Is there consensus here that Hizballah cannot "win" the South Lebanon war against Israel here? Or most likely will not?
What about knock-on consequences for the Palestinian issue I speculated upon, and knock-on effects for Iranian proxy warfare region wide and its impact on relations with the US, Israel and others?
Agreed.
Arafat might perhaps be more inclined to make peace in 2000-2001. Afterwards, it depends on whether Bush or Mr. Well-Bred Politesse Al Gore wins in 2000. Also interesting to see if the Iraq War still happens in this TL. Then we could perhaps see Israeli-Iranian proxy naval warfare in the Mediterranean/Syrian Sea through Iraq's coastline.