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  1. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Probably another wave of bloody repression and murders. Even if its not a clearly political killing it will probably be represented as such to unify his supporters and seek sympathy. Possibly depending on the circumstances a powerful struggle to replace him but how open that would be I don't know.
  2. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Interesting although given the info in the last link I would assume that you would need to factor in the spread of the empire as it ruled different areas at different times. Noticing that the high level of Afghans and then drop could be because they were prominent in the previous ruling class...
  3. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Very interesting and shows how difficult it can be to tell what actually occurred in many points of history. Have heard all four arguments for Islamic conversion in India but never realised how complex the issue was.
  4. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Its likely without Islam emerging and assuming that no other monotheistic faith fills that gap that versions of Christianity would spread much wider - or simply maintaining the lands they held ~636 would mean a much larger region under Christian control. Without Islam its likely that...
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    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Agree that the west will probably emerge as 'Catholic' i.e. distinctly different from the eastern Orthodox as its in the interests of the leaders of those states to remain separate from the Orthodox church as that would be controlled from Constantinople and hence likely continued to be under...
  6. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    If you kill Mohammad then while there might be an equivalent conqueror Genghis Khan won't be born. ;) If such an act prevented a new monotheistic region starting, which isn't necessarily certain then there is no saying what the world would be like by now. Quite possibly the dominant Christian...
  7. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Don't know. It would definitely cause political problems in London as Germany was the clear hostile threat but in this case France would be breaching Belgium neutrality. A lot would have depended on the circumstances but it would alienate a good chunk of public and informed opinion in the UK.
  8. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Yes to form defensive coalitions. Not to actually choose in most cases to initiate a war. That's like saying if a homeowner beats up a burgular who breaks into his house and attacks him when discovered is guilty of assault. Britain definitely didn't want war in 1914 but many recognised that...
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    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Few people in Britain, if any, wanted war as it was simply bad for business. As well as the human costs. I think your falling for the old fable that Britain deliberately moved to keep Europe divided.
  10. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    I think WWI could have been avoided but there was strong desire in much of the elite in most of the big continental states for war, or at least a vast under-estimation of the costs both human and otherwise.
  11. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Yes, if they resisted although if cities surrendered rather than standing a siege then population and even local rulers were often treated fairly well. A bit like a bloodier version of the Romans who would devastate areas if they resisted or which had revolted having coming under their control.
  12. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    I must admit that's probably rather unfair to the Mongols. ;)
  13. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    True if that nutter was to get into power. He's on a level with Stalin, Hitler or Mao at their worst.
  14. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Its a possibility although there was also a desire for the restoration of the monarchy among a fair number of the right in Germany. Could go either way and you could end up with something like France where there is a monarchist claimant [probably only one rather than three in the French case!]...
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    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    True but I think at least at 1st the bulk of the right would represent itself as restoring the old order, at least in part because that would win them a fair degree of support both internally and to a lesser degree in the western powers. Its weakened somewhat if Nicholas II and his family have...
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    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    A far right coup is likely to seek legitimacy with the rest of the world and probably some restoration of the Czarist regime. Rather than being a mad dog system like under Hitler or even the revolutionary type of Mussolini. As such its likely to seek a level of co-operation. It will be...
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    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Possibly but it was still a mostly Anglo-French force that defeated Germany in 1918. Think a lot of the about 1.8M doughboys who were in Europe by the armistice were still in training there. If you get a German attack in 1917 because Russia is clearly going on the defensive its going to face...
  18. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    Not really. He had survived one attack earlier that day to be true but the entire plot was rather amateurism and Princip had pretty much given up hope of an attack in despair when a real comedy of errors presented him with the Archduke's car presented to him on a plate, stationary right in...
  19. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    On the last point do remember that Germany made peace with the Bolsheviks. True if they had pulled off some miracle win in the west they might have turned against the Bolsheviks, albeit that could well be largely via some aid to Russian White counter-revolutionaries. If Lenin sizes power and a...
  20. S

    Three assassination hypotheticals for you

    My point is that OTL the PG decided to continue the war and unless this changes, which would be a good thing for Russia and ultimately the world because it might save the republic. I say might because it was still weak and if the hard left didn't seek ti undermine it the hard right will...
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