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  1. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    It's worth bearing in mind that 'Prussia' as it was, now mostly makes up northern Poland and Kaliningrad. Yes, the ethnic Germans who lived there were forced to move to modern Germany, but Prussia as a nation or identity doesn't really exist anymore, certainly not in the way it did back then.
  2. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    I don't think he's talking about occupation (not for very long, anyway). More the 'no people, no problem' approach to counterinsurgency.
  3. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Reject tree, return to shrub.
  4. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    The defence industry alone won't be enough to fuel the entire Turkish economy. Especially not while Erdogan insists on pursuing Islamic finance, ignoring the tools offered by a sane monetary policy. Turkey's high inflation means companies readily available cash isn't enough to buy all the...
  5. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    They already have the Epsilon rocket, which can place 590kg in sun-synchronous orbit and weighs around 91 tons. Knock a stage off the bottom and you've got a decent IRBM. Might be able to make it road mobile too, though you'd want to ruggedise it first. The guidance system would be the only...
  6. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Increasing the number of warheads is only part of the process, and probably the easiest part. You need to increase delivery platforms for the bombs to be worth anything. How many bombers can Russia's budget sustain? How many more ICBMs can they build? How many cruise missiles can they...
  7. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    That's random scrap merchants looking for easy cash, not some official Chinese thing. I don't doubt they're happy to ignore the source of the metal, but it's out of indifference, not because they desperately need it. Pre-nuclear test scrap can also be invaluable for certain instruments as it...
  8. UberIguana

    peter Zeihan 2020

    There's a big difference between the earlier sanctions and the current 'burn that fucker to the ground' sanctions currently being put in place. Disconnecting a country from SWIFT was unprecedented. Now a price cap on Russian oil is being pushed, further crippling Russia's revenue. Assuming...
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