Design an A-10 Replacement

The Tunguska is impressive... but not impressive enough. Shilka had a lower engagement time in the hand of the Red Army, mostly because the turret was lighter and could turn even faster.

And that is the rub. Tunguska is a threat to A-10, so was Shilka. It isn't an 'I Win' button.

As for the A-10 'element' that was shot down? You make it sound oh so dramatic.

It was 2 birds, the other 2 birds in the flight completed the mission. Moreover, Iraq/Kuwait was the worst possible terrain for the A-10, being fairly flat with very long sightlines. Thus while operating in a worst-case scenario, once, in the entire conflict, the Iraqi's managed to best-case the ADA side of the equation, and still only took down half the entire flight.

Scorpion is not a replacement for A-10, all it is is a COIN aircraft, a replacement for the OV-10 Bronco, but not an A-10 replacement.
As I keep repeating but people seem to not understand

RADAR IS BEST IN OPEN SIGHT LINES OR ON MOUNTAINS!

A war with Russia or China would not have such open sight lines as that with Iraq. There may be some, but such sight lines also allow for Artillery and other methods to hit such targets.

Also the US is going away from COIN, getting the Scorpion would be good for when we have to, but it would be sitting around doing nothing except flying where ADA is no longer.....

Same thing the A-10 does.
 
Cant forget US Army Artillery, standard and Rocket

You do know all SAM systems have radars right? They can be mobile but that does not make them not able to be touched....

Do none of you understand this? These SAMs have to have radars or they are useless and dumb fired missiles...
Using (again) the Kosovo case, the Serbian air defenses survived and even shot down several NATO planes (including one very famous) against the firing of several hundreds of anti-radiation missiles by NATO.
I have already said and say again - the quality of the training of the other side counts a lot more than the hardware of both sides.
Because the US as only fought incompetent forces (with old hardware) after that, they believe a bit too much in the capabilities of the weapons they have.
That famous case? It proved in a spectacular way that if the adversary is competent and your side facilitates, the quality of the hardware counts very little.
A competent adversary is much more difficult to deal than the Iraqis, Syrians, or afghans. The last ones don't even have a conventional army...
And if the said adversary has modern-ish weapons... do the math.
 
Using (again) the Kosovo case, the Serbian air defenses survived and even shot down several NATO planes (including one very famous) against the firing of several hundreds of anti-radiation missiles by NATO.
I have already said and say again - the quality of the training of the other side counts a lot more than the hardware of both sides.
Because the US as only fought incompetent forces (with old hardware) after that, they believe a bit too much in the capabilities of the weapons they have.
That famous case? It proved in a spectacular way that if the adversary is competent and your side facilitates, the quality of the hardware counts very little.
A competent adversary is much more difficult to deal than the Iraqis, Syrians, or afghans. The last ones don't even have a conventional army...
And if the said adversary has modern-ish weapons... do the math.
And the capabilities of the equipment limits what people are able to do..

If you look at the area where SAMs are placed, they are often areas that are open to allow for RADAR to work best.

The whole point I am trying to get across is that there are limits of what the systems can do and no matter how well trained they are the equipment matters most
 
Most non SAM munitions barring MANPADS are not going to be the best at one shot hitting a plane as armored as the A-10. Unlike helicopters, which all non MANPADS will devistate anyway, the A-10 has a faster speed then the helicopter, and flies fast enough to escape nin radar guided munitions (FC and TT/TA for non SAMS are not the best).

You have to take into account the aspects that most don't when you look into the aspect of these things, RADARS and the like. MANPADS are also not as effective as people think they are.

