I don't think that decision matrix is right, though. It lacks that many ways that corruption might play out. With this move, the scale of any such corruptive actions is greater and worse. Before, when they had their special privileges they had no incentives, only drawbacks, to meddling in Floridian politics at any level. Now, there's an element of government interference in their fiefdom so, consequently, there are now incentives and a different set of drawbacks to their meddling in Floridian politics. New avenues for kickbacks, new avenues for lobbying, new avenues for their Malthusian social engineering, etc.
So your solution then is to do nothing to Disney? Because by your argument, that is optimal.
And no, Disney is not solely capable of winning and corrupting the Florida government without pissing away way too much money that it's not worth it.
Understand that the only corruption that matters to disney is the governor. Not the legislature, just the governor. Corruption doesn't work by targeting a particular person though. Because a person can be good. Corruption works by targeting a system. Basically you can bribe
a congressman, but you can't necessarily bribe a specific one. And usually that's fine, but it won't work here.
As to your second question for @Jormungandr why destroying the special district harms Disney more than the current choice- It's is the public humiliation that their choice to support child mutilation and pedophilia cost them right at home in their crown jewel. A large fuck you from the people of Florida delivered through the governor the establishment tried to block.
Ah, so you claim this is symbolic and does nothing in reality. If the symbolism is what matters, than making the board DeSantis' bitch should count.
The money they can tax out of them and any other government interference, shall we say, while it lasts is the other harm.
You mean the money that DeSantis can tax right now? And the interference DeSantis can do right now that's a lot easier than he could if he abolished the special district?
However, I think it's much easier to combat them at the local level than at the state level then at the federal level. Let's say they were able to control the county council or board or whatever structure is there. There's a lot the citizenry can do to express their displeasure. There's a fire? Eh, maybe the engine got there just a little bit slower than it does for residents. Police incident? Maybe Disney get the maximum fines? Small claims? Maybe they lose now, forever. And on and on.
No, the local is a lot easier to control. A
huge amount easier to control. First, they have a few thousand employees who live in the county, who are already predisposed to vote Disney. Second, it costs almost nothing to buy a local election, and each dollar goes a ton further. A huge campaign can be run for a county post for high 5 to low six figures. A 4 figure contribution is huge. Meanwhile, the Florida governorship costs about 8 figures. 2 order of magnitudes more. And also, it's important to note that this local corruption happens all the time already with other semi-similar stuff. Public funding for stadiums is a classic example. Disney would now be publicly funded by taxpayers.
There's a reason neither of the two neighboring counties wanted Disney.
Also, you are ignoring the legal problems of canceling the local government: it's in debt. Who would assume that debt? It's
technically not Disney's debt, so Disney could sue any attempt to tax just them. On top of that, there are other legal problems with just canceling the special district, all of which would get clogged in a lawsuit. Then after 4 years of delay on the lawsuit there will be an election DeSantis can't participate in because of Florida term limit laws. If the Disney funded Dems win, they can either overturn the law or concede the lawsuit, while state money is pissed away defending the lawsuit.
... Or, do this, where it's clearly legal, and any disney lawsuit will be paid by the Special district, which can tax disney to pay off the fees.
It's a brilliant solution.