peter Zeihan 2020




Number of countries willing to sell russia weapons is low.

A deal with Egypt just got sunk, and their pretty much down to Iran and North korea, its still Russias war to lose though because of their reserves of soviet stock and much larger numbers.
 



Iran just stole another tanker, sooner or later people will realize that the americans don't care about patrolling the oceans anymore. This is a really bad thing for china.

Is it a big change? Iran is doing that since years.
Also:
Marshall Islands flagged, China owned, Turkey managed, Indian crewed... Why should exactly USA care?
China is buddies with Iran, let them talk it out about getting their tanker back.
It's mostly countries that don't like US sanctions on Iran, oh the irony.
 
Even then, it would be a ridiculous case to care about. Like protecting Soviet tankers from North Korea. LMAO handle it with your friends yourself.
We're not really disagreeing here. The us has no reason to care but a lot of the world is operating like we still do.

Once people realize enmass that we don't care anymore shit gets real. This ironically enough hurts Russia china and Iran more than it hurts us.
 
We're not really disagreeing here. The us has no reason to care but a lot of the world is operating like we still do.

Once people realize enmass that we don't care anymore shit gets real. This ironically enough hurts Russia china and Iran more than it hurts us.
>anymore
My point is that such scenarios, no one ever cared to begin with.
 
We're not really disagreeing here. The us has no reason to care but a lot of the world is operating like we still do.

Once people realize enmass that we don't care anymore shit gets real. This ironically enough hurts Russia china and Iran more than it hurts us.


I doubt that. They'll know we just don't care about certain countries who are currently at odds with us, and their ships. Hit an ally or a neutral party and they may get a response.
 
I doubt that. They'll know we just don't care about certain countries who are currently at odds with us, and their ships. Hit an ally or a neutral party and they may get a response.

Remember that Russia crude has been cut off from the international insurance markets. Their at war with Ukraine, and Russia has to self insure all of those ships.

All ukraine needs to do to utterly fuck russias international shipping is get a few guys with off the market AKs some fishing boats and steal a few of those very expensive oil tankers which are targets of war. Suddenly that loss goes to international arbitration and people find out the hard way russia cant cover it.

Result russian oil is off the market, russias insurance sector is gutted, and by the rules of war that shit is very much fair game. Thing is once that happens and people see the US is out of the security business...yeah that changes a lot. A lot of what makes globalization work is currently working purely off intertia.
 
Funny how we can do that to the Russias and not to the organized crime shipping drugs into the USA…

;)
They are not shipping those drugs through the internet. Hackers do work through the internet.
You can't hack the drug smugglers into oblivion any more than you can hack your local thief, mugger or jaywalker into stopping.
 
They are not shipping those drugs through the internet. Hackers do work through the internet.
You can't hack the drug smugglers into oblivion any more than you can hack your local thief, mugger or jaywalker into stopping.
You can, however hit them in the bank account.
 


Chile going for the Indonesian model of nationalization, moving processing and such into Chile itself instead f shipping lithium ore to the CCP for processing.

So the biggest loser here is the CCP.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top