The one area of things I know is ELINT and its effectiveness on American hardware, and what works best against what. it is literally my job...
They already did in that respect. Or have you forgotten the 20 A-10 losses in Desert Storm against monkey-export Soviet ADS (and given training by said Soviets in their ADS network doctrine) manned by Arabs whose leaders 'coup proof' their own militaries than allow them to actually function?
To be fair the A-10 wasn't really designed with anything larger than 23mm(aka the standard Warsaw pact mobile AA gun size) in mind
No, that was the standard 1960s/early 1970s WARPAC SPAAG size. The WARPAC would shift to 30mm in the mid-70s, especially with various upgrade packages for the ZSU-23-4s which turns them into ZSU-30-2s (which really started showing up in the 1980s and early 1990s). The only reason the 23mm was retained was just how prolific it was. That and the training to snipe ATGMs and other guided munitions out of the sky.
The Scorpion is at a worse place when compared to the A-10 because ot its high flying. It does not have the speed needed to survive an engagement with any SAM or enemy air force.

The issue about flying high is that it makes any SAM from SA-2 to SA-21 and all other medium to high altitude missles able to target it.

Do none of you understand how these systems work and are msde to work?

Most SAMs are made for medium to high altitude aircraft in mind. No plane the US has is able to stay out of range of SAMs....

So low flying usjng the same method helicopters use in a jet like what the A-10 does is more effective than you think.
This lie is still going around. Here's the thing for SAM-to-Plane combat: Distance is god. The more distance between you and the SAM, the better off you'll be because of the Tyranny of the Rocket Equation. At high altitude, the SAM will have to expend a lot of its potential energy just to get to you while you still have your potential energy. SPAAGs are only on the field because they enforce a 'no safe combat band' zone for aircraft in general. If you go low, you're going to be riddled with holes. If you go high, you'll be playing the SAM equivalent of bullet hell.
And that was with it burdened by the most restrictive ROEs ever known to aerial combat, seriously if BVR combat had been routinely allowed I suspect the K/D ratio would have been closer to 10:1. The Phantom as it turns out was a great fleet interceptor for its time that turned up being good at a lot of other stuff which is a tribute to its excellent design. Moreover the E variant fixed the whole not having a internal gun problem and it was the most produced Phantom variant.
That and it was quickly retooled into a fairly effective multi-role aircraft, even by the US.
The Tunguska is impressive... but not impressive enough. Shilka had a lower engagement time in the hand of the Red Army, mostly because the turret was lighter and could turn even faster.

And that is the rub. Tunguska is a threat to A-10, so was Shilka. It isn't an 'I Win' button.

As for the A-10 'element' that was shot down? You make it sound oh so dramatic.

It was 2 birds, the other 2 birds in the flight completed the mission. Moreover, Iraq/Kuwait was the worst possible terrain for the A-10, being fairly flat with very long sight lines. Thus while operating in a worst-case scenario, once, in the entire conflict, the Iraqi's managed to best-case the ADA side of the equation, and still only took down half the entire flight.

Scorpion is not a replacement for A-10, all it is is a COIN aircraft, a replacement for the OV-10 Bronco, but not an A-10 replacement.
Nope, in Soviet ADS, the A-10s are just duck soup. While those two systems' guns tended to go for the 'bullet hell' school of AAA (mostly because even the West couldn't get the HEPF shell to rounds smaller than 75mm without compromising the payload), those two systems were supported by various MANPADs, some of which get into the same ballpark as Stingers (which basically 'loled' common flare countermeasures) in genuine effectiveness and the USSR had them spread everywhere in their ADS network and infantry formations. So you'll get the situation where the A-10 either gets annihilated because of MANPAD spam or has to drop the payload and RTB. Either way, the ADS wins. While in the future LAMS-style systems might become a problem, they'll need some pretty crazy reaction times for NOE conditions. We're talking 'milliseconds is a long ass time' reaction time here.

My response to the OP is this: the A-10 successor isn't a strike fighter, it's a tac bomber. It's tactical ATGM/bomb truck, think a stealth F-111 with plenty of steroids. Its job is to simply spam missiles and various bomb packages at 10k feet where it has plenty of room to maneuver against SAMs.
 
And the capabilities of the equipment limits what people are able to do..

