Versus Match Star Trek in Fallout

They did, actually.

But hey, if you wish to challenge that notion, go right ahead and tell me everything you find wrong with that fight.

Sort of telling that you're trying to avoid discussing what I posted though.
Trek is incompetent at ground combat, and this has been seen so often as to turn it into a meme.
 
Trek is incompetent at ground combat, and this has been seen so often as to turn it into a meme.

A meme is not evidence.

So tell us what you found wrong with AR-558. Can you even name what was so bad about it? I mean, if it's so easy to prove, then this should be easy for you, right?
 
Well, since @Agent23 is being his usual self, let's address this "incompetence" that we see touted by people as if it's common sense. For those of you haven't seen the Siege of AR-558, the basic premise is that there's a company of Federation soldiers holding a Dominion communication hub. When Sisko and the Defiant bring them some supplies, they discover that the company is in bad shape; its two highest officers killed, down to a third of its strength, and suffering from battle fatigue from having been deployed to the rock for 5 months without reinforcements or being rotated out. When Dominion ships arrive, the Defiant needs to leave. When Sisko learns that a new detachment of Jem'Hadar soldiers has been beamed down, he decides to stay and aid the defenders.

The real thrust of "incompetence" comes in the final attack by the Jem'Hadar, who after tripping some explosives, rushed the Starfleet position, negating much of their numerical advantage before they're gunned down. To understand why and how this happened, we need to look at more than just this episode, because the context of this battle is affected by the events of previous episodes.

First, everyone is aware that the Dominion uses Ketracil White to keep the Jem'Hadar under control. They're addicted to it. The white also acts as a means of feeding the Jem'Hadar, who are stated not needing food or sleep so long as they have the white. Second, we all know that when the Dominion was suffering supply issues for its troops in the Alpha Quadrant. Weyoun makes mention of this concern when speaking to Dukat about the minefield blocking reinforcements from the Gamma Quadrant.

A Time to Stand (S6E01)
WEYOUN: We have to take down that minefield and reopen the wormhole.
DUKAT: And we will. But there's no need for panic. We are winning the war.
WEYOUN: For the moment, yes. But to defeat the Federation, we're going to need reinforcements and new supplies of ketracel-white. Soon.
DUKAT: Weyoun, I said I will deal with the minefield, and I will.

Later in that same episode, Ross calls Sisko in for a dangerous mission:

ROSS: Starfleet Intelligence has discovered what we believe to be their main storage facility for ketracel-white in the Alpha Quadrant. Right here.
(345-447, 254 mark 220, past Cardassia at 357 mark 220)
ROSS: Deep in Cardassian space. We need to destroy it.
BASHIR: Without the White to sustain them, the Jem'Hadar won't be able to function.
ROSS: Without the White, the Jem'Hadar will die.
DAX: I won't shed any tears, not if it helps end this war.

Ross's plan is obviously one that goes for the throat. Without the Jem'Hadar, the Dominion War basically ends. It'll just be the Cardassians, a few hundred Vorta, and lots of heavy paperweights they call warships. The plan is ultimately successful:

SISKO: Which means we have to be nine hundred kilometres away before the bomb goes off.
GARAK: The other ship is leaving orbit.
SISKO: Dax?
DAX: The entire exchange took ninety two point three seconds.
GARAK: I've asked for eighty four canisters of ketracel-white. Excellent. They're acknowledging my request.
(Our ship moves into delivery range.)
SISKO: Chief, set the detonator for three minutes.
O'BRIEN [OC]: Detonator set.
BASHIR: Three minutes? If it takes us ninety two point three seconds to make the exchange that doesn't give us much time, sir.
SISKO: That doesn't give the Jem'Hadar much time to detect the explosive either. Commander, beam down the canisters.
DAX: Canisters away.
NOG: I hope whoever's in charge down there hasn't taken a lunch break.
BASHIR: The Jem'Hadar don't eat, Nog.
NOG: That's good. How do we know they're Jem'Hadar?
DAX: Relax, Cadet, everything's on schedule. They've just beamed eighty four canisters of White into our cargo hold.
GARAK: I've acknowledged receipt and requested clearance for departure.

