United States Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) on the rationing formula crisis hammering VA families
49ersfootball
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United States 2021 VA, NJ & MD Statewide Thread
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Statement from NJ Governor Phil Murphy (D) on potential severe weather coming to the Garden State
49ersfootball
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Statement from United States Senator Bob Menendez (D-NJ)
49ersfootball
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This will trigger some folks!
@Airedale260 @Stargazer @Cherico @Captain X @WolfBear @DarthOne @TerrificWarden @Morphic Tide @Planchar @bintananth @Carrot of Truth @Circle of Willis @Buba @Zyobot @TheRomanSlayer @stevep
@Airedale260 @Stargazer @Cherico @Captain X @WolfBear @DarthOne @TerrificWarden @Morphic Tide @Planchar @bintananth @Carrot of Truth @Circle of Willis @Buba @Zyobot @TheRomanSlayer @stevep
Retired Navy captain Hung Cao won a crowded primary by ranked vote to become the Republican nominee for Virginia's 10th Congressional District.
That's Loudoun and Prince William counties in Northern VA, I used to live there. It was a red district for a long time in under congressman Frank Wolfe. He retired in 2014 and Republican Barbara Comstock won the election to succeed him and again in 2016, but lost to Democrat Jennifer Wexton in 2018, who still holds the seat. It's notably the spot of some of the sexual assaults in public schools by "transgender" students that may have contributed to tipping the gubernatorial race last year. Those counties trended much further to the red in 2021 than in 2022, but were still majority blue.
So it's going to be an uphill battle. One of the congressional elections to watch, for sure. Wish I still lived there so I could vote for him. I currently live right across the district lines in Virginia's 1st district, which pretty securely belongs to Republican congressman Rob Wittman
That's Loudoun and Prince William counties in Northern VA, I used to live there. It was a red district for a long time in under congressman Frank Wolfe. He retired in 2014 and Republican Barbara Comstock won the election to succeed him and again in 2016, but lost to Democrat Jennifer Wexton in 2018, who still holds the seat. It's notably the spot of some of the sexual assaults in public schools by "transgender" students that may have contributed to tipping the gubernatorial race last year. Those counties trended much further to the red in 2021 than in 2022, but were still majority blue.
So it's going to be an uphill battle. One of the congressional elections to watch, for sure. Wish I still lived there so I could vote for him. I currently live right across the district lines in Virginia's 1st district, which pretty securely belongs to Republican congressman Rob Wittman
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Interesting that he's Vietnamese. Apparently Vietnamese-Americans are more pro-Trump (48%) than they are pro-Biden (36%), which is apparently unique for Asian-American groups:
48% of Vietnamese Americans say they’re voting for Trump. Here’s why.
Vietnamese voters can’t agree on Trump. This election is a breaking point for some families.
www.vox.com
Airedale260
Well-known member
Interesting that he's Vietnamese. Apparently Vietnamese-Americans are more pro-Trump (48%) than they are pro-Biden (36%), which is apparently unique for Asian-American groups:
48% of Vietnamese Americans say they’re voting for Trump. Here’s why.
Vietnamese voters can’t agree on Trump. This election is a breaking point for some families.
I would imagine a fair few of them (or their parents or grandparents) wound up here after fleeing the Communist takeover. And likely a fair few of them are more supportive of Trump’s stance toward China as opposed to Obama’s or Biden’s.
Yep, anti-Communism and anti-socialism certainly helps explain why Vietnamese, Cubans, Venezuelans, former Soviet Jews, et cetera are more sympathetic to Republicans.
He's got a tightrope to walk in the district between not leaning too far into "Trumpism" and alienating traditional Republicans with a distaste for Trump (I consider myself in that category), while also keeping Trump supporters in the coalition and motivated to go vote. It's a similar balance that Glenn Youngkin had to strike. Northern Virginia just does not like Trump - Republican Barbara Comstock did win in 2016, but even then the majority of voters in the district actually voted for Hillary. They split the ballot (I was living there at the time and did vote Comstock for Congress, and Gary Johnson (blech) for president). If 2022 is a referendum on Democrats and Biden, and not on Trump, I'm optimistic that Cao can pull the win.
49ersfootball
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Odds that Cao knocks off Sexton in November ?
