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I think laser weapons will replace guns, if they ever do so, through a similar process to guns replacing bows (which itself was a couple hundred year process in Europe, and an 800 year process in Asia). You will have steady, incremental improvements that steadily increase the number of roles...

There's definitely a "local optima" problem with laser weapons: there's space where they're theoretically better, but that's after a bunch of space where their objectively worse. And they don't perform exactly the same, so require different tactics as well. For the historical example, while we...