Oh no, not again - a UK WWII ISOT

ISOT

stevep

Well-known member
Have posted this on the other site I'm active on but also mention it here. Will try and keep track of what's been said where.

On the night of 31st August 1945 many people in the UK are asleep tired but with hope for the future with peace - of a kind in Europe - and signs that the war in the Pacific will soon be over. Others are still awake, working hard on various projects related to war or peace or other matters.

At midnight something changes. Many people suddenly disappear, causing concern and consternation. All foreign military personal in the UK, including Commonwealth, Imperial and allied forces along with German and Italian POWs suddenly disappear, along with in the case of foreign forces in their own units all their equipment. However some appear to replace them. The mainly US bases across the country are not left empty but suddenly filled with British air and ground forces from overseas, along with their equipment. Medical facilities are filled not only with their previous patients but also thousands of emaciated men who when their own confuse passes explain they were in Japanese prisoner of war or labour camps across the latter's empire. Off Scapa Flow very confused radio messages are heard as RN forces overseas, including the British Pacific fleet similarly find themselves within a few miles of the prime British fleet base. Especially confusing for those who were in daylight and tropic waters only seconds before. Similarly men and women in naval shore facilities around the world find themselves back in British fleet bases.

An emergency meeting of the cabinet is under way seeking to make sense of what has happened when the French ambassador contacts Mr Attlee to report he has received a strange message from Paris claiming to be from Prime Minister Édouard Daladier asking for an urgent meeting with Prime Minister Chamberlain! This gives an hint and telegraph messages and listening to foreign radio am amazed cabinet learns that somehow they and their country have found themselves back on 1st September 1939 listening a few hours later to the 1st reports of the German invasion of Poland.

Britain in 1945 is tired, a lot of its facilities battered by 6 years of war and industry exhausted by hard use in the same period. Many people both military and civilian were looking forward to peace and the hope of a better life. Now they face the start of the crisis all over again. They have a much more powerful military but a lot of that is of limited lifespan as it relies on parts and supplies from the US which even if the latter was willing can not be replaced as the equipment isn't in existence yet. Defeating Germany should be a relatively short but bloody affair but exactly how do they go about it? Massive bomber raids against a largely unprepared Ruhr or Berlin may be very effective but would be seek as barbaric by most of the rest of the world without the knowledge of what 'was to come'. If such attacks prompts a military coup against Hitler what terms would be acceptable to Britain? Would they insist on unconditional surrender to ensure that Germany can be de-Nazified and disarmed and democracy restored there? The withdrawal from Poland and Czech territory.

How do they respond to Stalin knowing that he's due to attack eastern Poland in a few days? If they warn him off what happens if he doesn't listen. What are their plans for the empire of Japan and its brutal invasion of China? Do they share technical knowledge most especially of nuclear weapons, with current or possibly future allies or keep them a secret? What plans occur for India in TTL - given that while they know independence is inevitable they don't know how much of a bloody horror its going to be?

I am assuming that.
a) Hitler won't be changed in backing down in his attack on Poland because he won't believe what's happened in the time available. [Plus arguably this would be bad for everybody as it would leave the Nazis in charge of Germany and its conquests and a continued threat to world peace].

b) That British forces, air ground and naval in existence overseas on 1-9-39 are still there. This will mean some duplication of both people and equipment, especially ships but its the easiest way of arranging things without causing chaos across the empire and also to balance the loss of allied forces from the UK. Similarly the merchant fleet and other civil organisations - other than those in the UK itself and coastal waters, are as 1-9-39.

Anyway how do people think things will develop and how things go from here. Plus what other, probably obvious issues have I overlooked?
 

Batrix2070

RON/PLC was a wonderful country.
Well, this time the dismantling of the Empire will not happen, the British this time are not so desperate to rely on America, not when the RN is more powerful than all the fleets of the world combined.

