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Some good points although Britain like other great powers have to weave a narrow line in terms of how much they can do. Britain possibly especially because a 1863 US, even with most of its western territories gone is a serious threat to Canada. On the other hand if the US occupy Canada then...

A pro-Bonaparte is possibly more likely since in 1860 Nappy III was on the throne and most of the years since 1785 had been under one or other of the two Bonaparte while only a relatively short period had been under the restored Bourbon's and another stretch under the house of Orleans. However...

I can't see the US sent back to 1785 saving the French monarchy? For one reason why would they as a republic, want to support an autocratic state dominated by the aristocracy and clergy? They might seek to prevent or at least discourage the excesses of the revolutionary period when everything...