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  1. W

    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    I don't think that the Alawite Assad dynasty in charge of Syria would actually want to rule over even more Sunnis, especially when these territories don't come with a lot of natural resources attached to them. Otherwise, though, Yeah, good points.
  2. W

    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    This would probably be easier to do if the US would have outright overthrown Saddam Hussein in 1991. But of course if there will subsequently be an Iraqi insurgency, then the Democrats are going to say "We were right! We shouldn't have gotten involved in the Gulf War in the first place!"
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    Romania? Slovakia? Hungary? Maybe even Czechia?
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    Maybe he made a typo with the G? But that shouldn't affect the EU's perceptions of Russia, should it?
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    Would the EU have actually viewed post-Soviet Russia as an enemy, though? That I'm not so sure about.
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    AFAIK, Europe's far-right in general has a rather soft spot for Putin.
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    FWIW, this correlation isn't perfect, but you can see a pattern between this map and the Hajnal Line: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hajnal_line
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    You can read more details about these calculations here: https://www.transparency.org/en/news/how-cpi-scores-are-calculated Also, take a look at this map: https://archive.ph/buLF7
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    Yes, exactly. Other than Belarus and the Baltics, the former USSR are the worst offenders in regards to corruption in Europe. Though Georgia in the Caucasus (not shown on this map) is remarkably non-corrupt, being comparable to Poland, Spain, and Portugal.
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    What if the post Cold War US from 1991 told its treaty allies "you're on your own" for conventional defense

    I'm not so sure that the EU would be so eager to let Ukraine join due to its chronic corruption problem, at least in the near-term:
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