As for how they will approach the bombing, these people have just survived six years of the horrors of war, they are not going to wait another six, and that the public opinion of the world will be outraged. In fact, the only one that counts is the one on the Island, and these people want to deal with Painter before he gains power again.
The world will repeat until weary of what the Krauts did during the war, the pictures are there after all, the underpinnings too. Just catch those responsible and make them talk again.
In short, the world will eventually be forced to come to terms with what the greatest superpower will do to Germany.

The war will certainly be much shorter, the British this time do not need to mobilize as much as OTL, they already have an army but need to redeploy it quickly.
The RN will drown the Kriegmarine within six months of ISOT or they are not called the best fleet in the world.

For sure the RAF will get a check in Blanco and orders to cause as much chaos in Germany as possible, maybe even some paratrooper landing will take place somewhere in western Germany.

One thing is certain, this time Poland may not even fall. Not when a sizable portion of the LW will be forced to abruptly drop or, in a very brazen version, shot down over Poland by fighters from British aircraft carriers standing in the Baltic.
This will weaken Germany's considerable advantage in Poland, which will force the Germans to attack at a slower pace because they cannot have the air force where they want it, nor can they use it to disorganize Polish defenses.
Speaking the language of the games, for the Poles the defense in terms of difficulty level will drop from Unforgivable to Hard.
And this will give the British more time to redeploy forces and organize a proper offensive in the West or even attempt a landing.
 

Buba

A total creep
If the UK gets its shit together and starts bombing Germany on September 2nd then Stalin will NOT move.
British forces are capable of seizing the strategically critical Frisian Islands and Heligoland with Commandos ASAP.
The invasion of Poland happens as on midnight of 31st August it already is 1AM 1.IX. in Germany and Poland. It is impossible to call off the invasion at this point. Maaaybe 24 hours previously, but not "now".
 

Batrix2070

RON/PLC was a wonderful country.
In fact, it all depends precisely on how much they will support Poland, this way they can gain enough time to metastasize troops, develop a plan and logistics and then strike when the German defenses in the West are very weak which of course will make Germany fold like a house of cards.

But in order to do that they have to immediately send air cover over Poland taking one advantage away from the Germans, they don't even have to send close support or raise hell in West Germany for the LW to be forced to redeploy some of their forces, preferably fighters this way the PAF can focus on hunting German CAS and bombers.
This could lengthen the Polish defense and give just the necessary two weeks for the offensive, especially since, as Buba mentioned, Stalin waited so long waiting for the West to react, the moment the British aren't even going to ask him and just want to bludgeon Germany like a rabid dog, he won't even move a finger across the border.
 

Buba

A total creep
I'm a non-believer of all Douhuteist "bombers win wars" claims, but here we are looking at Vietnam War disparity. The Luftwaffe will cease to exist inside days ...
 

Batrix2070

RON/PLC was a wonderful country.
I'm a non-believer of all Douhuteist "bombers win wars" claims, but here we are looking at Vietnam War disparity. The Luftwaffe will cease to exist inside days ...
Bombers don't win the war, but they make the process easier because it's another element that facilitates the assault.

CAS in particular, used well, can cause a lot of confusion in the enemy's defense.
And falling bombs in the right place can cause chaos, destroying essential infrastructure or simply a temporary panic that will block an essential road for a few hours.
The key is not to get numb to the idea that if you threaten to blow up someone and their entire family, they will surrender.
 

Buba

A total creep
CAS in particular, used well, can cause a lot of confusion in the enemy's defense.
In Obi-Wan voice and with hand wave:
"These are not the bombers you looking for ... "

To the air power wankers CAS is hiss-boo mud moving ewww ... it is strategic bombing which is war winning SEXY!
 