The main facility is utterly destroyed, but due unforseen circumstances (getting caught), the Dominion ship they used was badly damaged. That leads into the next episode, Rocks and Shoals, where the ship crashes in a nebula and they're forced to survive. Unfortunately, a Dominion ship crashed before them. Garak and Nog, who are out on patrol, are ambushed by Jem'Hadar, who deshroud around them and takes them prisoner. Their Vorta leader however, is injured.

Rocks and Shoals (S6E02)
KEEVAN: I only have one further question for you. Is there a doctor in your unit?
GARAK: Yes.
NOG: Garak!
KEEVAN: Don't be too hard on him, young man. He just saved your life. Take them to a secure area. Third, I have a mission for you. I want you to find the Starfleet unit. But do not engage them. Locate them, assess their strength, and then report back to me.

This then leads to the pictures of the episode that I posted in the thread, where the Jem'Hadar ambush Sisko at around 70-75 meters. The reason for the attack, despite Keevan's orders, was that one of the Jem'Hadar decided to engage:

NEELEY: Captain, there's a group of lifeforms up on the cliffs. Range seventy five metres, elevation thirty metres.
SISKO: That's where I'd be. Are they Jem'Hadar?
NEELEY: I think so.
SISKO: Well, let's not make it easy for them. Tell the Chief to head for that large outcropping of rocks at ten o'clock. Walk, not run.
(Neeley catches up with O'Brien.)
NEELEY: Chief, we need to make for those rocks up ahead.
(Up behind the rocks, a Jem'Hadar is jittery from lack of White.)
LIMARA'SON: I can't take it.
(He starts firing. Our people dive for cover and return fire.)

Where the offending Jem'Hadar admits his disobedience. When ordered to shroud and return to camp, he explains that he is no longer able to shroud. This seems to be a condition that most of the Jem'Hadar are in.

REMATA'KLAN: Your orders were clear. You were not to engage the enemy. Who fired first?
LIMARA'SON: I did.
REMATA'KLAN: You are reduced to Sixth. You will shroud and return to base camp.
LIMARA'SON: I am no longer able to shroud myself.
(Another Jem'Hadar shakes his head.)
REMATA'KLAN: You, you. Provide suppression fire as we withdraw.
LIMARA'SON: Understood.
REMATA'KLAN: Withdraw!
LIMARA'SON: Remata'Klan, I regret my disobedience.

This is explained to Keevan when he demands to know why his orders were disobeyed.

KEEVAN: Why were my orders disobeyed?
REMATA'KLAN: Lack of White produces anxiety among us. One man could not restrain himself when he saw the enemy.
KEEVAN: Which man?
REMATA'KLAN: I have dealt with the matter.
KEEVAN: I asked for his name.
REMATA'KLAN: He is my responsibility.
KEEVAN: His name!
REMATA'KLAN: I may not be First, but I am the unit leader. You can discipline me, but only I discipline the men. That is the order of things.
KEEVAN: Very well. I'll leave him to you.

Regardless, Keevan has the Third make contact with Sisko and his men, offering to return Garak and Nog in return for medical treatment. However, after treating Keevan, the vorta reveals a few bits of information, his dilemma, and his plan:

KEEVAN: There are ten Jem'Hadar soldiers on this planet, Captain.
(Keevan opens the box.)
KEEVAN: And that is the only vial of Ketracel White we have left. When it's gone, my hold over them will be broken and they'll become nothing more than senseless, violent animals. They'll kill everyone they can. Me, you, the rest of your men, and finally turn on each other.
SISKO: Why are you telling us this?
KEEVAN: I'm ordering the Jem'Hadar to attack your base camp in the morning. But I will provide you with their precise plan of attack. You should be able to kill them all.
BASHIR: They're your own men.
KEEVAN: Yes.
SISKO: You still haven't answered my question. Why are you doing this?
KEEVAN: That's a communications system. It needs repair, but I'm willing to bet that you've brought one of those famed Starfleet engineers who can turn rocks into replicators. He should have a lot more success at repairing it than a Jem'Hadar suffering from withdrawal. Once you've take care of the Jem'Hadar, I'll give you the comm. system and surrender to you as a prisoner of war.
BASHIR: And you spend the war resting comfortably as a Starfleet POW while your men lie rotting on this planet.
KEEVAN: I see we understand each other. I'm going to order the Jem'Hadar to attack your position tomorrow regardless of whether you agree to my terms or not. So you can either kill them or they'll kill you. Either way, they're coming.

