D
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Essentially their plan is to determine where Tywin stands, and then go from there? And also forcing Tywin into giving them more leeway and no more Lanngeld?Oh, you misread it. The Ironborn plan is as follows:
1. Gather the Iron Fleet. At the same time, send a message to Tywin telling him "We're attacking the Reach. You got a problem with that?"
2a. If Tywin doesn't express a problem with that, the Iron Fleet sacks the Reach, giving the royalists a bad enough time to break or even prevent the Siege of Storm's End, and get rich in the process.
2b. If Tywin does have a problem with that, which implies a royalist Tywin, the lighter ships of the Iron Fleet would go to Ironman's Bay and get taken over land to the Blue Fork, to support Robert and his allies in the Riverlands, giving the royalists a bad time while the strongest ships of the Iron Fleet defend the Iron Islands against reprisal from Tywin. Not as much loot or glory to be had, but the more direct support of Robert would promise greater political rewards, such as forcing the royalist!Tywin to back off on what concessions he'd been extracting from the Iron Islands due to raiding during the "rule" of Tytos Lannister.
Tywin would probably either not respond or not give an answer that could be seen as clear and definite.
If you take the notion that he always wanted Robert to win, he’d probably be fine with them sacking the reach.
If Tywin is more royalist, then the ironborn can menace Fair Isle and force the Lannister’s to keep their attention westward.
So they are basically deliberating on the plan of action. And however Tywin falls, is where they go in response.
I’d also be skeptical about an Ironborn plan to sack the Reach. They might be able to raze the shield islands and sail up the Mander, but House Hightower and the Tyrell’s will have knights at their backs in about a day-unless you believe the bulk of the Tyrell forces were at Storm’s End. Which limits how much loot they can get.
Not to mention the Hightower’s have a fleet as well. And no doubt the local Reach lords on the coast would have word to Highgarden as fast as the raven flies.