Batrix2070

RON/PLC was a wonderful country.
To the air power wankers CAS is hiss-boo mud moving ewww ... it is strategic bombing which is war winning SEXY!
Are you telling me that?
This is also the reason why I think that considering orbital bombardment in a lot of "hard" sc-fi where it is portrayed as a gamechanger rendering armies useless as the same brilliant idea as Strategic Bombardment wins wars.
After all, it's the same thing but in space!
People didn't surrender when bombs fell on their heads, why should they surrender from bombs but falling from space, especially since the planet is much bigger than any country.
And any big boom that can be scary enough is literally a manual on how to carry out genocide with weapons of mass destruction.
I wouldn't be at all surprised if in the future when space warfare is a thing, Close Orbital Support being simply the dispatch of aircraft or from space since missiles are the same as CAS today for the Air Force.
A boring, tedious duty. No cool explosions.
Not Sexy and below the dignity of a sailor despite being more practical. Although most likely such ships will suffer heavy losses like CAS anyway.
 
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Buba

A total creep
Back to OP.
Indeed, "oh no, not again!" would be the Public's reaction.
But I think the sentiment would be "kill it ASAP!"
The British had their commie-philes, their Russophiles, the elites were used to working with Stalin, the public had been brainwashed to see the Soviets as "friends" and "allies", hence I do not expect strong (presented by fellow travelers as "rabid!") anti Soviet moves. Still, now the RAF is capable of Operation Pike (although some airfields in the ME probably need to be expanded first).
The A-bomb? Well, the UK knows that it exists. But I think almost most (all?) the knowledge was lost with the ISOTed USA. I have no idea how much had been passed along to the UK. Plus the entire infrastucuture and materials used in the research, development and making is gone. Hence it would take a few years and lots of money to recreate it.

Massive bombing of Germany and international outcry? The British do not care a shit. The only outcry they might care about is the USA's - but FDR has a Hitler hateboner, and France's - and these are (and will be) as bloody minded against the Germans as the British.

Hitler must go. Would another Nazi be acceptable? Maaaaaybe ... but concentration camps being fresh in memory make this unlikely.
At least pre-March '39 borders, maybe even pre-Munich. Austria? A toss up ...

Even if the US made kit is a short term resource (before supply chain recreated, be it in the US or inside the Empire), British kit is borderline SF for '39. There are Cromwells and Churchills and Comets and Valentines in production ... frankly, the Centurion is overkill - why ship one overseas, if two Valentines weight less - and space wise maybe can be swapped three-for-two?

In this scenario the UK does not need to trade-in shares in US companies for war materiel. It does not need to sell its Latin American economic empire.

Meh, the USA is fucked. It will wallow in FDR induced depression/slowdown. There will be no French and Briotish orders for ordnance to help revive the economy. However, the lying cheating sleazo is 99% to lose the '40 election, so there is hope. Still, with no OTL WWII the USA will be a decade or two behind in its OTL growth.
 
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stevep

Well-known member
Well that was a quick reaction, thanks guys - and any girls out there. ;)

I think part of the problem is that it will take some time for both the shock of the change to be absorbed plus there is a lot of stuff that has been transferred from oversea - as well as what was formally somewhere on the continent - which has been ISOTed back. Plus in turn persuading the French especially what has happened. Getting them to accept larger than expected British forces will be no problem but finding bases for them, especially the mammoth that is the current RAF - or a sizeable proportion of it for shorter ranged attack and escort duties will take some time as well.

Not sure about sending a large fleet to the Baltic as that's putting it in a small enclosed basin where despite the numbers of the assorted light and escort carriers they would be vulnerable to both sneak air and possibly sub attack. Again it would take a few days for anything such as that to be agreed, even if it was decided to do it.

Think the main quick response will be heavy air raids, regardless of public opinion by some neutrals although their likely to seek to avoid neutral airspace which will complicate matters until some forces can transferred to operate from France. Coupled with getting as much air and ground units as possible to France and some sort of attack plan, which could be difficult with the reluctance of France to launch an offensive.

One point that occurred to me is while the 45 fleet is all in the UK currently the 39 fleet can be directed fairly quickly onto Graf Spee and Deutschland, which hasn't yet been renamed to Lutzow, while some 45 units can quickly be sent out to help.