He explains that without the white, the Jem'Hadar will become homicidal, killing everyone on the planet before finally turning on each other. He expects that Sisko's men can repair the broken comm system he and his men managed to salvage, as Keevan's own men are suffering from withdrawal and can't seem to repair it. That leads to the second set of pictures from my earlier post regarding this episode, where we see the Jem'Hadar gunned down. The Third (and probably the rest of his men) had realized that Keevan had betrayed them, but carried out their orders regardless. Even so, despite being at least 50-80 meters from Sisko and his men and going through withdrawal, one of the Jem'Hadar manages to kill some poor fucker named Gordon. Despite having cover. Probably luck, possibly not.

Anyway, now that we've established what happens to the main Dominion white storage facility AND what happens when the Jem'Hadar begin to suffer from withdrawal, the showrunners kept this victory in mind in a later episode called Behind the Lines, which was the 4th episode of Season 6:

KIRA: Damar doesn't like that. The PADD contained a draft copy of a secret memorandum he was working on concerning the shortage of White. In it he speculates that without the drug, the Jem'Hadar will run amok, killing everyone and everything in their path. Damar recommends that if the Cardassians can't bring down the minefield and re-open the supply line from the Gamma Quadrant, they should poison the last ration of White, eliminating the Jem'Hadar before it's too late. How did you get a hold of Damar's PADD anyway?

Damar recommended that if more white could not be obtained, that they should poison the last batch of white to prevent the Jem'Hadar running amok. Kira and her "resistance cell" get the PADD he'd written his recommendation on to the Jem'Hadar, who get into a brawl with Damar over it.

The issue was also raised again in the 9th episode of the season, called Statistical Probabilities:

SISKO: Chemistry was never my strong suit. What is it?
BASHIR: It shows how you can break down tri-nucleic fungus to make yridium bicantizine, one of the active ingredients in Ketracel White. That's why the Dominion wants the Kabrel system, so that they can manufacture the drug right here in the Alpha Quadrant. According to our calculations, they'll be able to make enough White to supply the Jem'Hadar indefinitely.
SISKO: I was going to recommend that the Federation accept the proposed border. It could have cost us the Alpha Quadrant.
BASHIR: Actually, sir, we should give them Kabrel.
SISKO: Why is that?
BASHIR: If we don't, the Dominion will be forced to attack before their stockpile of White runs out. Here are the casualty projections. As you can see, an attack would result in devastating casualties for both sides.
SISKO: You're suggesting we stall?

The Dominion and Starfleet had been peace negotiations. The Dominion had wanted a certain planet to fall within their border because it contained the right type of fungus for which they could produce the active ingredient for white on a massive scale. After Sisko learns that, he refuses to give Kabrel system to the Dominion. Peace negotiations break down after that.

WEYOUN: Still at it, I see.
DAMAR: I've been looking over Sisko's latest counter-proposal. We don't seem to be getting anywhere with him.
WEYOUN: Not very encouraging, is it?
DAMAR: I don't know why you had me call for peace talks in the first place.

Dominion activity would pick up again a few episodes later.

Why is this all important? Well, AR-558 takes place in Season 7, about a year later. We're given a rough idea of the strategic situation:

LARKIN: There it is. The only reason anyone gives a damn about this place. It's the largest Dominion communications array in the sector.
SISKO: If we can figure out how it works, we should be able to tap into their entire comm. system.
LARKIN: One thing's for sure, they're determined to get it back.
SISKO: We can't let that happen.
LARKIN: I know our orders, Captain. But maybe Starfleet Command isn't aware of our situation. We've been holding this place for five months. That's five months of fighting off repeated Jem'Hadar attempts to get it back. When we landed here, there was a hundred and fifty of us. We're down to forty three.
SISKO: I appreciate what you've gone through, and I will make sure that Starfleet understands your situation. But from what I hear, our forces are spread pretty thin in this system. Chances are, you're going to be stuck here for a while longer.
LARKIN: Lucky us.

