Asia-Pacific Military Coup in Myanmar

Yinko

Well-known member
I used to live in Myanmar, for a time. It's hard to say what it's like now, since it changes so fast there. However, from what I saw in Cambodia, the feelings towards the Chinese among the public are going to be pretty bad. This is important for a few reasons.
A lot of minority groups that were close to the border during the original junta years jumped the border into China and then brought that cash back with them to invest it into Myanmar once it reopened. However, the opinions of these returnees was always pretty arrogant, but nowhere near as bad as that of the Chinese themselves. The fact that these groups are not Bamar already means that their influence is suspect. That the Chinese investors have utterly ruined the real estate market to the point that people in Yangon cannot rent a crappy little death-trap of an apartment without making it look like a clowncar, that's what really pisses them off.

Also, the biggest new cultural influence is, by far, India and Korea, followed by Japan. Especially since North Korea has long been a trade partner with Myanmar, which means that South Korea already had a point of reference. That just shows that China hasn't been able to sink its claws into the public consciousness too far.

The hatred for the Chinese is relevant because of how SE Asian leaders historically deal with public support. That is: identify a group hated by the public and kill them. This was the Rohingya strategy, they were hated for centuries prior to this, and once they were driven out school children volunteered to go and help harvest their crops and redistribute their lands out of sheer gratitude for eliminating them. The government gained a huge amount of support for getting rid of them, very democratic by those standards.

Similarly, Indonesia has had at least one major genocide against the Chinese, and probably a few smaller ones, for exactly the same reasons. The Chinese on the mainland never care because they view ethnic Chinese in other countries as not really Chinese any more, which is something that really pisses off the ethnic Chinese in those countries.

Animosity against the Chinese in SE Asia has been increasing in alignment with their interactions with them. At a guess, I would say that part of the reasoning for the coup was that the Tatmadaw is trying to fix some of the problems caused by opening up the economy, one of which has been foreign influence.

It would be difficult for China to actually do anything about it if their assets were to be destroyed, since ASEAN is essentially an Anti-China political bloc, which contained three heavily militarized countries and the economic backing of the west. What do all ASEAN countries have in common? Fear of China. If China moves to annex one, the rest are going to react. The way that China has been trying to get around this has been through bribery of officials, but that only goes so far and doesn't usually work on the upper level members of the administration who are either already in the pocket of another country (Cambodia and Loas are Vietnamese puppet states) or not dumb enough to be bought by a foreign power (Thailand, Indonesia).

It's always possible that the Chinese could pull something off, but I don't think they're competent enough, especially if it came to actual conflict.
 

Arch Dornan

Oh, lovely. They've sent me a mo-ron.
It would be difficult for China to actually do anything about it if their assets were to be destroyed, since ASEAN is essentially an Anti-China political bloc, which contained three heavily militarized countries and the economic backing of the west. What do all ASEAN countries have in common? Fear of China. If China moves to annex one, the rest are going to react. The way that China has been trying to get around this has been through bribery of officials, but that only goes so far and doesn't usually work on the upper level members of the administration who are either already in the pocket of another country (Cambodia and Loas are Vietnamese puppet states) or not dumb enough to be bought by a foreign power (Thailand, Indonesia).
They're like Asia's Germany but even worse off militarily?
 

King Arts

Well-known member
Maybe the military coup was in the right if Soros was involved and supports the protests then maybe the protesters are bad for the nation.
 
When only the government is doing the shooting it's just protests being wrecked. When both sides are doing the shooting...

Too bad liveleak is a shell of it's former self so I won't be able to go there to check out the latest "myanmar civil war gruesome deaths compilation" vids that are sure to come at this point.
 
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The High Commissioner cautioned that the situation in Myanmar clearly echoes that of Syria in 2011, as it descended into conflict, with the past ten years showing the horrific consequences for millions of civilians.
“There too, we saw peaceful protests met with unnecessary and clearly disproportionate force. The State’s brutal, persistent repression of its own people led to some individuals taking up arms, followed by a downward and rapidly expanding spiral of violence all across the country”, she said.
The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights at the time warned that the failure of the international community to respond with united resolve could be disastrous for Syria and beyond, Ms. Bachelet added.
“I fear the situation in Myanmar is heading towards a full-blown conflict. States must not allow the deadly mistakes of the past in Syria and elsewhere to be repeated.”

See, the UN agrees with me.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
To celebrate the Buddhist New Year in Myanmar as per tradition, the Junta will be releasing thousands of prisoners from its prisons and jails and granting them amnesty! Over twenty three thousand prisoners will be released.


Of course, apparently few of them will be political dissidents but oh well. Also the Junta will be attending the next ASEAN Summit, their first since seizing power eleven weeks ago.

Over three thousand political dissidents are still imprisoned by the Junta and over 700 killed since the February Coup.
 

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