Former caterer gets delusional, declares war on Russia

Can anybody here confirm whether this tweet twitter is real or not below?



If this was true, Russian Intel didn't pick-up on it???
This was posted already on the Russian Invasion thread. Sorry for duplicating a post.


They did pick up on it actually. That same account actually says as much.

 
Road closures and stopped traffic in Voronezh, Northeast of Belgorod.



Reported video of Wagner columns passing by Rostov, Russian National Guard letting them roll by apparently.







Ka-52, Mi-28 and Mi-8 Helicopters Have Been Seen Circling Over Rostov

 
This seems to be a mostly peaceful way of bypassing a roadblock.



Poor Russian Law Enforcement/Civil Authorities... forgetting they can just drive around the city buses blocking the road. National Guard OMON Special Purpose Troops just gawking at them driving by.

They're unstoppable... bypassing every line of defense regardless of depth!

EDIT:

Outside the Southern Military District HQ. Looks like Wagner Units are outside of it. But those police vehicles blocking their way look pretty imposing.







Looks like they intend to seize the building.

Lots of pictures and videos coming out now. Its morning in Russia and there's loads of civilians just standing around not looking too perturbed and filming everything on their cell phones.

EDIT: EDIT:

Another government building being peacefully seized.

 
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Just came across this ...



If it's accurate ... wow.


Igor Sushko kinda reports a lot of things rapidly. But Voronezh has been closing roads and doing their 'Fortress' protocol as well. It's likely from Wagner forces coming up from Belgorod or something as opposed to a 'halfway point' between Rostov and Moscow if that's what Igor is implying.
 
I wonder what the Russian forces on the front line have heard.

And what does Putin have in the interior that he can use to stop Wagner? Will that action wait till Moscow? Will Putin drop a tacnuke on Wagner?
 
Yeah I’m gonna heavily disagree, and say what you said is unconstitutional on the same level as gun grabbers. It basically removes a power of congress declaring war. If the president has the ability to order an attack on anyone then that makes the power to declare war pointless.
The president has the power because congress can take to long to meet and the president can act now.


As for the RvR.
LETS FUCKING GO!
I wonder what the Russian forces on the front line have heard.

And what does Putin have in the interior that he can use to stop Wagner? Will that action wait till Moscow? Will Putin drop a tacnuke on Wagner?
A possibility. You know this as much as I do.
 
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Where would he fly to though?

And whose side would he be on in this Civil War? Putins or Putins?


Dunno, though it seems his aircraft reportedly has now left Turkey, destination as of yet unknown.


I wonder what the Russian forces on the front line have heard.

And what does Putin have in the interior that he can use to stop Wagner? Will that action wait till Moscow? Will Putin drop a tacnuke on Wagner?

It's a big question isn't it. As for what Putin has in the interior? Rosgvardia, also some unspecified Spetsnaz units, dunno what else. The problem is the bulk of his force is deployed at the Ukrainian fronts. The same front that is, or was being supplied through Rostov-on-Don that is now being reportedly seized/taken over by Wagner.
 
I wonder what the Russian forces on the front line have heard.

And what does Putin have in the interior that he can use to stop Wagner? Will that action wait till Moscow? Will Putin drop a tacnuke on Wagner?

Well he has the Rosgvardia/National Guard and the Ministry of Interior/FSB/Border Troops. He can also use a significant portion of the Russian Military... the shitty conscripted part. So that's thousands of troops there. I'm sure some of them can operate tanks and artillery etc... hopefully. Plus other police and law enforcement units. Wagner with its heavy units and veteran soldiers could probably hilariously roll over all of them in anything resembling an easy fight.

BUT there is still the Russian Air Force. That would likely put a big damper on any several hundred mile long roadbound advances onto Moscow. I don't think Wagner has long range air defense... or like... massed artillery... or their own munitions supply chain beyond what they can "find."
 
