With cancel culture at the fever pitch it is right now, any poll based on cold-calling people over the phone is going to be massively skewed just by the
Shy Tory factor alone. We all know what "the right answer" is, and who knows whether your phone number might end up on some Antifa list somewhere? Easier just to claim to be pro-Biden or undecided and move on with your life.
Redneck Taqiyya is real.
I want to expand on this, if I may.
The main reason to be downhearted about the election is the polls, which are rotten for the President. I don't mean to be dismissive of polling, and I don't think all polls are consciously rigged, but they've been wrong before and there's very good reason to think they might be wrong now. These polls are all taking place in a febrile environment where people can literally lose their jobs for supporting Trump. Are some people refusing to tell the pollsters who they plan to vote for, or simply lying? Absolutely. The only question is by what percentage.
But I'm 95% certain Trump will win, and by a large enough margin that even the inevitable mail-in ballot fraud won't be able to drag Biden over the finish line. As I've been saying repeatedly on this forum every sign, indicator, trend or fundamental—EXCEPT the big media polls—points to a Trump victory. And I mean that literally. From enthusiasm, to party support, to primary turnout, to the economy, I haven't been able to find anything, other than the polls, that points to a Trump loss.
Having said that, if Trump loses (he won't), I refuse to let the wokelings see me moan or cry. I will complain here, online and anonymous, but IRL (where it matters) I'm going to get up, smile a rueful little smile, dust myself off, and get back in the game. I'm not going to give my enemies the satisfaction of seeing me in despair.
Trump losing (he won't) would be a blow, but it's not the end of the world.
John Robb says that a Trump loss would usher in a technocratic oppression, as the social media companies and the big corporations worked to institute something like a backdoor social credit score, to keep us bigoted Neanderthals in line by deplatforming us from everything from social media to banking. (He call this corporate censorship and oppression the "Long Night," in that it'd be very difficult to get out of.) At the same time, he also notes that a Trump loss and the subsequent ramping up of online oppression would galvanize the Right like nothing before, to the point that he thinks we'd come roaring back in 2024, to the eternal regret of the shitlibs, who we'll be teeing off on. (You want oppression, soy boy? Well here it is.)
That's in line with what I believe, that a Trump loss (which won't happen) forces us to act in a more coordinated and politically coherent way. As bad as the anger against the left and the establishment was in 2016, it's a thousand times worse now. Trump might have acted as a release valve, but the Derp State and the media worked so hard to thwart Trump and discredit his followers that they're angrier and more energized than ever before. It would actually be
better for them if Trump wins, because it would take some of the pressure out of the system. Whoever controls the Right after Trump will be nowhere near as polite and conciliatory.
If you want to see helicopter rides, a Trump loss in November is the fastest way to get there.
Personally I'd prefer to avoid our current civil unrest getting any worse. I want a county in which the electoral process functions normally, in which an elected president exercises control over an unelected bureaucracy and in which the press reports on those matters fairly.
To conclude: Trump is not losing, and even if he does lose (he won't), it will be a Pyrrhic victory for the Left at best.