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Of your final two comments - the one on the Qajars is educational. And the one on a potential multi-century arc of decay and decline is philosophical. The rest of your post is kind of comically deterministic, anachronistic, and bombastically confident at the same time. It's kind of a hoot.:ROFLMAO:

There's an important question to ask oneself before thinking of the future of slavery and emancipation, especially any resumption of the trans-Atlantic slave trade? Will it be economically viable? Who will be the markets for Brazilian coffee plantations with all the customers of Europe...

Thank you all for engaging with this odd scenario of mine. @WolfBear - good point on the machinations of the powers at the fringes of Europe @stevep - Thanks for the summary of Darwinia. I have not read it, but heard enough about it to know that a disappeared Europe was part of the premise...

What if ASBs intervene in a TL like ours up until 1878, but in 1878, Europe is replaced with virgin earth? How does the history and development of the planet proceed? Here's the world map: By the way, I'm counting the Caucasus provinces as part of Russian Asia, so that includes Georgia...