If you look at the area where SAMs are placed, they are often areas that are open to allow for RADAR to work best.

The whole point I am trying to get across is that there are limits of what the systems can do and no matter how well trained they are the equipment matters most
That works both ways, to be fair.
 
They already did in that respect. Or have you forgotten the 20 A-10 losses in Desert Storm against monkey-export Soviet ADS (and given training by said Soviets in their ADS network doctrine) manned by Arabs whose leaders 'coup proof' their own militaries than allow them to actually function?

No, that was the standard 1960s/early 1970s WARPAC SPAAG size. The WARPAC would shift to 30mm in the mid-70s, especially with various upgrade packages for the ZSU-23-4s which turns them into ZSU-30-2s (which really started showing up in the 1980s and early 1990s). The only reason the 23mm was retained was just how prolific it was. That and the training to snipe ATGMs and other guided munitions out of the sky.

This lie is still going around. Here's the thing for SAM-to-Plane combat: Distance is god. The more distance between you and the SAM, the better off you'll be because of the Tyranny of the Rocket Equation. At high altitude, the SAM will have to expend a lot of its potential energy just to get to you while you still have your potential energy. SPAAGs are only on the field because they enforce a 'no safe combat band' zone for aircraft in general. If you go low, you're going to be riddled with holes. If you go high, you'll be playing the SAM equivalent of bullet hell.

That and it was quickly retooled into a fairly effective multi-role aircraft, even by the US.

Nope, in Soviet ADS, the A-10s are just duck soup. While those two systems' guns tended to go for the 'bullet hell' school of AAA (mostly because even the West couldn't get the HEPF shell to rounds smaller than 75mm without compromising the payload), those two systems were supported by various MANPADs, some of which get into the same ballpark as Stingers (which basically 'loled' common flare countermeasures) in genuine effectiveness and the USSR had them spread everywhere in their ADS network and infantry formations. So you'll get the situation where the A-10 either gets annihilated because of MANPAD spam or has to drop the payload and RTB. Either way, the ADS wins. While in the future LAMS-style systems might become a problem, they'll need some pretty crazy reaction times for NOE conditions. We're talking 'milliseconds is a long ass time' reaction time here.

My response to the OP is this: the A-10 successor isn't a strike fighter, it's a tac bomber. It's tactical ATGM/bomb truck, think a stealth F-111 with plenty of steroids. Its job is to simply spam missiles and various bomb packages at 10k feet where it has plenty of room to maneuver against SAMs.
We don't need Bombers...We need dedicated CAS.

Do none of you understand the need for CAS like the A-10? A gunship? Like seriously we can not rely on bombs and missiles we also need the good old guns. Infantry will be the biggest issue in combat and unless you are willing to drop large bombs near your infantry is stupid as hell!

Also, You don't seem to understand the capabilities of new and modern SAM missiles then if you think that.
Obviously that is something I cant get into that I know. So yeah
That works both ways, to be fair.
True.
 
We don't need Bombers...We need dedicated CAS.

Do none of you understand the need for CAS like the A-10? A gunship? Like seriously we can not rely on bombs and missiles we also need the good old guns. Infantry will be the biggest issue in combat and unless you are willing to drop large bombs near your infantry is stupid as hell!

Also, You don't seem to understand the capabilities of new and modern SAM missiles then if you think that.
Obviously that is something I cant get into that I know. So yeah
Sadly, the technological context more or less made the A-10 obsolete in its role. CAS is no longer gunning and rocketing shit, it's throwing SBDs and ATGMs at targets at altitudes where the plane has the energy advantage against SAMs and is high enough to stay out of the AAG and MANPAD envelope. This means high speed, high altitude, with stealth capability.

Remember, the A-10 got chewed through 1991 Iraq which was using monkey-model equipment (and monkey model Iglas and Strelas for Christ's sake!) in their ADS. If 1991 Iraq is too much for your aircraft, then it no longer works. Low and slow is only viable if your opponents don't have monkey model late-1980s Soviet ADS; if your opponent has that or better... well that ADS will go 'om nom nom' on anything that flies low and slow. Thus, the only way to survive is to go high and fast.
 