Starfleet has captured a large Dominion communications array in the sector. Their hope is that they'll be able to tap Dominion communications. According to Larkin, they're determined to get it back. They've been fighting off Jem'Hadar assaults for five months. We're not told if Larkin's company was the one to take the facility or if another company did and Larkin is the latest. We also don't know if that includes the engineers within the company in terms of numbers. Regardless, Sisko tells them that they're spread thin and probably can't rotate them out anytime soon.

Throughout the episode, we see that the soldiers at the facility are both physically and emotionally fatigued. When Sisko and his team arrived via transporter, one of the soldiers even took a shot at Sisko, thinking he was a Jem'Hadar:

VARGAS: I saw movement. I thought it was the Jem'Hadar.
LARKIN: They look like Jem'Hadar to you? I gave the word to hold your fire. That Starfleet officers were beaming down with supplies.
VARGAS: Well nobody told me.
LARKIN: Sorry, Captain. A little breakdown in communications.
SISKO: No harm was done. Where's Captain Loomis?
LARKIN: He was killed ten days ago. So was Commander Parker.
SISKO: Who's in command?
LARKIN: I am. Lieutenant Nadia Larkin.
SISKO: Ben Sisko. Where do you want your supplies?
LARKIN: Vargas can show you.
VARGAS: Supplies. That's great. Don't they know we need to get off this rock?
REESE: Take it easy, Vargas.
VARGAS: Take it easy? I would love to take it easy. Get me out of this vole hole and I promise you for the rest of my life all I'll do is take it easy! According to Starfleet regulations we're suppose to be rotated off the front lines after ninety days. Ninety days! We've been stuck on this rock for five months, Captain. Take it easy.

The episode makes it clear that the soldiers are going through hell and are basically one shot away from having a nervous breakdown. Making the situation worse are the Houdinis that the Jem'Hadar left behind; mines that hide themselves in subspace and randomly go off when someone passes by:

NOG: I saw it happen. He was walking along
SISKO: You must've swept the compound for anti-personnel mines.
LARKIN: A hundred times. It doesn't help, not with Houdinis.
BASHIR: Houdinis?
REESE: Find one and you disappear.
LARKIN: They hide in subspace and appear at random.
VARGAS: You can walk by the same spot a hundred times and nothing happens. And then bang.
REESE: You're wasting your breath, Vargas. It's not the Captain's problem. He's leaving.

In short, the soldiers have been there for 5 months, fighting repeated attacks by genetically engineered killing machines, and all the while they have to walk around knowing that at any moment, a Houdini might go off and kill them. It could be in your bed, on the toilet, eating, walking down a hallway, or just sitting down. That's a lot of stress for someone to take.

Not soon after, the Dominion arrives with reinforcements:
WORF: Sir, we're being attacked by two Jem'Hadar ships. We have locked on your coordinates. Are you ready for transport?

The Defiant has to leave orbit, but the Dominion manages to beam down more troops. Sisko decides to stay to help the soldiers on the surface defend the relay. Larkin points out the difficulty in knowing just how many troops have beamed down:

SISKO: We need to find out how many Jem'Hadar troops landed and where they are.
LARKIN: Well, you're not going to learn anything with a tricorder. We jam their sensors, they jam ours. That's how it works. Except they have an advantage. They know where we are.
SISKO: But that's all they know. They don't know our defence positions or how many of us there are.
LARKIN: All things considered, I'd still rather be in their shoes.

