Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

History Learner

Well-known member
No, I just go by what is in the links, and what you said.

I never said you said he had ceded Donbass or Crimea, I said I had not seen anything talking about anything regarding territorial integrity being up for discussion or on the table a this point. Particularly not 'abandoned' talk of territorial integrity as you first claimed.

You're absolutely full of shit:

Now, having actually read the article you linked, it did not say Zelenski had abandoned trying to get Crimea and the Donbass back, so not sure where you got that idea.

This is you saying exactly that.

The first link you provided didn't actually back up much of any of what you claimed, and the second link showed that the issue of territorial integrity was being shelved while other discussions were going on, with the possibility of discussions about the status of the LPR/DPR and Crimea being posited as the '15 year discussion'.

Except it said exactly as I said it did, that territorial integrity was indeed now up for discussion, so you're lying on that too. What was not said, however, was that the matter was being shelved as you claim; that is an invention entirely by you. Zelensky has stated that 15 years of talking can commence on the status of the disputed territories, beginning as part of the formal peace process through in person talks between him and Putin; if he is directly meeting with Putin to discuss, claiming the issue is being shelved is laughable given that's high level diplomatic talks between the two Heads of State.

At least be consistent in your lying is all I'm asking for at this point.

'Discussion' does not mean Ukraine has given up on getting those areas back (though I had rather expected they'd probably lose them, unless Russia really screwed the pooch), it means that they are not about to let Russia declare they are keeping those territories and are seeming to want to work on the issue of those areas once the rest of the agreement is sorted out. I expect Kiev wants an actual open, fair referendum in those areas as to what they want to be, not the farce of a 'referendum' that happened when Crimea was annexed or what the LPR/DPR did on their own.

Which I've not claimed anywhere, again, you're engaging in strawman because I showed you were and are lying. What I did say, and what we both quoted me as saying, was that Ukraine has retreated from its earlier position of its territorial integrity not being up for discussion. What they are now saying, however, is that there can be talks between them and Russia on the issue; this is a 180 from their prior stated position of no talks at all.

You twisted that to me somehow saying they had formally abandoned Crimea and Donbass already, which I didn't say at all, and thus my claim somehow being only partly right instead of the 100% correct statement I made. At issue here is you are either lying or you don't understand basic terms. Your choice.

So you can keep ree'ing about me being full of bullshit or trying to 'gatcha' you; however it won't change that you seriously exaggerated what was/is being said. I had simply wanted a source for the claim you made initially, because it wasn't outlandish, but I wanted to see more than just your word for it.

Your replies however showed you are just another Russian shill who is ass-mad about people not buying your bullshit on your word alone, and the way you dealt with me asking for sources and critiquing your exaggerations also shows you have no desire to argue things in good faith.

Given how many demonstrable lies you've made, and I've quoted you doing so to prove it, we can dismiss this bit as just projection on your part. Nice try, but it didn't work dude.
 

Bacle

When the effort is no longer profitable...
Founder
You twisted that to me somehow saying they had formally abandoned Crimea and Donbass already, which I didn't say at all.
Again, you try to play this game, when this is the first post I replied to with you.
Is that why Ukraine abandoned its earlier insistence on its territorial integrity?
Yeah you didn't say 'formally', but the implication was there, and you know it.

Keep being ass-mad about being called out on exaggerating things though; maybe Putin-senpai will sent a few rubles your way for your effort.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
Again, you try to play this game, when this is the first post I replied to with you.
Yeah you didn't say 'formally', but the implication was there, and you know it.

Keep being ass-mad about being called out on exaggerating things though; maybe Putin-senpai will sent a few rubles your way for your effort.

If I didn't say formally, as you concede, then that is an admission you constructed a strawman argument. It's also extremely fucking telling that you've oh so conveniently side stepped the fact I proved you outright lied about the Donbass and Crimea part by quoting you doing exactly that. You've now resorted to projecting your own failings onto me because I have been proven 100% correct, and you know it.
 

Bacle

When the effort is no longer profitable...
Founder
If I didn't say formally, as you concede, then that is an admission you constructed a strawman argument. It's also extremely fucking telling that you've oh so conveniently side stepped the fact I proved you outright lied about the Donbass and Crimea part by quoting you doing exactly that. You've now resorted to projecting your own failings onto me because I have been proven 100% correct, and you know it.

I'm completely correct and you're a liar, plain and simple.
No, I just read the words you posted and the links you posted and worked with what was in them.

It's not a 'strawman' to think that:
Is that why Ukraine abandoned its earlier insistence on its territorial integrity?
...meant that Ukraine had said it was no longer trying to get those areas back and had said so formally.

