49ersfootball
Well-known member
Tuberville's using the McConnell Playbook.The diffrence is this is not one person but a lot of them. Whole families and lives put on hold
Tuberville's using the McConnell Playbook.The diffrence is this is not one person but a lot of them. Whole families and lives put on hold
@Cherico @Blasterbot @gral @stevep @f1onagher @Zachowon @Husky_Khan @The Whispering Monk @Typhonis @Buba @Stargazer
BREAKING NEWS: United States Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) made it official: he will NOT be seeking reelection to a 3rd full 6-year term in 2024, ending a political career that began in 1982 with his election to the WV House of Delegates representing the 31st District (1982-1986), WV State Senate from Districts 14 & 13 (1986-1996) before winning statewide office as WV's 27th Secretary of State from January 15th, 2001 to January 17th, 2005, WV's 34th Governor from January 17th, 2005 until his resignation on November 15th, 2010 & United States Senator from WV (Class 1) since November 15th, 2010.
Congratulations to the likely Junior United States Senator from the Mountain State: WV Governor Jim Justice (R)!
McConnell just became Senate Majority Leader again in 2025.The dems were lucky to have this man while they did.
Well, technically it would be more accurate to say that it's now extremely challenging for the Democrats to avoid that fate, since they would need to retain every seat you named plus the vice presidency, or flip one of TX/FL/IN/worse for every seat they lose in addition to doomed WV.McConnell just became Senate Majority Leader again in 2025.
NRSCC needs to pick-up the following in 2024:
MT
OH
NV
MI
WI
AZ
PA
IN (Open): Unlikely since Banks is heavily favored to win Braun's US Senate seat & keep it in GOP hands: GOP Hold.Well, technically it would be more accurate to say that it's now extremely challenging for the Democrats to avoid that fate, since they would need to retain every seat you named plus the vice presidency, or flip one of TX/FL/IN/worse for every seat they lose in addition to doomed WV.
Yes, I agree that all three are very likely to hold. But do you think there are any GOP seats more likely than those to flip?IN (Open): Unlikely since Banks is heavily favored to win Braun's US Senate seat & keep it in GOP hands: GOP Hold.
FL: Scott could finally win by double digits in 2024. GOP Hold.
TX (my homestate): Cruz will get reelected in 2024 because Allred is too WOKE. Gut feeling Cruz will run for the Presidency in 2028: GOP Hold.
I don't think so. Dems will also have a hard time holding onto more Senate seats in 2026:Yes, I agree that all three are very likely to hold. But do you think there are any GOP seats more likely than those to flip?
Agreed on MI. I view VA and CO as longshots for the GOP not unlike TX and FL for Dems, and I'm not sure if Youngkin would actually be an asset. GA will be closer. Kemp would be a strong candidate in the general election; I would defer to Georgians on whether he'd prevail in a primary.I don't think so. Dems will also have a hard time holding onto more Senate seats in 2026:
VA: Possibility Warner might NOT seek reelection to 4th term in 2026 IF Youngkin runs.
GA: Ossoff might be in trouble if NRSCC convinces Kemp to run here.
MI: Depends if MI GOP isnt incompetent by then.
NM
CO: Hickenlooper might not run again.
Kemp would have a good chance at winning the general due to his high quality as governor.Agreed on MI. I view VA and CO as longshots for the GOP not unlike TX and FL for Dems, and I'm not sure if Youngkin would actually be an asset. GA will be closer. Kemp would be a strong candidate in the general election; I would defer to Georgians on whether he'd prevail in a primary.
On the other hand, Dems have more realistic pickup opportunities in that cycle. Collins will have a very hard time keeping Maine and if she retires I think it will be worse. NC will be close again. Alaskan politics are weird. Of course it's possible that the whole landscape might shift but that's how I think it looks now.
Considering the GA Democratic Party is still worthless.I definitely think if Kemp runs for Senate after his tenure as governor, he would win especially against Ossoff. Kemp isnloved by Georgians
2026 US Senate Outlook:Agreed on MI. I view VA and CO as longshots for the GOP not unlike TX and FL for Dems, and I'm not sure if Youngkin would actually be an asset. GA will be closer. Kemp would be a strong candidate in the general election; I would defer to Georgians on whether he'd prevail in a primary.
On the other hand, Dems have more realistic pickup opportunities in that cycle. Collins will have a very hard time keeping Maine and if she retires I think it will be worse. NC will be close again. Alaskan politics are weird. Of course it's possible that the whole landscape might shift but that's how I think it looks now.
They wanted Abrams to be Gov so yesConsidering the GA Democratic Party is still worthless.
She's a fucking liability!They wanted Abrams to be Gov so yes
Ossoff & Warnock are keeping those Senate seats until 2026 & 2028. I'm betting the GOP will get those Senate seats in GA back.She fucked the dem party over.
I wish she would run for Senate and it would be great for the GOP
Yeah, I can see Both Warnock and Ossof losing in 26 and 28 respectively if the right person runs against them.Ossoff & Warnock are keeping those Senate seats until 2026 & 2028. I'm betting the GOP will get those Senate seats in GA back.
With Manchin not seeking reelection in 2024, here's the list of the following Dem United States Senators from the South by Spring 2025:
(DE)
Chris Coons (D-DE)
LBR (D-DE): she's got this locked up.
(MD)
Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)
Alsobrooks (D-MD): likely the Old Line State's first African American woman United States Senator.
(VA)
Mark Warner (D-VA)
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
(GA)
Raphael Warnock (D-GA)
Jon Ossoff (D-GA)