Soon after, the Jem'Hadar launch their first "attack". In reality, it's a bunch of holograms marching toward them. By gunning down the holograms, the soldiers have revealed their defensive positions. Later, Sisko sends Larkin with Nog and a few others to scout the enemy camp. They discover that the Jem'Hadar have "two columns", which as far as I can tell, doesn't really tell me much at all. However, this appears to be an overwhelming number and the soldiers are convinced that they can't possibly hold off that many troops. Going with the 3:1 rule (the number of troops you need to overcome a defensive position), my guess is that there would be at least 150 Jem'Hadar in those "two columns", unless someone else can point me to more accurate information. For 40ish soldiers who have been stuck on the front lines for 5 months, a full company of Jem'Hadar who are seemingly fresh to the fight cannot have been good news.

Sisko however, develops a plan to use the Houdinis (which Ezri and her engineering buddy have located and disarmed) against the Jem'Hadar.

REESE: This is their camp. This is ours. There are mountains to the east and west which means they have to come through this ravine to get to us.
SISKO: Then that's where we'll relocate the mines.
KELLIN: Moving them shouldn't be too difficult. Delicate, but not difficult.
SISKO: I also want you to reprogramme them so that they're triggered by movement.
REESE: Make sure it's lots of movement. We want that ravine full of Jem'Hadar when those Houdinis start to go off.
KELLIN: I think we can manage that.
REESE: That should take out a third of their forces.

Reese expects that the Houdinis should remove a third of their forces. That would pit 40+Sisko's people against about a hundred Jem'Hadar. After the explosions, we see the Jem'Hadar rush the Starfleet positions, which is where I expect most people get the "incompetence" part. We can see some of the action here:

ar558_297.jpg

ar558_300.jpg

ar558_306.jpg


Even with the Jem'Hadar making a bone-headed move of rushing the defenders, they still manage to nearly overwhelm the Federation soldiers, killing several of the guest stars for the episode. It should be noted that this scene is interesting in that we don't see nearly the numbers we should; there are at best a half dozen, maybe a dozen extras/guest stars there, plus Bashir, Ezri, and Sisko. So that still leaves about 30 troops unaccounted for. Now, it is possible that there were soldiers further down the ravine. That makes sense. After the explosion, the forward troops could have taken advantage of the fighting. Sisko would command from the rear and he and the few officers he had would act as the last line of defense.

It is possible that the rest of the troops were inside, but that doesn't make too much sense. The facility is the thing they're trying to defend and there was no indication that Sisko or anyone tried to fall back when they were being overrun. Or them calling for backup. It's clear that they're pretty much it. The only people we know of inside would be Quark and an injured Nog. We might account for a few engineers inside, but that's probably it. There is a problem with the forward deployment theory; Sisko doesn't mention them and nor does anyone else. At any point. We also don't hear any phaser fire or see any indication of it.

That leaves us with only one alternative; that the fight we see is more narrow in scope to the heroes fighting it and that there is probably 30 other guys around them also fighting off the charging Jem'Hadar advance. We've never really given a wideshot of the area, but we do see that there are plenty of rocks and it would be possible that there are multiple paths through the ravine that Sisko and his 40 soldiers had to defend.

In any case, this is where most people draw their "incompetence" argument. But let's look at it. First, we know that Starfleet is spread thin across the area. Sisko had brought fresh supplies, but we aren't told of what sort. They clearly didn't bring any personal forcefields or photon grenades, because they would have used them in both attacks. Yet they're forced to rely upon the Houdinis. The Dominion is also stretched thin and at this point in the war, they're on their back heel. They're actually losing. We also need to take into account not just the poor health and frayed nerves of the Federation troops, but the Jem'Hadar themselves.

The Jem'Hadar tactics that we see in AR-558 are abnormal. At no point did the Jem'Hadar shroud. Even if they were angered and confused by the bombs going off in the middle of their troops, it really doesn't make sense why such a highly disciplined group would suddenly lose control and charge into enemy fire. We saw that even Jem'Hadar who'd been withdrawing and were having trouble obeying orders due to a lack of white showed shame and regret for disobeying orders and eagerly charged into what they knew was a suicide mission planned by their treacherous Vorta leader.

However, further evidence might explain this. In a later episode, we're told about the So'na establishing a new Ketracel white facility. This would have been months after AR-558. Weyoun was insistent on protecting the facility.

