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No. Not exactly. Starobin finds that slave-using industries were about as efficient as using free white labor in the South. The problem here is that slavery destroys not just the productivity of the slave, but of the free man as well. Work and labor are things for slaves to do, not free men, so...

The population was less than 6 million in 1860, unless you're going to claim your future Confederacy is going to arm the slaves. And as I touched on earlier, there is a complete lack of discussion here of "What the fuck are we supposed about the 40% of our population that can't work in factories...

This works in a vacuum, but ignores the question why that change to the Confederate Constitution was put in to begin with? Because the planter aristocracy didn't want a protective tariff. What makes you think that they're going to suddenly change their minds on this when a tariff directly...

Uh, what tariff? From the Confederate Constitution: The Confederate Constitution literally banned tariffs for the purposes of promoting industrialization. Tariffs could only be used for revenue purposes.