Airedale260
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The sense is more that people want Trump’s policies (mostly), just not Trump himself. So it isn’t as difficult as one might think, especially since the election is really a referendum on Biden, no matter how much Democrats wish otherwise.
49ersfootball
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Sounds like the VA Congressional Delegation will be losing some incumbent Dems this fall.
49ersfootball
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Do you think he's got a chance of winning & if he pulls it off, we might be looking at a future United States Senator down the road.
I think the seat is winnable, but it will be a tough race. If Cao wins though I'd like to see him hold the seat for a while. With regards to US senator, I'm hopeful that Glenn Youngkin will make a run for senator after his term as governor, assuming that term ends well. Due to the no consecutive terms rule for governor of Virginia, the governor's office has been treated as something of a pipeline for US senator. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine both served as governor before running for the Senate. The last GOP governor, Bob McDonnell, might have run for Senate also if it hadn't been for scandal shortly after he left office.
49ersfootball
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I think Kaine easily wins reelection in 2024 because minorities will be turning out in a presidential election year. He's (5-0) in statewide elections.
Warner wins reelection in 2026 IF he chooses to seek a 4th term; Warner is (4-1) in statewide elections.
On the VA Executive Mansion in 2025: Assuming the GOP wins back the White House in 2024, the VA Dems almost certainly going to win the Governorship back in 2025.
Either Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney (D) or US Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) will be heavily pressured to seek the Governorship in 2025.
Warner could be vulnerable. He only won the race against Ed Gillespie in 2014 by a hair's breadth. If a Republican wins presidency in 2024, yeah it's almost guaranteed a Dem will win Virginia Governor in 2025. That's just been the pattern of history, the Virginia Governor being the opposite party of the current president. The one recent exception being McAuliffe in 2013.
49ersfootball
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If it's a DeSantis midterm in 2026: Warner wins reelection very easily.
Tiamat
I've seen the future...
Sorry, I’m not convinced. Too many other factors to consider here before even making that prediction.
In other news, the purge of leftists from Virginia offices continues….and I feel just fine.
Virginia judge boots liberal DA off criminal case for 'misleading' public, GOP AG prepared to take over
A Loudoun County, Virginia, circuit judge removed the county’s Commonwealth’s Attorney Office from a serial burglary case for "deliberately misleading the Court and the public."
www.foxnews.com
And yet we still have this:
www.foxnews.com
www.foxnews.com
www.foxnews.com
There are people who have literally gone to jail and had to register as sex offenders for taking nude pictures of themselves as teens, yet this rapist doesn't have to register, and the school is able to avoid any serious scrutiny over their handling of the situation because reasons.
Loudoun County teen convicted of sexual assault avoids sex offender registry, victim's parents respond
The Loudoun County teen male charged with sexual assault at two separate high schools was originally sentenced to register as a sex offender — receiving a black mark on his record for life — but a judge recently reversed her decision on that.
www.foxnews.com
Loudoun County says it's withholding sexual assault investigation report to avoid 'retraumatizing' victims
The Loudoun County school board on Friday stood by the decision not to release its report on the investigation into two sexual assaults that took place last year.
www.foxnews.com
Loudoun County schools won't release report on investigation into handling of sexual assault allegations
Loudoun County Public Schools (LCPS) said Tuesday that it would not release a report from an investigation into how it handled two high-profile sexual assault allegations in the district.
www.foxnews.com
There are people who have literally gone to jail and had to register as sex offenders for taking nude pictures of themselves as teens, yet this rapist doesn't have to register, and the school is able to avoid any serious scrutiny over their handling of the situation because reasons.
They're adding kindling to the fire under their feet, and the people all ready have the torches in hand...
49ersfootball
Well-known member
I do NOT see the VA Dems imploding like the TX Dems.Sorry, I’m not convinced. Too many other factors to consider here before even making that prediction.
In other news, the purge of leftists from Virginia offices continues….and I feel just fine.
Virginia judge boots liberal DA off criminal case for 'misleading' public, GOP AG prepared to take over
A Loudoun County, Virginia, circuit judge removed the county’s Commonwealth’s Attorney Office from a serial burglary case for "deliberately misleading the Court and the public."