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We've talked at length about Zeihan's weakness with domestic politics, but boy howdy this was a doozy. His reasoning was inconsistent even from an anti-Trump perspective. Even the comments section kind of turned on him for this one. My favorite comment being: I always like to check in with PZ...

The immediate one is that his decision to quit Twitter (I refuse to call it X) coincided with the Disney-spearheaded boycott. He's had several months to decide that Musk has gone too far or that the service has degraded as much as he says it has. The timing is suspicious, not just coinciding...

Given the actions from Disney, it's pretty clear someone sent out a memo and Peter is absolutely a member of the intellegencia so he likely got it too. The Big Club, as Carlin would put it, is bucking at the growing pile of ankle biters. Unfortunately for us here Zeihan is a member. I'm actually...

Zeihan talked about it a bit last year, but the Russians didn't go into this venture entirely half-cocked. They took steps to insulate themselves from the inevitable sanctions. This has resulted in the sanctions having mixed results, something our childishly simplistic media atmosphere has...

Unless Armenia can somehow win the good graces of Georgia they are fucked in the long run. None of their other neighbors are going to tolerate their existence long term and Azerbaijan has hatred of Armenia as a national good. I'm trying to research the local situation, but do we know why Georgia...

These won't be mercenaries, they'll be Foederati.

More specifically the flush of free money and cheap labor that were necessary to artificially strong-arm innovation is drying up, so the invention factories that make up the groundwater of the tech industry are beginning to shrivel. I'm less worried about actual all-around innovation since the...

The US was the ex-boyfriend that took the hint. China is the one that keeps throwing bricks with poorly spelled threats through the window.

America either needs to magically stop wanting drugs or the border needs to be slammed shut for a few decades. And I do mean shut. Immigration is a release valve for Mexican political dissidents who would otherwise fight for change in their own country and America's fabulously wealthy black...

Agreed, Zeihan has a knack for consolidating arcane information from government organs to provide surprisingly useful composite views into the world as a whole. When that information is concrete stuff like demographics, GDP, strategic resources, and transportation networks he gets a good picture...

India has an entire continent's worth of resources, people, and problems at home, so there's not really a reason to go borrowing trouble elsewhere. The "West" is also starting to grumble about the activities of Hindu supremacists (when they attack Muslims at any rate) so it's starting to cool...

Again, Peter thinks his fellow technocrats are being completely honest when they provide information, because corrupt public institutions are something that happens to other countries. The bureaucratic state has settled on the narrative they'll use to explain any discrepancies in voting and...

It's not that it's outside of his wheelhouse so much that he trusts his fellow technocrats to be professional and honest. A bias he never shares with foreign apparatuses I do notice. Zeihan has a problem in that he understands that politicians can fall for and perpetuate narratives en mass, but...

They got off of it?

There's a piece of the puzzle we're missing and one I don't think Zeihan's connections in the technocracy will admit to. I have no proof, merely my experience with bureaucracy and the military, but it's entirely possible that these balloons were slipping through a hole in American air defense...

Peter was on Joe Rogan's podcast the other day if anyone wants to check it out. It was mostly information we've heard before, but Joe is a good enough interviewer that we got some new thoughts from Peter. I really want them to do a follow up so that Joe can press Zeihan a little more.

I'd admire their sacrifice a little more if they hadn't blown off the Americans and the Poles warning them about this eventuality for years.

A month ago I would have argued that Russia could pull it out, but that was out of distrust of Western propaganda. At this point its clear that Russia will be lucky to hang onto Crimea and will only pull that off by threatening nukes convincingly enough.

I was excited to see him on Breaking Points since its a less wonkish outlet than he normally does. I hope to see him on for a longer interview too. This stuff is right up Saager's alley and one of Krystal's few redeeming talents is a decent ability to interview. It would make for a good...

Peter's made no secret about how much he dislikes America's isolationist streak, but until recently we never really got to see him complain about it in more than an abstract sense. I'm beginning to get the feeling that he or more likely his contacts in the professional world are starting to feel...