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I know a few russian guys have seen this play out in real life.

its not just that their educational system basically imploded during the 90s collasped so their running out of the skilled people to keep it going and the populations in russia that are growing are in regions with seperatist histories. They essentally have a narrow amount of time to move in...

right now Russia is facing issues in the Ukraine, the balts, add in Kazakhstan and Russias terminal demographics and if you can set that on fire all at once? That takes russia out of the great power game for at least a generation.

In the CIAs defence

They never stopped.