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It's worth noting that the 28,000 figure seems to be a recent legitimate figure for US monthly production ... of 155mm shells. They reportedly weigh close to 100 pounds and that guy's grip seems a little too casual for that sort of weight.

"Glide launched" and "from a HIMARS" leads to some interesting mental imagery.

Correct me if this is wrong but I recall reading that Russian refining capacity was already lackluster compared to Russian oil production, so this is a serious bottleneck Ukraine is chopping away at. A war economy ought to be able to effect quick repairs, as I believe Ukraine has been doing with...

Early in the war, I remember a lot of speculation about civilian targets being hit that might have been legitimate targets in 1985. Or across the street from same. And for the whole war Russian artillery seems to be just as happy targeting a city block as a specific building. And on top of that...

I remember Ryan MacBeth making what seemed like a very compelling case to me about the other one (that it was doomed by Russian incompetence in poor maintenance and operation); for this one, are Russian fires really inaccurate enough to hit the dam center mass like that if they were trying to...

Well who really cares about using boats to move stuff from place to place, something that old fashioned can't be that important.

I understand if you have to deny first hand knowledge but c'mon, the idea that NATO and specifically the US isn't passing them any of that intel all those recon planes and satellites are furiously gathering is ... to borrow a term, "non-credible".

It's the latest in anti-ship-munitions interception.

It's sort of like the opposite of attrition: if you build ten thousand of the things and then abandon them in random places, a few of them will luckily still be in good condition even decades later. Call it the squirrel strategy.

Slow-walking, sure, but when has the Biden administration flipped from promising something to not giving it rather than the other way around? (That is, saying they won't and then giving it.) Call me credulous if you want but I think we'll be seeing F-16s in Ukraine next year. At this point I...

Fair enough; do you think the guy in the interview was being loose with words or actually sore about not getting for-real EOD training? Obviously you have no way of knowing, just looking for a wild guess from the gut.

Yeah, that's believable. On the one hand, just because you've banned land mines doesn't mean the guy you're fighting has; on the other hand, if your institutional memory is of an organization that didn't expect to fight any serious war other than the Big One and that one on the defensive (in...

Fascinating resource, thanks for posting. There was one thing that stood out to me as particularly surprising; perhaps someone more in tune with military matters like @Zachowon could at least have a guess? Lack of drone training could have a number of plausible causes, from politics to NATO...

I don't have anything against acronyms. Love 'em. But what I don't love is when letters get skipped, letters get added, or half the words are blatantly there for no reason other than a desperate attempt to create an acronym. And I really hate it when all three happen in a four letter acronym...

Sadly, prison is no refuge from the draft.

I am not sure how the guy being interviewed meant this, but he said that civilians should be "feared in the same way as the military of the Armed Forces of Ukraine", which sounds like a sentiment that (if shared by Russian soldiers) could explain some things. Noncombatants? No such thing! If...

While I do recall that accuracy was among the issues with attempts to realize the "Rods from God" concept, I doubt even Russia would miss that badly.

Sorry, I was just taking a minute to dunk on Tim Pool's powers of prediction.

I predict that 49 of the 50 states are ready for war.

That's one way to solve the problem of your plane not having the right connection for your missile: bolt on a piece of another plane that does (did) have the right connection.