I went from there, where your first reply to me just asking for a source had n source in it, and the second time I asked you accused me of trying to 'gatcha' you, and then gave a source which didn't back up your claim. You got angry about that, said I should have specified more of what I was asking for, and then produced a second source which showed you were exaggerating Ukraine's position.

I said the discussion of those territories had been shelved, not done away with, because in the second link, it said that the issue was something for a meeting between Putin and Zelenski directly to handle. 'Shelved' does not mean it is removed from the situation, but it does mean it is not the topic of immediate discussion, as shown in your own links.

Edit: Ok, it was the second reply, when I asked specifically for a source or cite, where you accused me of trying to 'gatcha' you.
 

planefag

A Flying Bundle of Sticks
No, I just read the words you posted and the links you posted and worked with what was in them.

For starters, you're arguing with an idiot. Nothing you say is gonna get through.

Secondly, all these copenicks work the same way. They point at a hot air balloon and say "THERE, IT IS YURI RISEN FROM THE DEAD ON HIS WAY TO THE MOON!" Nothing they say has any contact with reality; even if you took away all their propaganda, they'd make shit up on their own and cuddle it close, rocking back and forth in a corner as they mutter about das rodina. You're trying to explain calculus to Ralph Wiggum, here.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
That's not quite up to memetic soviet bloc automotive industry bad, but that's still shockingly inept.




If a 4 cylinder minivan from 1965 is the fastest vehicle in your scout column, you have serious problems.
Humm, I think you misunderstood what I tried to say.
Notice that it was always moving in front of a munch of heavier Kamaz trucks.
So maybe it is scouting out the road for them.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
Damn.

That's a lot of senior officer casualties that's sorta starting to look like a US Civil War casualty list ... which is not a good thing:

Yeah, I don't really believe the Kiev-provided info on, well, anything.
 

bintananth

behind a desk
Yeah, I don't really believe the Kiev-provided info on, well, anything.
If the list is accurate Russia is losing senior officers much faster than the Union did during the Civil War ... where a Union Brigade Commander was killed in action roughly once every three weeks.
 

Agent23

Ни шагу назад!
If the list is accurate Russia is losing senior officers much faster than the Union did during the Civil War ... where a Union Brigade Commander was killed in action roughly once every three weeks.
Yeah, that is why I call bullshit, nowadays leading from the front is kind of out of style thanks to stuff like radio.
Also, I recall at least one Chechen commander being allegedly killed, only for video of him meeting Kadirov and trolling to surface a few days later.
 

Megadeath

Well-known member
It's cheaper and thereby more disposable vehicle, of course it is in front.
Personally, I'd want to lead with something capable of defending itself and surviving & defeating an attacker. Or alternatively, something that's fast and manoeuvrable enough to get out ahead of the others and swing around a bit looking for ambushers, and to get out of harms way if it finds them. Putting a little shitty truck full of supplies in front and being glad that it got destroyed instead of your big shitty trucks doesn't feel worth it.
 

bintananth

behind a desk
Yeah, that is why I call bullshit, nowadays leading from the front is kind of out of style thanks to stuff like radio.
Also, I recall at least one Chechen commander being allegedly killed, only for video of him meeting Kadirov and trolling to surface a few days later.
I'm willing to believe the list is somewhat accurate because Russia has a habit of purges and is not allergic to casualties.
 

Chiron

Well-known member


Another audit of Oryx's work. And till a few days ago, in his own words, he was just browsing, then a lawyer retweeted one of his posts, and people started asking him and following him, enabling him to vent years of frustration with idiotic S2s.

We can now throw Oryx's work in the trash. He has failed repeated requests to validate his work.



On why he has so much passion on this. Read his words and then look at Zachowon in a new light for the real danger he actually represents.



23 years really does change things.
 

bintananth

behind a desk
Personally, I'd want to lead with something capable of defending itself and surviving & defeating an attacker. Or alternatively, something that's fast and manoeuvrable enough to get out ahead of the others and swing around a bit looking for ambushers, and to get out of harms way if it finds them. Putting a little shitty truck full of supplies in front and being glad that it got destroyed instead of your big shitty trucks doesn't feel worth it.
Umm ...

Right now in that part of the world much of everthing that's not a road is probably either a muddy quagmire or unsuitable for motorized vehicles on a good day.
 

