposed back in the Spring of 2021.

The establishment of a humanitarian corridor is hopefully meant to be another step in pursuing an eventual peaceful resolution to the conflict in the country.

 

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