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  1. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    An all-in strategy of only being in for a single term would let him ignore the usual focus on fundraising (for reelection). On the other hand, part of that fundraising is for the party in general so he might make too many enemies that way. If not, then one could theoretically alternate being in...
  2. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    I'm none too familiar with the case in question. But yeah obviously. If your representative votes a way you didn't expect them to on an issue that's important to you then you either accept that they know better than you or you start arranging consequences.
  3. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    Don't get me wrong: if it narrows down to a 1 or 2 seat advantage things could get real wacky. Imagine it was down to a majority of +1 and a dozen different people decided to try to hold Johnson hostage to their specific hobby horse. Mutually exclusive, of course.
  4. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    Sure but nominal control, having the Senate Majority Leader on your side, still lets you set the agenda: control what bills hit the floor, appointments to the executive and judicial branches, etc. So saying "Republicans won't control the Senate" implies Democrats will control the Senate. I...
  5. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    Hold up, you think Democrats are likely to do better than 50-50? I thought their only hope of Senate control was with the VP tiebreaker. I wouldn't bet on it. The Republican majority may become so small that nothing can get done on a partisan basis, but I don't think Democrats will be able to...
  6. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    Sometimes I want stuff spoon fed to me, but in such cases I like to think I own up to it. Puree that shit and put it right in my mouth. Num num. On topic, Marty's announcement and website are almost as vague as Bacle's post about it. He seems to have strong opinions on border security but it's...
  7. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    I'd argue it depends on the conventional wisdom in question. "Old politicians retire rather than having to deal with a new, challenging environment as the ground shifts under their feet" seems like an evergreen idea that if anything would have more currency in a political realignment. But...
  8. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    I've heard it's conventional wisdom that a big loss is often preceded by lots of veterans preemptively throwing in the towel, but it's good to remember there's always going to be significant churn in a body that large and there have been false positives before from looking at that. What I...
  9. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    I don't know if it ever was; before I posted that (but after he did) he appeared to have posted "never delete, never surrender" and he has another post from today.
  10. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    Mike Collins lands in hot water for doing a helicopter ride meme.
  11. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    There isn't political support for real cuts, which is why the political will always evaporates at the finish line. How do you convince the public that cuts are necessary? Well, the quickest way is probably to show them the level of taxes needed to fund the obligations in question.
  12. strunkenwhite

    United States 🇺🇸 US House of Representatives Discussion Thread!

    McHenry won't go for the full Speakership. And honestly I think it's probably for the best that the interim man not be in the running.
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