WI Italy doesn't join the Triple Alliance? Partners with Britain instead.

Mobilization was part of it, a big part was losing the initiative and being forced on the defensive thanks in part to the timidity of their commanders except when it was too late and they tried some Hail Mary moves.
That was the basis of Foch's offensive doctrine that officially took over by 1911, but was already an unofficial doctrine among the many students of Foch working their way through command positions.

As you say the delay in mobilization and poor overall leadership meant they lost the initiative and were defeated in detail before they could concentrate their forces. Coupled with losing a large part of the army and its political leadership by having it withdraw into a fort where it was isolated.

What do you think would happen if they pulled troops out of there early on to move further north in 1914? They'd free up substantial German forces to reinforce the right wing if they changed their war plan; the German war plan was based on the French attacking in A-L, so they extra weighted forces in the region. Without the French planning to attack there the Germans would free up extra forces to support the main advance.

Lets see
a) The German plan wasn't based on the French launching counter attacks in A-L. It was based on bypassing the French fortresses and kill zones set up in the south which the Germans rightly considered too formidable to try and force their way through.
b) Assuming that the Germans would know of such a change to the French plan in advance they couldn't really switch more forces to the right wing. It already contained a large majority of the available forces, so much so that finding room for additional units in the north would have been difficult. Not to mention this would have had to been done in advance of the German attack/dow as that was so rigidly regimented. The French did manage to move forces from their mangled right to defend on the Marne OTL simply because they effectively had interior lines.
c) As I point out attacking in fairly open terrain is a lot easier than against a heavily fortified position.

The French war plan was based on the idea that they could pre-empt the German advance, much like you said the German did to them in 1870, and force them to react to the French moves and be wrong footed, especially in combination with the Russian advance in East Prussia. It made sense at the time, but in retrospect defensive technology and the terrain made it unworkable given the radical massing of forces against Belgium and France the Germans did and left East Prussia heavily under resourced, which was not planned on AFAIK.

From what I've read was that the French intention was to break through and isolate the heavy German right from its own supply lines. As such they relied on the bulk of the German forces being committed to an invasion of Belgium. Of course this needed two conditions:
a) That their forces could actually break through the heavily fortified German defences.
b) That the very weak French left could hold.
Both were actually ignored by Joffe and his supporters. Poassibly he could have some excuse for the 2nd part as there was an expectation that the Belgians would hold at Liege longer but the failure to actually think things through on the 1st was extremely stupid.

They had help from the BEF, though the French weren't prepared for them to run away like they did at Mons and later on. The French actually did quite well fighting defensively, so I don't know what unauthorized counterattacks you're talking about.

They faced two problems from what I've read. That they set up on the river line rather than the heights behind it. This was bad because the river meandered substantially and hence this both lengthened the line and exposed them to attack from multiple flanks. The other was that despite the orders of the army commander some of his subordinates would counter attack to regain lost ground and this was where many of the force's casualties were suffered.

The BEF did retreat from Mons after its flank was exposed by the French withdrawal. Which on the issue of the French 5th army was largely because its own right flank was hanging due to the distance to the 4th Army. After this communications were erratic, both within the BEF and with the French - in part because French - the British commander - seems to have lost the plot for some of the time and become extremely despondent. - see your link below on the Battle of the Frontiers on the 1st point.

The Germans had to fight through the Belgian forts. It wasn't an issue of the French attacking fortifications, it was them sucking horribly at attacking. Turns out you need fire and maneuver, not bayonet charges:

Most of the Battle of the Frontiers was encounter fighting, not charging forts.


The Germans had to fight past one fort complex at Liege, which did provide some delay, especially allowing the Belgium army to largely mobilize and withdraw to the coastal region to protect the national stronghold there. However the new heavy siege artillery managed to destroy elements of the fortress and then by some sources at least a bluff by Ludendorff that speeded up the surrender of the defenders.

The problem for the French was as you say bayonets and elan aren't enough against modern and well-defended fortifications. You needed the heavy siege artillery that the Germans got from Krupps and Skoda which the French unfortunately neglected to develop themselves. Also a coherent plan for defeating multiple such fortresses.

Steve
 
In 1882 Italy joined the Triple Alliance, mostly it seems out of anger over the French annexation of Tunisia. What if they decided not to rashly rush into this alliance and remain a 'free agent' in the Mediterranean? Would they end up an ally of France eventually or would they remain neutral until there was a war in Europe and sell their entry to the highest bidder? What does this mean for Italian foreign policy in the meantime? Do they become more cautious about foreign adventures or become more hostile toward Austria?

A good opportunity came up in 1882: UK and France were planning an intervention in Egypt to protect their investments in the country after the Orabi coup of 1878 which had ousted the khedive. At the last moment France pulled out (IIRC because the government fell). The Gladstone ministry invited Italy to participate but after some hamming and hewing the Depretis ministry declined the opportunity and the British went in alone.