I'm not sure we can act in time to save Poland unless the bombing raids prompt Hitler's overthrow but again you get the issue of what terms are acceptable to Britain, France and also whatever group takes over in Germany? However can probably crush Germany in 6 months at most even with winter coming. Due to the German neglect of the railways under the Nazis that winter was a pretty grim one anyway with serious supply problems so its going to be probable there will be at least a level of unrest. However getting any German leadership to accept the sort of terms Britain and France are likely to agree on could be an issue without a crushing defeat.

Part of the problem will be that while 45 Britain knows how evil the Nazis and a lot of other Germans were its going to be difficult to get most other people, especially in Germany to accept this. Unfortunately due to the conditions of TTL there are no survivors of the death camps in the UK and while there is a fair amount of photographic evidence opponents will claim that its fabricated. Think how many conspiracy theories there are about today and how many followers prefer to believe them regardless of the evidence. Then there is the legal issues of prosecuting people for crimes they - largely - haven't committed yet.

There could be some problems for France with up-time information. The fact that their WWI hero Petain becomes the head of a collaborationist regime will be hard for many to accept, let alone what Laval and others get up to. Ditto with news for many other nations about events. For instance how both the US and Japan react to news of Pearl Harbour.

In terms of Stalin I don't know. While he tended to be very cautious historically he could fail to understand how powerful Britain 45 potentially is or think that its willingness after a very long war to fight Germany attack and then a war with the USSR is lacking. Which might be the case with all the pro-Soviet propaganda that the western allies produced in WWII. He will have detailed information from his agents in the UK unfortunately but how much he accepts of that I don't know. If nothing else, since they have been given no guarantee by the western powers he could move to occupy the Baltic states but he could also gamble on an attack into eastern Poland. Possibly even claiming the Red Army are marching in to 'protect' them from the Germans.

When it comes to finance a lot of the allied spending in the US has already occurred, although a lot less will be needed in the short term at least here. Britain could also possibly make use of information supplied by the US post-39 which they can claim as their own since the US doesn't know about it yet. It should be possible to maintain investments in the rest of the world but a good chunk of the gold has already gone and its possible that the US could claim that this is a different UK so it doesn't have ownership of the replaced 39 UK - which would however bite them in the butt as that would negate any claim they have on tech and resources that the other US supplied 45 Britain.

Definitely going to be some years to get to the bomb as all the production infrastructure was in 1945 US and Canada. However I would expect that some reports and probably a few scientists have returned to the UK to brief British leaders on the project and what was needed. Britain will have a clear lead especially since, leaked information aside no one will even know its a possibility. However the question would be would Britain seek to work with others [Commonwealth, US or France] to get such weapons earlier?

The US supplied weapons and equipment would have to be treated as a wasting resource. However avoiding giving the US claim on this could be awkward as could making sure British production is in place to replace it in time.

The empire will fade away as its too late for any attempt to retain it by force and most people in Britain would increasingly realise that. Which is a good thing for Britain as it would be an increasing dead weight trying to maintain it. However indirect influence, maintaining some key areas and hopefully having the resources to see the rest disposed of in a less destructive way might occur.

Anyway think I've covered most/all of the points raised.
 

raharris1973

Well-known member
In fact, it all depends precisely on how much they will support Poland, this way they can gain enough time to metastasize troops, develop a plan and logistics and then strike when the German defenses in the West are very weak which of course will make Germany fold like a house of cards.

But in order to do that they have to immediately send air cover over Poland taking one advantage away from the Germans, they don't even have to send close support or raise hell in West Germany for the LW to be forced to redeploy some of their forces, preferably fighters this way the PAF can focus on hunting German CAS and bombers.
This could lengthen the Polish defense and give just the necessary two weeks for the offensive, especially since, as Buba mentioned, Stalin waited so long waiting for the West to react, the moment the British aren't even going to ask him and just want to bludgeon Germany like a rabid dog, he won't even move a finger across the border.