SchrodingersWehraboo

Well-known member
Picked up from /pol/ I believe, so it's likely horseshit doomposting. what do you think ?
yep-jpeg.3050265

/Pol/ is overrun with state actors calling each other feds, no doubt the same kind of negative analysis from “Ukrainian dissidents” exists there too. That’s not getting into the whole culture of “secret government insider” posts leaking the IMMINENT Invasion of Taiwan/Economic collapse/Biden death and whatever else. Oh, and it’s been over 3 weeks, and no nukes yet.
As for predictions of mass starvation, read this thread as a counterargument:



Really, this is the equivalent of that Alex Jones rant he keeps doing every 4 months where “THEY’RE GONNA ACTIVATE THE MILITIAS, THEY’RE GONNA KILL HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE IN A FALSE FLAG, THEN THE FBI WILL TAKE ALL THE GUNS AND ROUND UP ALL THE PATRIOTS FOR DETENTION CAMPS” and then you’re just supposed to forget that he said it and be astonished when he does it again.
 

AnimalNoodles

Well-known member
I think it was a case of both, the Russians went in hoping they could win a quick victory but being fully prepared to play the long game; in effect, having both Plans A and B going at the same time rather than defaulting to the latter after the former. Bill Roggio noted as much a few days ago, based on the Russian air campaign being consistent with a "wearing down" approach from the beginning.



Yeah. one of the basic concepts in Deep battle is the attack on the broad front. Attacks that succeed get reinforced, those that dont are withdrawn,
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
I'm willing to believe the list is somewhat accurate because Russia has a habit of purges and is not allergic to casualties.

Well there are several links that explain most of the entries on the list. Wikipedia has the footnotes and I hyperlinked others that weren't on Wikipedia. But most of them can be cross referenced with Rob Lee's twitter feed where he only reports deaths as they come from Russian media (so as that the families would likely be made aware of the deaths first instead of finding out about it on the internet).

Yeah, I don't really believe the Kiev-provided info on, well, anything.

Most of those reported are by name, with footnotes from the Wikipedia link or otherwise reported on Social Media and in the case of Rob Lee's Twitter feed, links back to the Russian sources on the death in question. Russia has admitted to only one General being killed during their Invasion of course, for whatever reason. But the list can be modified if new information comes out and if I can be arsed to do anything with it after now. :p

Yeah, that is why I call bullshit, nowadays leading from the front is kind of out of style thanks to stuff like radio.
Also, I recall at least one Chechen commander being allegedly killed, only for video of him meeting Kadirov and trolling to surface a few days later.

Yes I actually covered that in the post which is why he wasn't included on the list.

👇

Didn't add the Chechen General Magomed Tushayev since the state of his death or lack thereof is supposedly in doubt.
 
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Battlegrinder

Someday we will win, no matter what it takes.
Moderator
Staff Member
Founder
Obozny
Humm, I think you misunderstood what I tried to say.
Notice that it was always moving in front of a munch of heavier Kamaz trucks.
So maybe it is scouting out the road for them.

I'm not clear on how much scouting you can do with a minivan. Real scout vehicles have thermal and night vision optics to spot ambushes, radio equipment, maybe even a satellite link. Per wiki the UAZ was recently upgraded with....plastic side mirrors. This does not sound like a good scout.

Particularly given that if does encounter resistance.....then what? It's unarmed, unarmored, and not designed to allow any infantry onboard to quickly disembark. All it will do is explode and block the road in front of it.

It's cheaper and thereby more disposable vehicle, of course it is in front.

I don't think that would serve any useful purpose, if the lead vehicle in your convoy is a minivan and not an actual AFV, it sounds like the convoy's plan for encountering armed resistance is "hope we don't", and if that's the case putting a more disposable vehicle in the lead does nothing, if they get ambushed they're dead anyway.

"Use a cheap disposable unit as a scout" is RTS logic, and works great in those games because when you treat RTS units as expendable cannon fodder, the AI won't resent you for it. Real soldiers do not appreciate this sort of 'clever' tactic, they want to know that there commanders value them and thier lives, and "yo Ivan, here's the keys to our cheapest, least important vehicle. Go take point in the supply run, and tell the other drivers that if they see a huge fireball in front of them, that means the road isn't safe." sends the precise opposite message of "your commanders value your life and would not spend it callously".


Though given the reports of persistent morale issues in the Russia army, perhaps you have a point and they were dumb enough to do something like this.
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
I tend to take Wikipedia with a grain of salt: usually accurate but sometimes extremely wrong due to politics and agendas.

I said Wikipedia has the Footnotes and that you can literally search for the actual names themselves since in almost every case they are named or in the rare case it is not, the unit is named...
 

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