Last night, the numbers indicated that Wilders would het 35 seats (out of the total 150). The leftists kept saying that the exit polls were wrong. And the exit polls were wrong.
Wilders gets 37 seats.
My friends, I cannot adequately describe the sour looks on the faces of all the left-wing academics I've seen this morning. My own irrepressive cheeriness is apparently hurting them physically, judging by their reactions. This is what a hangover two decades in the making looks like.
As far as coalitions go: the greatest share of the populace wants a right-wing coalition. All polls yield that answer. That means the Freedom Party + the VVD + NSC + BBB.
VVD is the centre-right liberal party that has been the largest party & in charge for the past 13 years. Their leader, Rutte, has left (and probably wants to be NATO's next Secretary-General now). They've moved to the right immediately. Ideologically, this party is hollow. They want power. Getting them on board is a matter of offering them enough key positions, in a "you get the cushy jobs, we get our policy enacted" kind of scheme.
NSC (New Social Contracts) was founded by the most honest Christian Decomcrat, who was stabbed in the back by his own party for exposing government corruption. He got 20 seats, his old party has been reduced to 4. He's mostly centre-right, but with some rather lefty "social" ideas. Critical of mass migration, though. He'll come on board if he can enact most of his key policy ideas (most of which are decent enough).
BBB (BoerBurgerBeweging, "Farmers and Citizens Movement") is the party of the angry farmers. Most of their potential votes went to PVV and NSC instead, but they hold a key role for a prospective coalition. They've said they'll only join if they get to handle the Ministry of Agriculture. Giving them their way on all policies related to farming is the easy way to get them on board with everything else.
(Of course, a coalition without the BBB would be possible, too. But I think NSC and BBB will argue that you take both of them, or get neither. Which may not be a bad thing. It would give a government a very broad majority-- and very broad legitimacy. Saying "Over 60% of the people voted for us" is an easy way to shut up the shrieking opposition.)