A technical question for everyone: in 1939,Britain did not have bombers or fighter escorts that could make a round trip from Britain (or France) to western Poland, Eat Prussia, Pomerania, or Silesia. Had the British developed any bomber or fighter aircraft that could operate at those ranges and make a round trip by 1945? Was there any US hardware on the island that could do it?

If the British of 1945 had no ground based aircraft of such range, could they use carrier-based aircraft to reach, *and* protect their carriers while getting close enough to do so?

Were there airfields in eastern Poland, reasonably safe from Luftwaffe strike, that could have accommodated RAF aircraft on one way ‘shuttle-bombing’ runs?
 

Buba

A total creep
In 1939 there were loose plans to prepare Polish airfields to take in British bombers doing shuttle bombing runs across Germany. Nothing was done, IIRC.
And there is no time to prepare them in September 1939 - to have them running you'd need to start in April. And they'd be bombed by the Luftwaffe ASAP. So, neither airfields nor safe airfields to take in RAF bombers.

Lancaster bombers from Britain bombed Koenigsberg. That was borderline range:
Same applies to Warsaw or Katowice. Poznań would be easier.

Due to British ... let us not call it stupidity, but "different priorities" the Spitfire did not get a rear fuel tank and could not fly to Berlin and back. So no daylight raids with escort beyond the Rhur or something like that.

If there are P-47 or P-51 fighters AND drop tanks for them in the UK then these could fly to Warsaw and back.

Carrier based aircraft? From the Bight of Helgoland? That's 1000km to Warsaw each way. The Barracuda could make it, if barely. But no escort. Unless ... the FAA has Corsairs (1000?) - with drop tanks these should make it ... maybe Seafires' too ... but that needs to be checked with plane nerds :)
 
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ATP

Well-known member
A technical question for everyone: in 1939,Britain did not have bombers or fighter escorts that could make a round trip from Britain (or France) to western Poland, Eat Prussia, Pomerania, or Silesia. Had the British developed any bomber or fighter aircraft that could operate at those ranges and make a round trip by 1945? Was there any US hardware on the island that could do it?

If the British of 1945 had no ground based aircraft of such range, could they use carrier-based aircraft to reach, *and* protect their carriers while getting close enough to do so?

Were there airfields in eastern Poland, reasonably safe from Luftwaffe strike, that could have accommodated RAF aircraft on one way ‘shuttle-bombing’ runs?

1.Only P.51 could do so - and England had them.And all bombers.
2.carriers could go to Baltics - becouse germans had nothing capable of hurting them.Their planes would be easy targets,the same goes for submarines.
3.Each polish airfield could take fighter and medium bombers.

I'm a non-believer of all Douhuteist "bombers win wars" claims, but here we are looking at Vietnam War disparity. The Luftwaffe will cease to exist inside days ...


Indeed.And,british could target both german factories and land forces.
They had 30 dyvisions - 10 would be enough to go through everything german toss at them.
Even Valentine would be unstoppable juggernauth there.

So,german Luftwaffe crippled means less quickly attack in Poland.British planes from polish airfields mean even worst times for germans.

Sralin was cautious - he would not attack Poland,and if that happen we do not surrender after our valiant Leader run,but fight.
Considering,that germans lacked ammo and fueal,after month it would be end.

This time,Germany would be occupied,and soviets do not get anything maybe except balts.
And,british Empire could live little longer.
Just like japaneese Empire.

@stevep - in 1945 we would have 1939 England.I think,that in this scenario nothing change.
 

Buba

A total creep
3.Each polish airfield could take fighter and medium bombers.
Polish airfields in big cities were bombed on Day 1.
Polish field airfields had bare bones facilities. Poland has 87 avgas, not the 100/130 stuff the RAF is using in 1945. And not much of that avgas to begin with.
Shuttle service in this scenario is NOT possible. RAF operating from Poland in September - besides a publicity stunt of a few airplanes - is out of the question. No gasoline, no spares, no mechanics, different ammo, no tools in imperial measures. Emergency landings possible, sure. I'm not that certain about take offs ...