So the caterer who decided to start a mercenary company called Wagner (which has been disposing of Russian prisoners in Ukrainian cities) came up with the bright idea of declaring that he was marching his prisoners on Moscow to remove the Russian Secretary of Defense because The Corrupt Incompetent (Shoigu) was being appropriately Russian in his approach to friendly fire.

Anyone who claims to have any real facts on what is actually going on (especially tactically speaking) is probably lying through their teeth.
 
Eh, they're tactical weapons. They're also still "russian" despite Belarusian deployment. The only protection they have or need is the joint policies of escalation and "Use it or lose it." If any Western country decides to have a go at them, they'd probably try to use them before they could be destroyed and Russia would almost certainly escalate to tactical nuclear attacks against both Ukraine and whoever tried to strike the Belarusian deployment. At which point, over the course of 15-60 minutes, we end up in a situation where something like +90% of all the world's nuclear weapons both tactical and nuclear will be launched, even when neither the aggressor nor target is directly involved. Fortunately military planners have known and understood these issues for the better part of a century, so we won't be seeing some random NATO state screaming YOLO as the lob missiles at the new location of russian nuclear weapons just because they are somewhere new. This is just more posturing and nuclear sabre rattling from the impotent russian regime.

No, not really. The US would not escalate to nuclear war if Russia used tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine against Ukrainian forces. Especially not with any kind of immediacy.

Even a limited nuclear attack on a NATO member wouldn't get immediate US nuclear retaliation. The only thing that would get the US to go nuclear very quickly is a Russian nuclear attack on US territory. A tactical nuclear strike in Europe that killed US soldiers and/or was against NATO would get a nuclear response but it would be a much more limited one and done mostly for demonstration purposes.

When the chips are on the table, the US is not going to risk NYC over the battlefield use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

Also "Special Operations Forces (SSO) commanded by Major General Valery Flustikov have taken over control of the Ministry of Defence headquarters on Frunzenskaya in Moscow. Right now, there's no way of knowing whose side he is really on: Shoigu or Prigozhin. Probably "wait & see.""
Putin's side most likely. Shoigu has been really incompetent and corrupt so him being "killed in the fighting" to give Putin the excuse to replace him isn't outside the realm of possibility.

Prigozhin doesn't really have any allies with substantial intelligence, military, or political clout. Flustikov is unlikely to back him in a coup against Putin and that is ultimately what this is, whatever Prigo claims.

Prigo is a dead man, the FSB won't let him ascend to the throne and takeover by open coup isn't something that any theoretical Putin successor can be seen to allow to prosper.
 
The president has the power because congress can take to long to meet and the president can act now.


As for the RvR.
LETS FUCKING GO!

A possibility. You know this as much as I do.
And?
It’s still unconstitutional you seem to think that the constitution is this god document that tells you the best way to run a nation in all ways and it’s efficient and infallible. It’s not by being a republic instead of a dictatorship we already have inefficiency, the constitution should stop soldiers and the president from deciding to go fight someone without congress accepting it.
 
And?
It’s still unconstitutional you seem to think that the constitution is this god document that tells you the best way to run a nation in all ways and it’s efficient and infallible. It’s not by being a republic instead of a dictatorship we already have inefficiency, the constitution should stop soldiers and the president from deciding to go fight someone without congress accepting it.
So you are saying that the US military should wait for what could be weeks while we are getting attacked?
 
So you are saying that the US military should wait for what could be weeks while we are getting attacked?
Yes or you should change your constitution. You can defend yourself from attacks obviously you just can’t attack your enemies. You can’t keep jerking off the constitution and say you believe in it if you are doing something that goes against it.
 
Yes or you should change your constitution. You can defend yourself from attacks obviously you just can’t attack your enemies. You can’t keep jerking off the constitution and say you believe in it if you are doing something that goes against it.
So...my nation should not be able to take advantage of a situation and wait for congress and allow our enemies to build up properly
 

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