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I'm curious what you mean by big split. I don't expect Kennedy to crack 7% nationally, but the percentage will vary from state to state, and even a few percent could be plenty in a close state depending on who he takes votes from ... which come to think of it may also vary by state.

Perhaps this will clarify matters: there are people upset that the third party voters siphoned more from their preferred side than the other side, whereas they would be pleased to see the reverse. This is because their opinion on this particular matter is based on tactics/strategy rather than...

That depends on the "wrath of god" claims in question. I had in mind the one Snopes presents as the "if you want to dunk on Robertson, you don't even need to make anything up" option: "I would warn Orlando that you're right in the way of some serious hurricanes, and I don't think I'd be waving...

The Westboro Baptists may represent a tiny fringe that can be safely dismissed for most purposes, but can you really say the same of the likes of Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson?

I mean, let's be honest, how many nonstandard Kennedy assassination theories in the last 30 years don't involve the CIA?

I'd bet against you at very generous odds regardless of method. My main fear in making such a bet would be the tiny chance that he really does commit suicide. He's no threat if he doesn't win, which he won't, and doesn't become an influential member of the new administration, also no. If he...

I like where your head's at, but in this case there's no need to think too hard about it. 0% chance Clinton runs, 0% chance Kennedy wins.

I consider him a no-hope candidate, but why the hell not, he's going to be too old to throw his hat in the ring pretty soon anyway even by today's standards. (Will be 71 by Inauguration Day, and 75 by the next one. To be fair, that's younger in 2029 than Trump will be in 2025 and younger than...