Speaking of avgas - RAF better use its stockpile of 100/130(150) fuel sparingly while a crash expansion of production capacity at UK and Imperial facilities is made. In OTL half came from the USA, and half (or more) from the Empire, but those Imperial facilities AFAIK came online in 1940 or later. The production capacity for such gasoline in the UK was small and underrused (as it could be bombed; hence preference for making it elsewhere).
The Army decided to go with 78 octane and stuck to it throughout hostilities as such was available everywhere.
 
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ATP

Well-known member
Polish airfields in big cities were bombed on Day 1.
Polish field airfields had bare bones facilities. Poland has 87 avgas, not the 100/130 stuff the RAF is using in 1945. And not much of that avgas to begin with.
Shuttle service in this scenario is NOT possible. RAF operating from Poland in September - besides a publicity stunt of a few airplanes - is out of the question. No gasoline, no spares, no mechanics, different ammo, no tools in imperial measures. Emergency landings possible, sure. I'm not that certain about take offs ...

Speaking of avgas - RAF better use its stockpile of 100/130(150) fuel sparingly while a crash expansion of production capacity at UK and Imperial facilities is made. In OTL half came from the USA, and half (or more) from the Empire, but those Imperial facilities AFAIK came online in 1940 or later. The production capacity for such gasoline in the UK was small and underrused (as it could be bombed; hence preference for making it elsewhere).
The Army decided to go with 78 octane and stuck to it throughout hostilities as such was available everywhere.

Indeed,they need better fuel then we had.So - dew dyvisions of fighters to defend airfields,and medium bombers landing there in case of emergency.
 

Buba

A total creep
So - dew dyvisions of fighters to defend airfields
No, not possible in a meaningful timeframe.
Polish AF "dywizjon" = British "squadron" (in Navy same). And "eskadra" = "flight".
In Army - "szwadron" = "squadron". Confusing, eh?

They had 30 dyvisions - 10 would be enough to go through everything german toss at them.
They need two-three weeks to get to German border. Unlike Lannister armies in ASOIAF the British Army has not mastered teleportation. As Piłsudski's goons - equally incompetent as their master - lost the campaign inside the first week, only British "shock and awe" with airforce and diplomacy can save Poland from occupation in 1939.
 
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stevep

Well-known member
Guys

Trying to catch up on points.,

a) Britain did have Mustangs and by that date late model Spits had much longer range while I'm not sure of the range of the latter Hawker a/c [Tempest, Tornado, Typhoon]. However think that direct support of Poland would be impractical. Best bet would be what raharris1973 said on the other site. I.e.
i) Given Germany a deadline of say 72 hours with accompanying images of German cities in 1945 - by both leaflet runs over parts of Germany and also documents passed to embassies in neutral countries warning them of what happens if they don't stop immediately. - Almost certain that Hitler won't and he won't be couped that early.
ii) Then start hitting German cities with heavy bomber raids in large numbers while moving tactical air to France for shorter ranged attacks. If it lasts long enough start moving some heavies to France so they can make daylight runs with escorts. Initially possibly some of the coastal cities as easier to locate and even less defences. Then move onto the Ruhr and possibly Berlin.
iii) Probably as I added useful to make clear that eastern Germany including Berlin ends up under Soviet control after Hitler's back-stab of his ally - which is likely to concentrate minds a lot in some areas. ;)

It is going to take some time to set up as a lot of the HB force is probably wound down somewhat with the war in Europe having been over for several months while those sent east are now suddenly in former US airbases in southern England with a good degree of confusion. However hopefully in a few days, possibly immediately after that 72 hour deadline forces would start operating.

b) I can't see Britain sending the carriers into the Baltic. Their far too vulnerable in such closed waters within range of too many German assets. Plus carrier units have very tight logistical limit and generally aren't trained or equipped for land attack. Not to mention there might be diplomatic issues with a belligerent sending warships through the straits.

c) I suspect Stalin, especially if he listened to his spies for once would be cautious but not sure. He might attack eastern Poland claiming it as a protection from the Nazis and relying on the sheer size of the USSR and British war weariness to prevent the western allies having defeated Germany making an issue of it. Very likely he will go for the Baltic's.