Sadly, the technological context more or less made the A-10 obsolete in its role. CAS is no longer gunning and rocketing shit, it's throwing SBDs and ATGMs at targets at altitudes where the plane has the energy advantage against SAMs and is high enough to stay out of the AAG and MANPAD envelope. This means high speed, high altitude, with stealth capability.

Remember, the A-10 got chewed through 1991 Iraq which was using monkey-model equipment (and monkey model Iglas and Strelas for Christ's sake!) in their ADS. If 1991 Iraq is too much for your aircraft, then it no longer works. Low and slow is only viable if your opponents don't have monkey model late-1980s Soviet ADS; if your opponent has that or better... well that ADS will go 'om nom nom' on anything that flies low and slow. Thus, the only way to survive is to go high and fast.
Yet people above have shown the reason, and that the F-16 took more casualties then the A-10.

An no, CAS is still damn important. Especially when it is combined with Friendly artillery, rocket and standard, and Cruise missiles to form a deayl amount of long range firepower
 
Yet people above have shown the reason, and that the F-16 took more casualties then the A-10.
Nope, the A-10 took 20 casualties in Desert Storm, the F-16 only took seven.
An no, CAS is still damn important. Especially when it is combined with Friendly artillery, rocket and standard, and Cruise missiles to form a deayl amount of long range firepower
CAS as of the A-10s specs is no longer a thing, hell A-10 proponents have screwed with the definition of CAS so divergently from its original definition (i.e. air support (i.e. aircraft mounted weapon deployment) landing within close proximity of the troops) that it is unrecognizable.

The biggest problem for the USAF's CAS capabilities is that they're ruled by a fighter mafia that would rather let everything but their fighters rot away and hates anything that deals with the ground with a passion of a thousand suns.
 
CAS is still damn important, nobody contest that. The problem is, that against anything other than a very permissive environment is very dangerous. While in the last 20-ish year's US/NATO as fought COIN or against incompetent adversaries, nothing guarantee that the future is going to be so easy.
 
CAS is still damn important, nobody contest that. The problem is, that against anything other than a very permissive environment is very dangerous. While in the last 20-ish year's US/NATO as fought COIN or against incompetent adversaries, nothing guarantee that the future is going to be so easy.
That and the equipment for even a 1980s Soviet ADS is proliferating. The only reason that more 3rd World nations aren't replicating it is because of money.

The CAS game has completely changed. It's all about where your ordinance lands, not how close to the troops you are. The more people accept that, the more we can go forward.
 
The problem with many PGM's is that an adversary with fair EW capabilities can negate/degrade much of that precision. So far, US/NATO as not yet confronted that on the battlefield but the clock is ticking.
 
The problem with many PGM's is that an adversary with fair EW capabilities can negate/degrade much of that precision. So far, US/NATO as not yet confronted that on the battlefield but the clock is ticking.
However, PGM capability has also been evolving to meet that threat. If EW capabilities can jam optical, IIR, UV (IR systems are becoming more of UV systems from what I've read a while back, starting with the humble Stinger), or inertial guidance, then even the Mk1 eyeball is useless.
 
CAS is no longer gunning and rocketing shit, it's throwing SBDs and ATGMs at targets at altitudes where the plane has the energy advantage against SAMs and is high enough to stay out of the AAG and MANPAD envelope. This means high speed, high altitude, with stealth capability
The US military already struggles to afford having a single load on a lot of missile systems (mostly naval cruise missiles, admittedly), and you want to have CAS replaced with something lugging around hundreds of the things? You want to replace CAS with a heavy bomber?

Again, the A-10 is largely for technicals, APCs, and infantry. Close air support is suppressive fire and light armor, not anti-tank, because the strike-fighters, cruise missiles, man-portable launchers, and artillery can all deal with tanks.

