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    AHC: Successful US (and/or UK) non-belligerent containment of militarist Japan with a 1932 or later PoD

    That still leaves the option of *delaying* the embargo until the US defense buildup is further along, even if we assume no earlier build-up is possible. It's also possible to question your argument that no one was interested in defense spending before a clear threat emerged. There had long been...
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    AHC: Successful US (and/or UK) non-belligerent containment of militarist Japan with a 1932 or later PoD

    @Airedale260 - Actually some respectable, non-conspiratorial historians do credit a Soviet connection to the timing and intensity of FDR's embargo actions at the time. I recommend looking anything up by Waldo Heinrichs: 17. The Russian Factor in Japanese-American Relations, 1941 I think ATP...
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    AHC: Successful US (and/or UK) non-belligerent containment of militarist Japan with a 1932 or later PoD

    Disagree It may have only required a better balanced US approach, not letting US State and Treasury Department demands and pressures of the moment get beyond the capabilities of the War and Navy Departments at the time. Illustrated below: versus the alternatives or
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    AHC: Successful US (and/or UK) non-belligerent containment of militarist Japan with a 1932 or later PoD

    Maybe the US should have stood aside on that Japan in Russian Far East issue. The realpolitik, Machiavellian, move would have been to let, even encouraged the Japanese and the Russian Communists to keep fighting each other on Russian territory from the 1920s, rather than help separate the...
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    AHC: Successful US (and/or UK) non-belligerent containment of militarist Japan with a 1932 or later PoD

    Here's the challenge: Have the US (and /or UK) contain militarist Japan's expansion, without a war, with any PoD after 1 April 1932. For reference, March 1932 was when the Japanese proclaimed the state of Manchukuo. The minimum condition for "successful" containment of Japan is that Japan...
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