d) Not sure about the survival of the Japanese empire given its fixation with military conquest and the ongoing war in China. Not to mention bomb-shells like Pearl Harbour and the treatment of captive troops and populations by the Japanese. Once Germany is out of the way and assuming no war with the Soviets I can see Britain starting to apply additional pressure on China, including a lot of arms supplies to the latter and if - as is likely - the US is agreeable a western embargo which will hit Japan harder than OTL as they will have less resources under their control, a much weaker fleet and lacking striking distance for Malaya or a prepared Pearl. - This assumes that the US hasn't decided to act on its own.

Of course, say after 'liberating' the Baltic's Stalin might decide to strike east himself. After all he knows fairly quickly that Nazi Germany isn't going to be a threat to him and he can win kudos with either KMT or CCP [depending on who he supports in the end] for helping driving the Japanese out of their lands, probably securing S Sakhalin, the Kurils and Korea for himself. Plus it further buffers him against western hostility as a power 'fighting' fascism.

e) The British empire will fade away but hopefully a bit more orderally than OTL and preferably without some of the fighting that occurred in some areas. Its too much of a burden in the vast majority of cases for a worn down Britain plus after fighting a war against brutal oppression there's far less appetite for maintaining it as more and more people desire independence. A logical approach will be to keep key bases for power projection and some of the more valuable and cheaper to maintain areas such as Malaya under some sort of influence due to its wealth. Possibly also the Gulf states although oil production is still relatively minor there and the US has already gotten dominance in Saudi which is to become the big prize.

OTL in the 1960's there was a plan but it fell through to make Malta a full part of the UK and something like that could over time develop for it, Singapore and some other areas could be mutually beneficial. The difficult bit will be where white minority groups seek to maintain racial domination and possibly a stronger and more confident Britain could be drawn into deeper quagmires than OTL there.

India will be the 1st to go as that was already on the cards in 1945 anyway and the up-timers will know this. They won't know of course how much of an horror partition will be due to the deep religious hatreds. Whether this could be avoided I don't know.
 

stevep

Well-known member
No, not possible in a meaningful timeframe.
Polish "dywizjon" = British "squadron" (in Navy same). And "eskadra" = "flight".
In Army - "szwadron" = "squadron". Confusing, eh?


They need two-three weeks to get to German border. Unlike Lannister armies in ASOIAF the British Army has not mastered teleportation. As Piłsudski's goons - as incompetent as their master - lost the campaign inside the first week, only British "shock and awe" with airforce and diplomacy can save Poland from occupation in 1939.

Especially since a lot of the British 45 equipment, while much more powerful is also a hell of a lot heavier so that could cause a lot of problems on rail let alone road movements with bridges and the like. Furthermore you not only need to get the fighting forces to the front and in some sort of prepared plan but you need the masses of supplies and support facilities their going to need to mount, let alone maintain an offensive.

Plus even with 45 equipment a mine or skillful placed AT gun from ambush will be a problem to equipment while the pbi, a force Britain is rather short of still have to take and hold ground and they can't do that from within armoured vehicles.
 

Buba

A total creep
Oh yes, Japan better thread vewy, vewy cawefully :)
- This assumes that the US hasn't decided to act on its own.
US will be ready soonest in 1943? The situation in Europe is different, warmongering FDR has no Hitler to arm against and is not in the White House, etc. etc. Even with British input the build up should be slower. Heck, does the Two Ocean Navy Act even get passed?

India - part of the inevitability of 1947 independence (partition too? I'm at a loss) was what happened during WWII. I believe that it began with Britain putting India at war with Germany without asking the locals first. Hence not pissing them off may improve things? Draw out the process?
British 45 equipment, while much more powerful is also a hell of a lot heavier
Good reminder. Centurion stays in Britain, Vallentines for teh win!