We do not need yet another predominantly anti-armor system, we need a cost-effective system for all the awkward things too heavy for infantry but too cheap to afford lobbing anti-tank munitions at.
 
All, or almost all proposals to replace the A-10 work fine in the same environment that the A-10 today works - a very permissive one.
COIN, and against incompetent conventional ones equipped with weapons no more modern than early 80's soviet ones.
Against 2000 or more advanced weapons manned by competent adversaries, the game is other, completely.
And sooner or later, this kind of weapons start to appear in these low-intensity battlefields. If you get lucky, in the hands of incompetent ones, if you are unlucky, in the hands of competent ones, and then you get a very bad day.

For a look at the other face of the conflict, just look at the Saudis in the Yemen war - they get all the best toys money can buy and the result is spectacular - in a bad way. Case in point the attack against the oil installations.
 
All, or almost all proposals to replace the A-10 work fine in the same environment that the A-10 today works - a very permissive one.
COIN, and against incompetent conventional ones equipped with weapons no more modern than early 80's soviet ones.
Against 2000 or more advanced weapons manned by competent adversaries, the game is other, completely.
And sooner or later, this kind of weapons start to appear in these low-intensity battlefields. If you get lucky, in the hands of incompetent ones, if you are unlucky, in the hands of competent ones, and then you get a very bad day.

For a look at the other face of the conflict, just look at the Saudis in the Yemen war - they get all the best toys money can buy and the result is spectacular - in a bad way. Case in point the attack against the oil installations.
No, 1980s Soviet ADS manned by Arabs shredded A-10s in Desert Storm. That is the highest bar you can have for an A-10 deployment. If the enemy has more than one MANPAD between a platoon, well, it's going to get reked.
The US military already struggles to afford having a single load on a lot of missile systems (mostly naval cruise missiles, admittedly), and you want to have CAS replaced with something lugging around hundreds of the things? You want to replace CAS with a heavy bomber?
It's a Tactical Bomber, not a heavy bomber, and two that is only for the stuff for the USN's VLS units, not the USAF. We've been double-tapping with Hellfires for Christ's sake!

A tac bomber's role (which includes CAS, I might add) might be done by strategic bombers, it is primarily done via smaller bombers historically (usually some two-engine bomber) and various aircraft recently. To give an example, the Tornado is in essence a tac-bomber when it is armed with bombs and AGMs. These days all you need for a tac-bomber is the ability for an ordinance load larger than what fighters can carry but smaller than strategic bombers.

So, you're going to have something that -at a minimum- carries 1.5 times the ordnance load of an F-35, likely 3 times the ordnance load in all practicality. The gun would probably be nonexistent at best, and if they fit a gun in they'll likely use a single-barreled 30mm chaingun with a very pitiful ammo capacity than anything.
Again, the A-10 is largely for technicals, APCs, and infantry. Close air support is suppressive fire and light armor, not anti-tank, because the strike-fighters, cruise missiles, man-portable launchers, and artillery can all deal with tanks.

We do not need yet another predominantly anti-armor system, we need a cost-effective system for all the awkward things too heavy for infantry but too cheap to afford lobbing anti-tank munitions at.
That isn't going to be viable thanks to the proliferation of MANPADs. Given that you'll need UV countermeasures (and I mean 'duplicates the UV flare of a jet engine to the point where the seeker can't really tell the difference' good here, and it is far easier to just make the UV sensor better in this case) to have even a hope to avoid things like Stingers (and we're talking the original Stinger here, not the fancy modern Stingers which consist of Block IIs if I remember right), you're shit out of luck in that sort of battlefield.

So, you're left with a situation where you have to stay high in order to survive, which leads back to where you hate and where I started.
 
Basically, US Army needs to learn how to fight without aerial support.
To be fair CAS in a contest environment is supposed to be the F-35s job with the main goal of uncontesting said airspace so the rest of the airforce can be used more aggressively.
 

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