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None of this is powering machine tools. Which isn't powering machine tools in Qajar, both because it wasn't in Qajar and wasn't followed through on. It was only inevitable where industrialization happened because you can't practically do fine tolerance machining without powered machine...

This argument is directly opposed to your thesis. Oil is not dominant. Gasoline is still a useless byproduct and automobiles are still trying to use steam. All the stationary infrastructure required to make tight tolerance machines like internal combustion engines even once they're practical...

That seems very unlikely to me. The Muslim world is less industrialized. The Ottomans were making a good start, but they were making a good start in Istanbul/Constantinople, which is on the wrong side of the Bosphorus and has been removed from the world. The Ottomans may no longer have a navy...

I wouldn't be so sure. Rome is gone in an obviously supernatural event which means either the Devil is stronger than God or Rome and the Papacy were not that important to God. I think most either conclude that the Protestants were right, that the Orthodox were right, or abandon Christianity...