Penumbra (S7E17)
DAMAR: The Defiant is returning to Federation space. I'm ordering our ships to pursue.
WEYOUN: No. Divert them to the So'na outpost on Devos Two.
DAMAR: Why?
WEYOUN: We need their to help protect the new Ketracel white facility. The Federation has been made aware of its location.
DAMAR: Can't the So'na protect it?
WEYOUN: Are you questioning my orders? That would be foolish. I wonder what the Defiant was doing out there?
DAMAR: Looking for survivors from the Koraga.

Given that there is no evidence that the Dominion had been able to obtain a new supply of white between this episode and Statistical Probabilities, it's likely that the Dominion was starting to run short on its supply of white. Damar had recommended poisoning the white in early Season 6. That's over a year and a half. Yet, that doesn't entirely fit. If Damar was planning on poisoning the Jem'Hadar in early Season 6 after Sisko took out their main storage facility, it suggests that they were closer to a few months of running out, not that they had a year or two to secure new supplies. Especially as Dukat was fairly close to bringing down the minefield.

One thing we know from Rocks and Shoals is that the Vorta rationed his supply of white.

LIMARA'SON: Only one?
REMATA'KLAN: Keep your place.
KEEVAN: This case of White must last until we're rescued. At least ten days, possibly more. I will ration the supply. Don't worry. I am the Vorta. I will take care of you all.

Now, Keevan is lying out of his ass. It's later revealed by his own admission, but you can see the face of just how fucked he knows he is if the Jem'Hadar realized they had two vials of white.
rockandshoals_149.jpg


KEEVAN: And that is the only vial of Ketracel White we have left. When it's gone, my hold over them will be broken and they'll become nothing more than senseless, violent animals. They'll kill everyone they can. Me, you, the rest of your men, and finally turn on each other.

KEEVAN: You know, Captain, if I'd had just two more vials of White you never would have had a chance.

According to Keevan, if he had just two more vials, he would have sent the Jem'Hadar to kill Sisko and the others. He expected that to take 10 days, possibly more. He had a total of two vials of white in the container. He'd given the Jem'Hadar one, then probably their last fix when he sent them on their suicide mission. So we can expect that 3 vials spread among 10 Jem'Hadar would have lasted them 10 days and presumably have kept them from turning on him or each other.

EDIT
It comes to mind that the Jem'Hadar had crashed two days before they asked for their new supply of white. While it is possible that they had gone through a previous box, from what I can tell, there is no evidence to suggest as such. If that is the case, it suggests to me that the Jem'Hadar's vials last 3 days. If that's the case, then 3 vials would last them about 9 days, possibly more and Keevan might expect that the Jem'Hadar might hold out another 3 days before turning on him and each other, he might even be able to stretch it out to 4 days apart. The Jem'Hadar would get worse, but if he had no enemies to worry about, reduced performance wouldn't be a concern.

So by cutting their supply, the Dominion could probably have stretched out a problem that might have seemed imminent to Damar (say 4-6 months) to a year and a half. Indeed, the losses that the Jem'Hadar suffered in the war would actually extend the time, as there'd be less Jem'Hadar needing a fix. And of course, I don't doubt the Vorta would hesitate to euthanize their soldiers if they thought they had too many or even send them on suicide missions because at that point, it might be 'use it or lose it'.

So going by this, the Jem'Hadar could operate and remain loyal and somewhat disciplined (if unhappy, anxious, and prone to aggression) working on 1/10th the white they need.

In other words, it's possible to stretch out the supply of white. That has consequences, however; the Jem'Hadar lose their ability to shroud, suffer from anxiety, and grow more prone to violence. Given the strategic situation, the proven facts of the war to that point, and the behavior of the Jem'Hadar in The Siege of AR-558, it's likely that the Jem'Hadar were suffering from white withdrawal. There was no attempt to shroud and after losing a third of their forces to mines, the Jem'Hadar had lost all discipline and charged their enemy.

It's certainly not the behavior of the otherwise highly disciplined Jem'Hadar.
 
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