As to movement by rail - the British standard loading gauge is equal to generous 1m rail gauge elsewhere. It will be easier to move things about by rail once on the continent, even in France (which also has small loading gauge).
 
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stevep

Well-known member
Oh yes, Japan better thread vewy, vewy cawefully :)

US will be ready soonest in 1943? The situation in Europe is different, warmongering FDR has no Hitler to arm against and is not in the White House, etc. etc. Even with British input the build up should be slower. Heck, does the Two Ocean Navy Act even get passed?

That depends on the reaction of the US and possibly also Japan to details from the 45ers. A lot will want to disbelieve it for political reasons possibly but as well as personal reports from British from the future, including those people who have been rescued from the Japanese labour camps there is likely to be documents from the US government relating to co-operation after the Japanese attack. Plus details of the Bataan death march.

I'm not saying that the US is going to immediately go into the enraged war state that it did OTL. especially since with distractions in Europe Britain, France and the Dutch, along with the Australians and Kiwis are likely to not want to be immediately involved. However you will at least see some military build up and once they see that the allies have Europe under control the US can concentrate its efforts on the Pacific far more. It probably won't lead to war immediately but there's a good chance that as US forces build up and with a lot of press outrage something will happen, most likely Japan deciding they can't afford to wait until the US is too powerful and the European powers are free to act so you could see some attack to secure the Philippines and probably Guam and Wake as OTL. - A Pearl type attack, especially with the lesser forces and the US forewarned is unlikely.

Even if there isn't a shooting war the U is very likely, once the British are ready to take part in an embargo against Japan.

I wish Roosevelt had been a warmonger as that could have saved a hell of a lot of lives. It took dow from both Japan and then Germany to drag him into an actual shooting war.

Also he's definitely in power in 1939 and likely to win if he stands again in 1940. True the threat from Germany will be gone by then but there is still the issue of Japan plus his substantial popularity. Furthermore the information from the 45ers is going to discredit a lot of the isolationists.

[/QUOTE]India - part of the inevitability of 1947 independence (partition too? I'm at a loss) was what happened during WWII. I believe that it began with Britain putting India at war with Germany without asking the locals first. Hence not pissing them off may improve things? Draw out the process?[/QUOTE]

Would have to disagree. That would have been a factor but India was already largely self-governing with the British political leadership having less and less power to influence actions as more and more of the civil service was Indian run. Reforms shortly after WWI moved a lot of power and shortly after that India imposed import tariffs - including on goods from Britain which until ~1931 stayed madly free trade. There had been a steady move towards growing power inside India since the end of the previous century and barring Britain going full Nazi - which I'm glad to say won't happen and even that would probably fail - India is going to become at least a dominion. I think Attlee and his government will have the sense to see that's inevitable and not spend a lot of blood, money and diplomatic good will fighting the point.

Coupled with the unwillingness of a weary Britain India will go independence, possibly even earlier than OTL. Whether that will be with a partition or not and whether there is massive bloodshed as OTL is difficult to tell. Its possible that some sort of dominion status will be used at least but possibly it will be straight to independence. A lot will depend on how the British government handle things and also the assorted groups in India struggling for power. Possibly Ceylon and Burma might become detached and the rest stay as a single state. British rule was already unpopular in Burma but not sure about Ceylon and its an important naval base.

One possibility I might try for in this case would be setting up something as with the Gurkha's in Nepal where Britain is allowed to recruit men from the Indian population. After all remember that the India army was fully volunteer and there was a long history of forces from the sub-continent serving in the British military around the world. It would for a while give a substantial supply of cheap manpower that would help boost Britain's military resources. Although of course that depends on how the decision goes on independence.

Good reminder. Centurion stays in Britain, Vallentines for teh win!

As to movement by rail - the British standard loading gauge is equal to generous 1m rail gauge elsewhere. It will be easier to move things about by rail once on the continent, even in France (which also has small loading gauge).

Yes the gague is pretty much the same. However would tunnel sizes be an issue? Ditto with weight on bridges, both rail and road.
 

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