It would have been a good chance of strengthening the ties with UK and avoiding the diplomatic isolation of Italy. There was also a convenient fig leaf since there was a significant Italian presence in Alexandria and some investments in Egypt (though much less than the British and French ones) but internal politics and the disappointment with the outcome of the congress of Berlin resulted in a refusal. The intervention went in without a glitch so there was really no worry on the military or supply side. An Italian participation would have been likely to reap some economic benefits in Egypt (although Italy would have been a junior partner) and would certainly have resulted in a better Italo-British cooperation during the Mahdi revolt and possibly shared spheres of influence in Sudan. It would also derail Italy participation in the Triple alliance.

With Europe having the Austro-German dual alliance of 1879, but no Triple Alliance with Italy, there is also no an Anglo-Italian accord of 1882, principally over Egyptian and Mediterranean matters. I presume by the mid-1880s, Britain has organized something fairly similar to OTL's Mediterranean agreements.

I figure eventually by 1892 the Franco-Russian alliance is coming as a third block.

With Italy outside of German and Austrian reach as an ally, how does German and Austrian diplomacy and military planning proceed differently from OTL?

I assume the Germans would never draw up war plans that assume an infusion of Italian troops to help defend Alsace, like OTL's Schlieffen Plan. I assume the Austrians would always factor in the Italians as a potential menace.

Could this lead the Austrians to work harder enough at accommodating the Russians to avoid an irrevocable break with the Russians?

Would it lead to Austria-Hungary being more worried about being backstabbed from all directions, leading to more defense spending throughout the 1880s, 1890s and early 1900s compared with OTL?

Would Berlin and Vienna be more careful about brinkmanship in general, if they assumed Italy was more likely to be foe than friend?

Might the lack of a tie to Italy lead to more intense efforts to cultivate a different comparable ally, like, for instance, Abdul Hamid's Ottoman Empire, from the mid 1880s onward?

I wonder if the Austrians could try wooing Italy to join the Triple Alliance in this scenario by offering Italy some territorial concessions, such as Trentino. Trieste might be off-limits due to its importance as a major port for Austria-Hungary, though.
 
Another idea--if they have British support, might the Italians be able to establish their protectorate in Albania much earlier, such as in the early 1910s? Of course, this could trigger tensions with Serbia if Italy will claim Kosovo for Albania. A potential alternate World War I trigger here? Or simply a local war between Italy and Serbia? Still, the temptation for A-H to give Serbia a drubbing while it's busy fighting Italy over Kosovo seems like a good opportunity that it might not want to pass up, if it of course believes that it and Germany can successfully handle the Russian threat to their north. Maybe a limited Austro-Hungarian strike into Serbia, similar to the Chinese strike into Vietnam in 1979, followed by an A-H declaration that Serbia has been taught a lesson and a subsequent A-H withdrawal?
 
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The Italians could had set up shop in Albania in 1912 during their war with Ottomans. And never left, just as they did not leave Rhodes.
Any foothold gained in early 1912 may have been expanded under some pretext or other - like humanitarian aid - during the Balkan Wars, later in the year or 1913.
 
Another idea--if they have British support, might the Italians be able to establish their protectorate in Albania much earlier, such as in the early 1910s? Of course, this could trigger tensions with Serbia if Italy will claim Kosovo for Albania. A potential alternate World War I trigger here? Or simply a local war between Italy and Serbia? Still, the temptation for A-H to give Serbia a drubbing while it's busy fighting Italy over Kosovo seems like a good opportunity that it might not want to pass up, if it of course believes that it and Germany can successfully handle the Russian threat to their north. Maybe a limited Austro-Hungarian strike into Serbia, similar to the Chinese strike into Vietnam in 1979, followed by an A-H declaration that Serbia has been taught a lesson and a subsequent A-H withdrawal?

The Austro-Hungarians would absolutely hate to see the Italians in Albania. That would nearly be a casus belli in itself. But, if they can hold their horses back and let the Serbs and Italians clash, Austria should benefit from the weakening of one or both of them. Despite Italian ambitions for Austro-Hungarian territory and ill-disposition toward the Empire, if Austria-Hungary exploits an Italo-Serbian struggle over Albania-Kosovo to intervene and crush Serbia, it is one of the few ways to have the potential European struggle (because we can't rule out Russia and thus France getting out) with Italy being an ally, even if a reluctant, involuntary one. Ha-ha.
 
The Austro-Hungarians would absolutely hate to see the Italians in Albania. That would nearly be a casus belli in itself. But, if they can hold their horses back and let the Serbs and Italians clash, Austria should benefit from the weakening of one or both of them. Despite Italian ambitions for Austro-Hungarian territory and ill-disposition toward the Empire, if Austria-Hungary exploits an Italo-Serbian struggle over Albania-Kosovo to intervene and crush Serbia, it is one of the few ways to have the potential European struggle (because we can't rule out Russia and thus France getting out) with Italy being an ally, even if a reluctant, involuntary one. Ha-ha.

Out of curiosity--did Austria-Hungary want to see Albania in its own sphere of influence?
 

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