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Problem was the Cambridge 5 warned the Soviets about all those operations, which killed them in the end: https://www.numbers-stations.com/articles/the-game-kgb-against-cia-and-sis-in-the-baltic-states-1945-1956/

Sorry I assume you're talking about the map in post #28. That's a rather shit map that only shows corps level units or higher and is rather indistinct. The one that HL posted from the Glantz symposium in post #2 is MUCH better and based on German and Soviet situation maps...

Some sourcing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lavrentiy_Beria#First_Deputy_Premier_and_Soviet_triumvirate

Assuming the shock and stress of losing two fronts, including the vaunted Zhukov's, doesn't cause Stalin to die/be incapacitated with an earlier stroke than his OTL June 1945 one. If Beria takes over, he was basically in favor of ending Communism in Russia and full normalization of relations...

Enjoy the match. Yeah I got that part, I'm just not sure which units you see on the map that didn't participate in the Zamoly operation. They all look like they're there to me and there aren't any extras other than the ones I mentioned like the 84th RD. Units like the 7th GAD were part of the...

I know what you mean about the manpower issue. The Soviets weren't as bad off as the Germans at this point given that they had so much territory that wasn't Soviet, so could pressgang people into the army (and did a lot of that). Of course that meant the quality of replacements was generally...

It was such a close run operation IOTL that all it takes is a couple of divisions to matter given how stretched the Soviets were at that place and time. Not in a defensive position, they were attacking during Operation Konrad III. They were counterattacked during their offensive repeatedly and...

They did, but there was nothing that could be done without war as they had no leverage over the USSR at that point. Different situation with Iran vs. Poland. The Soviets had a puppet government in place that supported them staying in Poland, the rival political factions largely having been...

It's a common misconception that Volksgrenadier divisions were militia because of the name, but they were regular infantry divisions and had some of the highest quality manpower remaining assigned to them; I have the interrogation reports of the generals that led them conducted by the US right...

Think the Wallies might be able to force more fair elections in other areas? Might Hungary end up split in half?

I think you're misunderstanding the dynamic at play. The Wallies didn't think Stalin was challengeable due to the power of his armies and their need for said armies to keep Wallied losses down. By this point both FDR and Churchill were worried over Stalin's foot dragging over helping them deal...

Assuming they did that and they achieved their goal of defeating Zhukov, how do you think that would impact the rest of the conflict?

@History Learner care to comment on the impact my scenario playing out as described above would have on Solstice/the rest of the war?

Not sure if you're being sarcastic or not. How does this not change history dramatically? The Soviets losing the majority of an entire front and breaking the siege of Budapest in 1945 before Yalta is an enormous change. Not only that, but this could butterfly away Yalta, as Stalin is either...

You're mistakenly referring to his death in 1953. I'm talking about the earlier stroke and later in the year heart attack in 1945 that crippled him for the remainder of his life...

You're basing that on...? The Germans did do almost exactly this in late January during Konrad III and it was only the lack of infantry divisions that allowed the Soviets to break out and the pocket in this area from being liquidated. So we're only allowed to discuss the PODs that you deem...

Strictly speaking they weren't really necessary in the Ardennes, but as mentioned early in the OP this was written originally in conjunction with the 'Small Solution' against the Aachen Bulge western offensive instead of Hitler's 'Big Solution' through the Ardennes. They did historically, but...

You are making the flawed assumption that because the Soviets had done it in specific circumstances that they could in this specific circumstance, which would not have been the case given how worn down they were and fully committed to certain actions. This wasn't March 1945. I'd like to know...

Unfortunately I was unable to attach here a situation map from January 7th from Glantz's symposium on the war situation in late 1944 to the start of the Berlin operation which makes this TL easier to understand, but you can access it here, slide #707: 1986 Art of War Symposium : from the Vistula...